Showing posts with label Atlanta Falcons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Atlanta Falcons. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 21, 2014

6 comments MMQB Review: What Would Marv Levy Do? Edition

Peter King talked about Johnny Manziel again in last week's MMQB. It seems to be his go-to discussion in MMQB these days, mostly for the pageviews I would assume. Peter also talked about the unpredictable draft, picked apart Ryan Mallett and his four career pass attempts, and criticized Don Jones of the Dolphins for his statements on Twitter. Peter thinks only a drunk asshole like Bernie Kosar could agree with Jones' comments. This week in MMQB, Peter talks about the Falcons trying to get back on top, thinks it's a good decision Michael Sam isn't doing his reality te---I mean documentary for OWN, doesn't like people exercising their free will and smoking at a bar, and again looks an athlete from a football-only perspective when he runs afoul of the law...which is different from how he treated Jim Irsay when he was picked up for drunk driving a month or two ago. It's interesting the different language used by Peter for players and owners when they run into alcohol-related issues.

Many things to do today, the pivotal offseason of the Atlanta Falcons, the state of the 2015 NFL draft, why Michael Sam and new BFF Oprah did the right thing, Gregg Williams being in the prefect place at the right time,

It's a story of redemption for Gregg Williams! That's a great way to spin. Snark aside, I'm glad Peter has finally acknowledged the infallible Rams have hired the architect of the bounty scandal as their defensive coordinator. It only took several months for Peter to acknowledge this happened.

So we’ve started this 10-week series at The MMQB. It’s about the history of pro football, with an eye on the future in every story we do. We dispatched young Emily Kaplan down to NFL Films in south Jersey to see a living, breathing NFL museum, the office of the late NFL Films impresario Steve Sabol, whose workplace was left precisely how he last worked in it, right down to his last lunch order. Emily Kaplan wrote vividly of the place, and photographer Jeff Zelevansky took a breathtaking GigaPan photo of the office—you can put your cursor on anything in the office, focus on it and POOF! There it is, full and vivid, on your screen.

Technology, everyone! I see Peter King has gone to the Bill Simmons School of Synergy where he uses his popular weekly column to publicize the future and past columns that will be/have appeared on THE MMQB (again, not to be confused with the MMQB Peter writes every week).

Look at the notes Sabol took after a long session watching Bill Parcells coach. Focus on it. Put your cursor on the binder with the Parcells notes, and you’ll see, down near the bottom of the page, what Sabol found after his Parcells experience.
“He’s more than old school. He’s a one-room schoolhouse with no lunch and no recess.”

Did Parcells have any quotes about how he is able to drum up interest in himself for NFL jobs by pretending to have interest in an NFL coaching job, lying that he has interest, backing out at the last minute and then taking another NFL head coaching job all while denying he is taking the job? Were there any notes on how he won only three playoff games his last 11 years of coaching? Probably not.

When coach Mike Smith and GM Thomas Dimitroff looked at their team in the last couple of years, there were things they didn’t like much. But when you coach and manage a team for five years, and you win 56 games and lose just 24, and you make the playoffs four out of five years, you tend to say, “We’re okay.”

So their sense of complacency was perfectly understandable and absolutely fine. They had made a couple of Super Bowls over the past five years, so there was really nothing to improve upon. It's not like there were any younger, competitive teams in the NFC who had proven they could beat the Falcons at home in the playoffs, so an extra week of vacation and no major roster changes are no problem at all.

Said Smith: “Human nature, when you’re getting positive results, is not to stress the negative. But when you get humbled, which happened last year, you’ve got to be realistic about your team.”

I guess it depends on your definition of "positive results" (though this is a typical Atlanta area team attitude like the Braves sometimes have had isn't it? "We made the playoffs, everything is good, no need to improve in the offseason."), doesn't it? Me personally, if I had lost a home NFC Championship Game I probably would be ready to fix any small hole in the roster with a sense of urgency and go back at it again the next year with a better team. Perhaps the Falcons thought they had done that.

As the house-collapsing 4–12 season of 2013 proved, the Falcons were most definitely not okay. The pass-rush stunk. The offensive line stunk. The secondary leaked. And every time they got into the playoffs—Smith’s playoff record: 1–4—a team with a strong pass-rush and good secondary frustrated Matt Ryan and sent the Falcons home early.

So maybe if the Falcons had a bad pass-rush and a bad secondary they could win a few playoff games and make it to the Super Bowl!

Now came the next piece of drama in the Atlanta draft room. New assistant GM Scott Pioli was a voice of calm in the room;

Will some NFL team just hire Scott Pioli as their General Manager so Peter King can stop reciting the virtues of his good friend? Scott Pioli was a voice of calm in the Kansas City draft room too. Unfortunately being calm doesn't immediately translate to being a good GM. But hey, Pioli knows Bill Belichick, so he has to be a genius!

