tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post1164073992675465946..comments2023-10-31T06:31:41.395-04:00Comments on Bottom of the Barrel: Mocking TMQ's Mocking of NFL Mock DraftsBengoodfellahttp://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-23744523806337897922009-04-23T07:54:00.000-04:002009-04-23T07:54:00.000-04:00Scientific Probability is what it is all about to ...Scientific Probability is what it is all about to Easterbrook. No fiction involved with it at all would be preferable to him. <br /><br />I don't know if I have time for another super nerdy show. Right now MonsterQuest and UFO Hunters takes up a lot of my time.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-16363832703747422782009-04-23T03:03:00.000-04:002009-04-23T03:03:00.000-04:00Yeah, sadly, his criticisms of sci-fi are invariab...Yeah, sadly, his criticisms of sci-fi are invariably things like "Faster then Light travel? Impossible! Teleporters converting mass to energy and then reassembling it? Impossible!" Obviously missing the whole "fiction" part of sci fi. He wants Science Probablity! Sci Pro!<br /><br />BTW the show Timewarp with the super high speed 80k frames persecond cameras is unreal. It's on Discovery, and it's nerdy, but cool nerdy.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00086638597582394978noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-23825735105532549752009-04-22T22:17:00.000-04:002009-04-22T22:17:00.000-04:00The thing about many of the teams in the top 10 is...The thing about many of the teams in the top 10 is that they have a lot of holes so one guy isn't going to be the fix. That is ironic because the Panthers would probably love to get rid of Peppers and pick in the top 10 to get a defensive lineman but they are stuck in the second round. <br /><br />I have never watched an episode of BSG but I do admit it is probably annoying to have inconsistent scripts from episode to episode. Still, Gregg is way too picky about some of the things that he complains about. It is a little overboard when he starts criticizing Sci-Fi for being Sci-Fi. Clearly, these discrepancies did not bother me b/c I did not watch the show. <br /><br />Yeah, I thought that phrase wall allegorical. Gregg tends to take things at face value a lot and not look into them, but then when he does look into them he gets VERY picky. I could never watch a show with him.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-23160012866619452192009-04-22T19:54:00.000-04:002009-04-22T19:54:00.000-04:00I think teams only don't like to pick early when t...I think teams only don't like to pick early when they can't find a top line guy to fill a need hole on their roster. Like this year the Chargers really, really need a GOOD safety. They haven't had a decent safety since Rodney was let go to the Pats. There aren't any great safeties out there this year, so they are going to have to draft the best player available, which isn't so bad at the 16th slot. If they were at the 8th slot...that might be a different story.<br /><br />Only TMQ would put Wake in his monster good program list, a team that has had two good seasons out of what, the last dozen years? Monster good programs would be Florida, Oklahoma, Texas, LSU and USC. They win, they win big, they win big games and everybody takes them seriously. I know lots of SEC fans, and while they might hate USC, they know that it has talent and can play with the big boys. Ohio State? West Virginia? Virginia Tech? Wake Forest? Boston College? Not So much..and please let's not even bring up Texas Tech or Baylor...BAYLOR FOR GOD'S SAKE!! STAB ME IN THE EYEBALL!! Monster good program my ass.<br /><br />My friend was a huge Battlestar fan, and while you might guffaw at "realism" in a sci-fi show, the problem he had was that the "realism" that they did try and use made no sense, or wasn't consistant from one episode to the next. Not to be a nudge, but seriously, for 4 years, human hand weapons did diddly squat against the armored cylons. This was a problem for 2 reasons...<br /><br />1- Um, why would you make/use weapons against an enemy that didn't work? They'd already fought a war against these things, so one would hope that they might have weapons that worked. (Kev, my friend, was in teh Army for 12 years, as you can imagine, this grinded his teeth to no end)<br />2- Since it was established for 4 years that human hand weapons didn't work, why then did they suddenly work in teh final episode? It left a bad taste in the mouth, kind of like a fan favorite leaving the team for a 5 million dollar contract at the end of his career and saying the home team disrespected him with it's offer, which turns out to have been like 3 million with 2 million in performance/health clauses.<br /><br />Only TMQ would take the use of "It's a million light years" which seemed to be used in an allegorical sense, not literally. Like "Man we drove a million miles to get to the game today." Course he thinks wins are a good way to gauge QB effectiveness, so...yeah there's that.Unknownhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00086638597582394978noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-61770277655764725322009-04-22T16:16:00.000-04:002009-04-22T16:16:00.000-04:00I love it when RuleBook brings out numbers that do...I love it when RuleBook brings out numbers that don't show I miscalculated about something and actually chide someone else for using numbers incorrectly. <br /><br />Well of course Vince Young should be the starter, he has won more games than Kerry Collins. <br /><br />I don't know why columnists still insist on using W-L to measure the value of football quarterbacks and even pitchers in MLB. It's not even a stat head thing to do to ignore those numbers as being irrelevant for comparing two players, it just seems like common sense to admit they can be misleading in a comparison between two players.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-4152527011446239622009-04-22T15:46:00.000-04:002009-04-22T15:46:00.000-04:00Cutler is 17-20 as an NFL starter. Kyle Orton is 2...<B>Cutler is 17-20 as an NFL starter. Kyle Orton is 21-12 -- I'll take the guy who wins the game, please.