Atlanta sat at 37, and wanted a pass-rusher—either a defensive end or an outside linebacker. The Falcons really wanted Ohio State linebacker Ryan Shazier, who went to Pittsburgh at number 15. That was too high for Atlanta. Then the object of their affection was defensive end Dee Ford, and he would have cost a third-round pick for Atlanta to move into the mid-20s. But Kansas City grabbed Ford at 23, and there went the two rushers Dimitroff liked.

No snark here, but if I were Atlanta and I was willing to move up to get Jake Matthews then I would also be willing to give up a third round pick to move up and get Dee Ford. It's not like their Julio Jones deal with Cleveland hasn't gone really well for them so far. Go confidently in the direction of your dreams, get that pass rusher you want!

The night before the draft, it was clear Dimitroff wanted one more impact guy out of this draft that he just wasn’t able to get. “This league is about now, and it’s about impact players,” he said. “What did Marv Levy say? ‘Depth is great until you’ve got to use it?’ ”

Perhaps I'm stupid, but this doesn't make sense to me. Depth is great and if you have to use it then that makes it doubly great, right? It's better than not having depth and having to use the depth you don't have isn't it? I get what Marv Levy is trying to say, but it really doesn't make sense because the alternative is to have no depth and have to use it. So depth is great, but it sucks if you have to use it.

Getting an impact guy in the draft is important, but the NFL is also about having depth on the roster. Just ask the Seahawks who didn't have a problem after losing Brandon Browner to suspension and won the Super Bowl despite not having the best two receivers on their roster healthy for most of the season. 

Soon after the season, Dimitroff and Smith had a summit meeting with owner Arthur Blank. “We have been the hardest on ourselves, and Mr. Blank was hard on us too,” said Dimitroff. “But I welcome that. We deserved it. I’ll be damned if I ever say adequate is okay.”

Except for last year when Dimitroff and Smith decided that making the NFC Championship was adequate and they admittedly got complacent and said they were okay.

“This is not in any way a quest to find excuses for why we went 4–12,” Dimitroff said. “It is just us being mindful to try to do everything we can to keep our players healthy and at a top performance level. And give credit to Smitty—he’s been on board with everything to try to be sure our players are playing at their peak.”

You wouldn't think a head coach would want his players playing at their peak and in great shape.

Mike Tice and Bryan Cox have been imported as assistants on the offense and defense, respectively, in part to instill a toughness that has been missing.

Hopefully Mike Tice won't try to install a "Julio Rule" or else Gregg Easterbrook will flip his shit and talk about what a diva player Jones is.

But if Matt Ryan gets whacked around like last year, and if Smith’s defense can’t pressure the quarterback, it’ll be a battle again to stay out of the NFC South basement. And Blank won’t be so patient then.

And then Scott Pioli can take over the Falcons team and lead them to the promised land! Peter and Pioli can drink the blood of Thomas Dimitroff and revel in the victory of calmness and genius over complacency and creating depth.

Gut feeling about the 2015 NFL draft: It will be in a city other than New York, and it will be a week earlier, starting on April 30 and running until May 2.

Gut feeling about NFL fans. They don't especially care where the draft will be held unless it's in their home city.

Why? It’s complicated.

Well Peter, I hope your reader's mini-sized brains can handle the complicatedness of the NFL Draft starting earlier and being in a different city. Just remember that very few of your readers are as smart as you are and avoid using big words.

Last year, Radio City delayed its decision about what dates were available in the spring of 2014, causing the NFL to put off planning for the 2014 draft. Then Radio City told the league the venue was going to be occupied in mid to late April by an Easter Spectacular show, something akin to the Radio City holiday show with the Rockettes. Okay, NFL officials said, we’ll push the draft back to the second weekend of May. Mother’s Day weekend wasn’t ideal, but what choice did the NFL have? Then, earlier this year, Radio City canceled the Easter show. The NFL seethed.

See, this irritates me. It makes perfect sense now why the draft was pushed back until May. Why didn't Peter King (if he even knew prior to the draft), the NFL or someone else just say, "Hey, Radio City was booked and we couldn't get a date until May." It makes sense and rather than have NFL fans and writers make comments about the NFL pushing the draft back until July, just state a completely understandable reason why the draft was pushed back until May 8-10. I have to admit though, I like that Radio City pissed off the NFL. The NFL not getting it's way does not displease me and I think it's good if the NFL is reminded from time to time they only control football in the United States, not everything related to sports in the United States.

now Radio City was going to be dark on the normal draft weekend. But the NFL couldn’t move the draft at that point, so the May 8-10 weekend went on as planned.

The poor little NFL didn't get it's way. I bet Roger Goodell stomped his feet, said he hates everyone, ran up to his room and then refused to come out for dinner.

Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel spoke to Roger Goodell twice about having the draft somewhere there—gigantic McCormick Place near Soldier Field, for instance

That's a great idea, though I'm not sure the NFL would enjoy the draft prospects having a 15% chance of being murdered while attending the draft. I guess it would be interesting to see something like a real like "Hunger Games," but people dying is not cool.

When? NFL officials hear the beefs of teams that want the draft in April. NFL officials also see the 30-percent-plus increase in TV ratings with the draft moved two weeks later. I maintain it wouldn’t matter—with the Manziel mystery, the where-will-Michael-Sam go, the fact that four of the top five picks in the draft were totally unknown as the first round approached. But the NFL does not ignore the ratings.

No way! The NFL likes ratings? I could never tell from the Monday Night Football and Sunday Night Football matchups.

My guess: Chicago, with the first round April 30, 2015.

The benefit of this is so many idiotic Jets fans won't be in attendance to boo or stick their ugly-ass face in the camera whenever the Jets choose a player. The problem is I'm scared of Chicago right now.

In the end, Michael Sam did the right thing. He told coach Jeff Fisher and GM Les Snead that he was going to make his situation right, after the Rams were blindsided by the news of the Oprah Winfrey Network (OWN) planning a “docuseries” on his rookie year as the first openly gay NFL player.

Because the only documentary that should be allowed about the NFL is the one the NFL forces on an NFL team every summer called "Hard Knocks."

The meeting Friday was only positive, I’m told, because OWN was clear that the only way it would do the series is if Sam wanted it and the Rams wanted it. And it’s just as clear that, for both sides, the series would be best done beginning next off-season, assuming Sam makes the team and plays some this year.

I'm pretty sure OWN would need the consent of Michael Sam to do a documentary about him, so I think the fact OWN was going to do a series about Sam at all is a sign that he wanted it done. Unless OWN planned on filming Sam and hoping that he didn't notice what they were doing.

In some ways, it’s a shame we won’t see (at least now) the trials of Sam in this rookie year, the personal side of trying to be the first openly gay player fighting for a spot on the team. It would be compelling to see Sam at home with his boyfriend, and certainly a help to the LGBT community, dealing with what surely will be a stressful time in his life. But for Sam, it’s just better that it be postponed.

Why? Because Sam is a football player, a rookie trying to find his way onto a football team as an underdog low-round draft pick. Could it help him make the team, or help him make his mark? I don’t see how. But I do see how teammates could either resent him or be angry with him as a low man on the team totem pole.

This is probably good advice from Peter. Sam doesn't need more to worry about right now as a 7th round pick trying to adjust to the speed of the NFL. I personally didn't have an issue with his documentary or reality television show or whatever he wanted to call it. I thought if he wanted to be seen as a football player-only then this was a weird way to go about reinforcing this notion.

There is going to be enough of a sideshow—big media names and TMZ showing up at Rams Park, clamoring to get a Sam story or interview—without Sam voluntarily adding to it. At the scouting combine, Sam semi-pleaded with the media to see him as a football player and not as a gay football player. It would have been hypocritical for him, then, to seek that attention by having OWN cameras in his face off the field as he battled to succeed in his first year.

Yet Sam's hypocrisy would not have been quite as annoying as the NFL forcing an NFL team to participate in "Hard Knocks" when that team does not want to participate.

I’ve thought a lot about this story in the past week, as I’m sure everyone who follows football has. And the more I think about it, the more I think Sam landed in a perfect spot. Absolutely perfect. Three reasons:

Here in list form is why the Rams are so great, you guys. Let Peter tell you about why the Rams are the perfect spot for Michael Sam, no check that, the perfect spot for any NFL player to land. This list sponsored by Marvin Demoff. 

The Rams embrace the history of it. I can tell you with certainty that there was some regret in the Rams hierarchy that Sam’s rookie story won’t be told by OWN. Not enough to override the fact that the team really didn’t want it to be done. But the Rams are sure they’ll be a welcoming team and St. Louis a welcoming community for Sam. They’re fired up about the historical significance and the chance to show that a football team can be a change agent.

The Rams are really open-minded you guys. They are so open-minded about Michael Sam being gay, yet also really focused on him succeeding as a human being and a football player.

There are not two better coaches in the league, in tandem, for this task than Jeff Fisher and Gregg Williams. Williams especially.