</B>Starting win percentage of QBs:<br /><br />Vince Young: .600<br />Kerry Collins: .480<br /><br />Apparently I missed all of the articles saying that Vince Young should be starting for TEN this year, since record is all that matters.RuleBooknoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-31941942397808480902009-04-22T15:33:00.000-04:002009-04-22T15:33:00.000-04:00There is an argument to take Stafford #1 and then ...There is an argument to take Stafford #1 and then get the OL at #20 and I would not argue with that logic because it does make sense. I just feel like there is going to be a run on OT in the early first round and I also don't think Detroit is a great situation for Stafford. Realistically, your plan would make sense but I don't think the Lions are like the Falcons and Ravens last year in that playing Stafford right away would be counterproductive. Of course, as you said, they could sit him and let him learn, which is probably going to happen. <br /><br />I could see the Rams taking a QB at #2, though I think that would be dumb because they need OL pretty badly. <br /><br />According to Easterbrook, having one good player means the entire team is now good. He is the master at taking one incident and then turning it into a trend. He does the same thing with punting, where he takes one instance where a team should not have punted and then makes it this massive ordeal where every team should not punt in every situation. <br /><br />I laughed at your seminar ideas. I really think the writers have to take those classes, it really does seem that way to me. Easterbrook is one of the best at using anecdotal evidence to try and prove a point.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-39346622909028575602009-04-22T14:52:00.000-04:002009-04-22T14:52:00.000-04:00Does nobody else think that the Rams might take a ...Does nobody else think that the Rams might take a QB if the Lions don't pick? Bulger's not getting any younger, but he could hold things down for a year or two while a young QB developed. I think that the Lions should only let the pick slide if they have multiple players rated exactly the same on their draft board according to both talent and need.<br /><br />I don't think of any of those 5 schools as "monster-good football programs". Just because you have one good player doesn't even mean you ahve a good team, much less a good program. Isn't that something that Easterbrook preaches, that football is a team, not an individual, sport?<br /><br />I wonder if Page 2 writers are required to take Cherry-Picking Stats 101 and then the Ignoring Stats For Anecdotal Evidence seminar.The Caseyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03323030436625176444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-37135820346940709262009-04-22T14:39:00.000-04:002009-04-22T14:39:00.000-04:00I think that 80-90% of college QBs will need to si...I think that 80-90% of college QBs will need to sit for a year or two in order to get adjusted to the NFL game. The Lions obviously need a lot of pieces, but this looks like a deep draft at OT, one of the other positions they are supposed to be looking at for the top pick. Most of the mock drafts I've seen have 5-6 OTs going in the first round, so I think Detroit can still get a good one at #20. People are focusing solely on the #1 pick, but Detroit's job is to get as much value out of the whole draft as possible. I think they could get Stafford at #1 and still get a good OT to protect him at #20. Anyway, my $0.02.The Caseyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03323030436625176444noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-48017250469480240932009-04-22T14:00:00.000-04:002009-04-22T14:00:00.000-04:00I tell you which quarterback I like, and I only ba...I tell you which quarterback I like, and I only base this on watching some of his games and the scouting report on him, but I like Brian Hoyer of Michigan State. Not that the Lions should draft him but I think he and Rhett Bomar are going to make some team happy in the middle rounds.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-65948093241107225312009-04-22T12:05:00.000-04:002009-04-22T12:05:00.000-04:00See, using that logic is exactly why I don't think...See, using that logic is exactly why I don't think the Lions should choose Stafford. QB's have a high flame out rate in the first round and they are usually more expensive. Williams is a deal at that rate. He may get expensive later into the deal but the contract will be renegotiated at that point. <br /><br />I have mentioned this several times but no matter where a QB gets picked, they will want more money than the slot is usually allotted for. Look at Brady Quinn in 2007. (I linked 2007 twice for rookie salaries in my post and did not mean to) He got $30 million guaranteed at #22 and the two guys around him, got $13.4 million and $11.8 million. QB's want more usually, it just seems to be the trend. <br /><br />Here is the 2006 chart I left out and it proves the point as well. <br /><br />http://www.profootballweekly.com/PFW/Features/NFL+Features/2006/signingchart06.htm<br /><br />Look at Cutler and Leinart. They got way more than the allotted amount compared to the guys around them. Long form answer, I agree with you.Bengoodfellahttps://www.blogger.com/profile/09401971573776672570noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-102327997051254703.post-76234938398457237842009-04-22T11:26:00.000-04:002009-04-22T11:26:00.000-04:00This whole "teams hate to pick early because of th...This whole "teams hate to pick early because of the price" thing is really getting on my nerves. Having the first pick only sucks <I>if you draft a bust</I>.<br /><br />Look at Mario Williams. He's coming off two double-digit sack seasons, and according to <I>USA Today</I>, his cap value last year was $6.88 million. He's also under contract for three more years. He's an incredible value.<br /><br />And, if you look at the 2006 and 2008 drafts, the first pick (a DE and an OT, respectively), has less guaranteed money than the third pick (a QB in each case).<br /><br />Basically, if you have the first pick, the only way it can truly be a total loss is if you draft a QB who flames out. A bust at nearly any other position can still contribute as part of a rotation or at a slightly different position (a LT moving to RT or G, a DE still being used on pass-rush downs, etc).Edwardhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/13158622845810579702noreply@blogger.com