This is true. Michael Sam knows that if he makes the Rams team he won't have to play much football after every early January, so he will have plenty of time to pursue his other interests. If he had landed on a team like the Patriots, Broncos, 49ers or even the Colts there was the risk that their NFL season could push the offseason back three weeks, maybe even four weeks, depending on how far the team advanced in the playoffs. Since Jeff "8-8" Fisher's teams have made the playoffs six times in his 18 full seasons (hey, that's how many winning seasons Fisher has as an NFL head coach too!) as an NFL head coach and he hasn't actually won a playoff game since 2003 then the future looks pretty bright for Sam to pursue his other interests in the offseason. What really seals the deal is Sam can make a few extra dollars during the season participating in Gregg Williams' bounty program that he will implement with the Rams. It motivates the defensive players and gives them some extra pocket change. So there's only a 33% chance playing under Fisher will result in an extended season, which is good news for the OWN documentary.

Gregg Williams has the kind of ego to believe he can take a player with limited athleticism but good college production at a high level and put him in position to make NFL plays. I can’t wait to see what he has planned, frankly. As for Fisher, he’s a staunch league guy. He knows this is good for football and great for the NFL. He will do everything to give Sam the best chance to make it.

If you put your head close to the keyboard, you can actually hear Peter King's conscience screaming out for a break from pimping out Marvin Demoff's clients. Alas, his conscience loses (much like Fisher's teams during the 12 seasons they have not made the playoffs) and Peter talks up the Rams coaching staff yet again this year. Remember last year when he painted Gregg Williams' son as an up-and-coming defensive assistant? This year Blake Williams (I think that's his name) has been relieved of his duties on the Rams coaching staff.

Not to mention, the Rams kept nine defensive linemen last year and they have only three must-keeps (Chris Long, Robert Quinn, William Hayes) at defensive end. Yes, Sam is in the right place,

Surely no doubt he's in the right spot. Maybe he can help lead the Rams to a 12-4 season, which will lead to a Jeff Fisher contract extension, followed by two straight seasons of the team having a 8-8 record. That would be great if that could happen.

Mike Tannenbaum was the general manager of the Jets for seven years before getting fired by owner Woody Johnson 16 months ago. In his former life, he traded for Brett Favre, hired Rex Ryan, drafted Darrelle Revis, starred in Hard Knocks, traded for Tim Tebow, was part of a team that won four road playoff games, watched in horror at The Buttfumble … in other words, did quite a few things to keep the Jets relevant, mostly successful and back-page-worthy.

He just did something else: As a rising star in the agent business, he represented Steve Kerr in negotiations to make him the new Golden State Warriors coach.

Clearly, Tannenbaum would like another shot at being an NFL GM, but he understands that despite his team’s 61 wins and three playoff appearances in seven years, often a general manager in the NFL gets only one shot. Look at the league now. Bruce Allen (Tampa Bay, Washington) is the only current general manager in his second life as a GM.

If only Tannenbaum was the son of an NFL legend and had the last name as that NFL legend, then maybe he could get another shot as an NFL GM. I mean it worked for Bruce Allen and even got Jay Gruden head coaching job with the Redskins. Unfortunately Mike Tannenbaum's name isn't Mike Parcells or Mike Schottenheimer.

One other non-football note. Wondering why Kerr chose Golden State?

No, I think it's pretty obvious why Kerr chose Golden State. The Knicks are a disaster and Kerr doesn't want to work for James Dolan. It seems like an easy decision to me.

NFL owners gather in Atlanta Tuesday for the annual one-day spring meeting, and they’re slated to pick a host city for Super Bowl 52 (I hate Roman numerals, but for you Augustans, it’s Super Bowl LII) on Feb. 4, 2018. The candidate cities are Indianapolis, Minneapolis and New Orleans. Here’s my tote board of favorites:

New Orleans: 2-1 

2018 is the tricentennial for the city, and no one hates a New Orleans game.

As long as they pay the power bill this time it sounds like a good idea. Plus, hearing about how great New Orleans is NEVER gets old.

Minnesota 7-2

Northern dome teams always get at least one Super Bowl per new stadium.

And I guess the Vikings are only planning on staying in the stadium for around 10 years, so that's why they should get a Super Bowl just a few years after opening their new stadium?

I personally want another outside Super Bowl up north so I can hear/read sportswriters whining about potential snow and weather that could affect the game. Hearing the cries of a potential crisis, as if the idea of football being played in the snow or (gasp!) rain was too frightening to even imagine, pleased me greatly.

Indianapolis 7-2

Indy did a superb job on the 2012 game. The city is so easy to negotiate.

Since the city of Indianapolis is easy to navigate this means Peter won't have some ignorant immigrant who barely speaks English guiding him around town in a taxi. Peter will know where's going, so he can punch this taxi driver in the face and negotiate his own way to the nearest Starbucks. Peter won't be buying a latte at this Starbucks run like he normally does though. That story is later in this MMQB, so I don't want to ruin it now.

No question the league is inclined to return to central Indiana at some point in the future, but my guess is the owners will figure there’s not the urgency that New Orleans has in 2018. Wild card here will be the presence of owner Jim Irsay, who has been off battling his addiction issues and plans to speak as part of the Indianapolis bid. Will that help, hurt or be no factor?

I'm sorry, I thought Irsay's "addiction issues" have all been covered up and forgotten about. Are we still okay to talk about Irsay getting arrested for DUI and how the NFL hasn't done a damn thing in regard to punishing him? I wasn't sure. I also like how Irsay has "addiction issues" while Josh Gordon doesn't get the benefit of such doubt from Peter. Much like you are "eccentric" if you are crazy and wealthy (as compared to just being called crazy), an arrest for DUI/DWI while being a wealthy  owners means you have "addiction issues," while any NFL player who gets arrested for DUI/DWI is a moron who needs to learn to call a cab.

“This offseason has been very frustrating for me … [I wonder] Is this still the place for me?”
 
—Houston wide receiver Andre Johnson, who obviously thought the Texans would go get a quarterback in free agency or the draft (one better than Ryan Fitzpatrick and Tom Savage).

Houston coach Bill O’Brien is in a tough spot. He’s got a wideout who’s going to be 33 this season, who, despite the inconsistency at quarterback for the team, has caught 221 passes over the last two years and missed zero games due to injury. If Johnson’s not going to be with the program, is it worth trying to get a 2015 or 2016 first-round pick for him—which some contender (New England? San Francisco?) might be willing to do?

If Andre Johnson keeps running his mouth about how he doesn't want to be on the Texans team anymore he could end up helping the Texans lose any leverage they may have when trying to get a first round pick in return for Johnson. At this point, I'm not sure the 49ers even have room on the roster at the wide receiver spot to trade for another wide receiver. Who would be the fourth receiver on this 49ers team with a run-based offense? Stevie Johnson? Anquan Boldin?

“I think I’m a lot more ready than people think. I think people label me as a project simply off of stats. I can understand what they see, what they think … but when you think of a project you think of building something from the ground up. I feel like I have a basis. It’s just a few things I’ve got to get down. Everybody has things to work on. I don’t think mine are as crazy as people want to make them out to be.”

—Arizona quarterback Logan Thomas, a fourth-round pick in the draft.

All Thomas has to do is work on making better decisions and improve his accuracy, which is something he wasn't able to do at all during his college career. I think it sounds easy enough, plus he really, really looks like a quarterback and has all the measurables. That's all that matters. Maybe one day Thomas will wake up and just be more accurate throwing the football.

Three times as many TV households (671,000 to 225,000) watched the first round of the NFL draft on May 8 as watched the opening game of the Subway Series between the Mets and Yankees May 12.

That's crazy, because everyone wants to watch the first game of a regular season matchup between the Mets and Yankees. There is no more compelling game than a Subway Series (it is to be capitalized because it's that important) regular season game. 

Mr. Starwood Preferred Member Travel Note of the Week

Plumb forgot this one last week:

Well, golly gee! You plumb had it slip your mind.

So on a quick trip to Nashville a couple of days before the draft, I found myself having a beer and a bowl of turkey chili in a sports bar downtown. Ten minutes into my beer, I noticed it. Smoke.

My God, the place was on fire! Finish your bowl of turkey chili, grab the Brett Favre autographed computer case you carry, drain your beer and then get the hell out of there!

The guy and gal at the next table were both drinking and smoking—and they did neither casually.

This was opposed to Peter who was casually drinking his beer and casually eating his bowl of turkey chili. The difference is the loftiness and grace with which Peter drinks the beer and eats soup.

Now, where I live, New York, smoking has been banned in public bars and buildings for 11 years.

This is otherwise known as "civilization" where smoking has been banned, Big Gulps are banned and the people always respect each other's sense of privacy. New York is the utopia Peter King was looking for and has now found.

Smoking has been banned in city parks for the past three years.

“Surprising to see people smoking in the bar,” I said to my server. “Anybody ever complain?”

By the way, it took Peter 10 minutes to notice the smoke, either that or the people who were smoking didn't arrive until 10 minutes into Peter's beer.

“Not that I’ve heard,” the fellow said. “We’re pretty much still a smoking society down here.”
 
Bummer.

I don't know where "down here" is, but smoking has been banned in most public places where I live. There are even designated smoking areas at most places of employment. It sounds like Peter has been visiting some dive bars on his tour of Tennessee.



Sports columnist for the Newark Star Ledger, who presumably will be one of the (apparently reluctant) watchers of the Belmont Stakes in New York in 19 days, when California Chrome tries to become the first Triple Crown winner since 1978.

Ah, horse racing. A sport that isn't really a sport and something I have never understood the draw of.

Ten Things I Think I Think

And always try to remember that these are not things Peter knows, but things he thinks that he thinks. He isn't sure if he thinks them or not, but he thinks that he might. 

1. I think I would be surprised if we didn’t read the following headline on the web sometime late Tuesday afternoon: “NFL owners make progress on expanded playoffs.” My guess is a vote is unlikely but possible, and commissioner Roger Goodell wants to be sure he hears every ownership voice that wants to be heard before calling a vote on it...One of the reasons is the increased TV exposure and ratings and ad revenue associated with two more playoff games. I expect the new format to include two valuable entities the league now does not have: Sunday night and Monday night games on wild card weekend, with six wild card games filling the weekend instead of the current four.

Why doesn't the NFL just allow every team to make the playoffs? That would be much easier, increase exposure, ad revenue and ratings also, plus more NFL head coaches could claim they took their team to the playoffs.

2. I think no one asked me (who ever does?), but I think 12 playoff teams is plenty, and 14 waters down the significance of making the postseason. And what’s to stop the league five years from now saying, “The ratings for wild card weekend are so boffo that we should go to 16.”

Now that I agree with Peter King on this, I would like to change my mind. What's the harm in more playoff games? It allows more fans to be a part of the playoffs and if a team isn't good enough to make the playoffs they will simply lose early. More playoff football isn't a bad thing. There, I have changed my mind. I can not in good conscience agree with Peter.

3. I think one of the players I’m anxious to follow in training camp this summer is undrafted free-agent defensive end Jackson Jeffcoat of the Seahawks.

You mean the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year that went undrafted and nobody gave a shit or was all up-in-arms about it because he's not gay? That guy?

Surprisingly undrafted after a 33-start career at defensive end for Texas, Jim Jeffcoat’s son caught the eye of Pete Carroll at a weekend minicamp. He’ll have to be special to dent a very good defensive line, but anyone who accounts for 32 tackles for loss (19 non-sack tackles behind the line, 13 sacks) in that program could open eyes when the real practices start in July.

You mean there was a quality college football player that went undrafted purely based on his skill at playing football? No way, I have been told the only reason that would happen is because teams aren't brave enough to draft a player like this.

4. I think this is why they paid you the big money, Dave Gettleman. The Panthers general manager has to decide what to do, if anything, about a long contract extension for star defensive end Greg Hardy, just 25 years old and in his prime, after Hardy’s run-in with a girlfriend and his temporary jailing … and being ordered to turn in 10 guns to authorities.

Gettleman doesn't have to decide what to do with Hardy until after the NFL season if it even comes to that. He can wait to see how the season goes and then decide what to do with Hardy from there after the case has been adjudicated. It's not against the law to own guns (though if this were an NFL owner I'm sure Peter will say that Irsay has "gun addiction issues") and nothing has been shown positive or negative in the case yet regarding Hardy's guilt.

In addition, the judge in the case ordered Hardy to attend three Alcoholics Anonymous classes.

No mention of "addiction issues"? That's right, Hardy is an NFL player, not an owner. NFL players get suspended for violating NFL rules all the time, but Goodell is still hard at work thinking about the appropriate punishment for Jim Irsay.

This could be a very tough call for Gettleman, particularly if Hardy is cleared to play at the start of the season and tears up the NFC South as he did last year.

Hardy did have nine of his fifteen sacks last year against NFC South teams, but he got seven of those sacks in the last two weeks of the season and was completely shut out by Joe Staley in the playoffs.

10. I think these are my non-football thoughts of the week:

a. After the bitter Montreal-Boston series, TSN’s Aaron Ward reported that Boston’s Milan Lucic said to two Canadiens, “I’m going to —-ing kill you next year.” That’s nice.
 
b. Two days later, in front of the press, Lucic said, “I’m not apologizing for what was said in the handshake line.” That’s nicer.
 
c. I want to hear what Lucic thinks on July 19. Not May 19. If it’s the same, that’s not a guy I’d want on my team. Ridiculous Irony of the Week: Lucic recently released a book entitled, Not Cool to Bully in School.

I'm not sure that's ironic because I don't think one grown man telling two other grown men he'll "fucking kill you next year" could qualify as bullying at all. First off, they are all grown men, and second, it is one person threatening two people. Can one person bully multiple people in this way?

h. Coffeenerdness: So I’ve been working a bit with a nutritionist, and after studying my diet (or lack thereof), she said, “No more lattes.” The horror!

How can a person be "a bit" of a nutritionist? I would think a person is either a nutritionist or not.

We reached a bit of a truce there. I shan’t give up my favorite warm beverage, but I think I can handle three a week, with brewed Italian roast the rest of the time. We’ll see.

Speaking of people who have "addiction issues," if Peter can't limit himself to three lattes a week then he should perhaps go to coffee rehab.

j. Donald Sterling stories: Zzzzzzzzzzzzz.

These stories are boring, but they certainly weren't boring a few weeks ago when he commented on the Sterling situation in two straight MMQB's. It's a boring situation once Peter is done commenting on the situation. 

The Adieu Haiku

Draft withdrawal sets in.
One hope I have this morning:
Mayock. Beach. St. Kitts.

Mayock certainly trolled hard enough when talking about Teddy Bridgewater to deserve a vacation. I mean, he ignored all of the tape he saw of Bridgewater and focused his entire evaluation on the bad Pro Day Bridgewater had. 

Thursday, November 1, 2012

15 comments Gregg Easterbrook Wants More Realism In His Zombie Movies

Last week's TMQ featured Gregg criticizing the believability of the James Bond film "Dr. No," him claiming a high school coach didn't care if he ran up the score even though the coach stated he wasn't trying to run up the score and featured constant criticism of NFL head coaches for not coaching their team exactly how Gregg would coach an NFL team. Clearly, with Gregg's vast football head coaching experience he is a person who needs to be listened to when it comes to football strategy. This week as part of a forced Halloween theme, Gregg says the Falcons are the scariest team in the NFL while conveniently skipping over the draft position of some of the Falcons' stars and completely ignoring he called Julio Jones a "diva receiver" and blamed him for the Falcons struggles just last year. Please forget everything Gregg has claimed which turned out to be incorrect and blindly believe he is the expert he claims himself to be.

Halloween is tomorrow, a spooky day. Your columnist plans to dress as the national debt -- that will be scary!

I wonder how many times Gregg got his ass kicked in junior high? He is probably the guy who came to school on Halloween dressed as the Secretary of the Treasury or something.

The Falcons are no juggernaut statistically -- average in offensive and defensive stats, though looking swell at plus-10 for turnovers. Atlanta has had some good luck this season: Luck is a major factor in sports outcomes, but has this way of changing. The Falcons bring a strong offensive line and a power rushing attack.

The Falcons are 24th in the NFL in rushing yards per game, 24th in rushing yards per attempt and the offensive line has given up the 17th most sacks in the NFL. I'll let you decide if that is considered a power rushing attack.

The Falcons are 9th in the NFL in passing yards per game, 8th in passing yards per attempt, and 3rd in touchdown passes. Again, I will let you decide if the description of the Falcons as a power rushing attack, and whether this is how they are 7-0, is accurate or not.

They have hardworking veterans with football IQ: Matt Ryan, Tony Gonzalez, John Abraham, Roddy White, Dunta Robinson. And they've got one of the league's fastest defensive tackles in Peria Jerry. 

This is interesting. Since Gregg didn't include this, I wonder what the draft position for each of these players was?

Matt Ryan- 1st round
Tony Gonzalez- 1st round
John Abraham- 1st round
Dunta Robinson- 1st round
Peria Jerry- 1st round

Wow, all three players that Gregg mentioned were first round draft choices. This certainly doesn't fit Gregg's narrative that first round picks are highly-paid glory boys who only care about counting their money and not working hard. Notice how Gregg left off Julio Jones from this list, even though Jones is second on the team in receptions and yards. It's almost like Gregg wants us to forget Julio Jones exists in the hopes we won't remember he randomly called Jones a "diva" last year for absolutely no reason.

So far the Smith-Ryan combo can't win the big one, and that is the sort of problem that can become a self-fulfilling.

Is it a "problem" that is self-fulfilling or is it a "prophecy" that is self-fulfilling?

Like the Eagles, the Saints are not exactly shipshape. But if Atlanta can knock off the Sinners, the Falcons will look more like a Halloween Frankenstein. 

So in beating a team that isn't very good Atlanta will show us they are the best team in the NFC? Has their beating better teams than the Saints (like the Broncos) not shown they are the best team in the NFC already?

In other football news, Tuesday Morning Quarterback noted last week of the Denver-San Diego comeback that when a team takes a big early lead, the opposition has just as much time to reply.

I'm going to stab myself in the eye if Gregg writes this statement one more time. If one team takes an early lead then that other team has as much time to come back. This is true in every single sport and is just a fancy way of saying "this game isn't halfway over yet." If less than half, or more than half, of a game is not over than one team has as much to reply in order to cut into a big lead. This is just basic common sense. Gregg is trying to hide the stupidity of this statement by dressing it up as a deep thought.

At Dallas, the Giants jumped to an early 23-0 lead, and seemed to think the contest was over. By late in the third quarter, Dallas led 24-23. But the Giants had a secret weapon -- Tony Romo.

The quarterback for the Cowboys was a "secret weapon" the Giants didn't see coming.

"What? The Cowboys are trying to throw the ball to get back into the game? How unexpected to see them throw the ball when down their best running back...and who is this Tony Romo guy? I never knew about this specific secret weapon that Dallas had on the team."

Dolphins head coach Joe Philbin called a bold game, including a surprise onside kick in the first quarter. Rex Ryan called a timid game, punting on fourth-and-5 from midfield when trailing 27-3. Later Ryan converted on fourth-and-1 in Jets' territory but at that point, there was too little time left.

I think Gregg needs to write these rules down for going for it on fourth down. It seems like NFL teams will go for it on fourth down, but then when they don't win the game Gregg will say it was too late to go for it on fourth down or use some other excuse as to why that team didn't win the game. If he could just write his rules for going for it on fourth down in TMQ one week that would be much appreciated.

The zombie series "The Walking Dead" is a TV hit, and hype has already started for the summer 2013 zombie flick "World War Z" with Brad Pitt. Zombies have been the theme of big-budget movies "I Am Legend," "28 Days Later," "Doomsday," the many "Dawn of the Dead" and "Resident Evil" films, "Cabin in the Woods," plus countless B movies, 

Zombies were the theme of "Cabin in the Woods?" There were zombies, but they weren't the theme of the movie. Not at all. The only way a person could think the theme of "Cabin in the Woods" was zombies is if he/she has not watched the movie.

This despite the fact that, how shall I phrase this -- zombies do not exist.

Football gods don't exist and this doesn't stop Gregg from writing about them every single week in his TMQ.

But the fixation of zombie shows and movies is puzzling -- all zombies do is stagger around saying "erg … arg." They have no personalities, goals or ideas. Wait: that must be why Hollywood loves zombies! Zombies stories require no character development or originality, just some fake blood and actors who say "erg … arg."

Sure. Zombie movies and television shows also make a lot of money. That could be another reason Hollywood loves them. I'm just eyeballing here, but I think Hollywood enjoys making money and zombie movies or television shows make money right now.

Still it seems particularly annoying that in zombie movies, the zombie plague always spreads super-ultra fast; causes instantaneous mutations; and makes zombies extra strong.

Because Gregg knows when the undead begin walking the earth, they will not be ultra-strong nor will the zombie plague spread fast. These things Gregg knows for sure.

On a physical basis, how could anything -- serums, viruses -- cause the human body instantaneously to transform? OK, zombie movies don't claim to make any sense.

Gregg continues to criticize zombie movies, even after admitting they aren't supposed to make sense. So his criticisms don't make sense either because they are based on a movie or television show that doesn't make sense. This is like me criticizing "Dora the Explorer" for a lack of accuracy and realism. 

But the whole notion of a super-disease that infects the whole world in just days is without grounding in history; even the Black Plague took decades to spread, and gradually was overcome by immune responses. Ghosts seem a lot more possible than zombies. 

There is no such thing as a zombie plague, so we don't know how fast it would spread. Any criticism over how quickly a zombie plague spreads on television is ridiculous, not only because it is criticism of a fictional zombie plague, but because we have no idea how fast it would spread.

New England's Rob Gronkowski came into the London game with 32 touchdown catches in his past 39 regular-season games. No one jammed Gronkowski on a touchdown catch the previous week versus Jersey/B.

Now it's New England 14, St. Louis 7, the Flying Elvii facing third-and-goal on Les Mouflons' 7. Gronkowski simply runs into the end zone, unjammed, and turns around, touchdown. And St. Louis defenders looked surprised! Will someone please jam Rob Gronkowski!

Yes, the Rams should not let Rob Gronkowski get a free release off the line of scrimmage, but I hope Gregg doesn't think jamming Gronkowski would effectively prevent him from scoring a touchdown. He is incredibly athletic and tall, so even if a team jams him there is a chance (especially with Tom Brady throwing him a pass) that he scores a touchdown. Jamming him is an excellent idea, but isn't a cure-all.

Maybe coaching does really matter... Last season with him running the defense, the Saints allowed 21 points per game. This season without him, the Sinners are allowing 31 points. Maybe coaching really does matter.

Yes, maybe coaching does matter. Who would have thought coaching mattered at all...especially someone like Gregg Easterbrook who writes in TMQ every week about how a coach's bad decision-making (like not going for it on fourth down) cost his team a victory because that decision didn't provide enough proof to his team that coach wanted to win the game.

Bad play by the New Orleans defense: early in the third quarter, Denver leading 17-7, the Sinners put seven men into the tackle box to stop the run, and backup tailback Ronnie Hillman went off-tackle for 31 yards. Long gainer against a run defense: ouch.

This is an "ouch" play, but the fact the Saints had seven men in the box also meant there were fewer defenders down field to tackle the ball carrier if he got past the line of scrimmage without being tackled. So with seven guys in the box, if the runner gets past the line of scrimmage it can often be a long gain like this.

Cheer-Babe Professionalism Watch: Now that the weather is turning cold, cheer-babe professionalism comes into play. Professionalism in this sense means skin or at least skin-tight, which propitiates the football gods.

This also appeases the creepy pervert in Gregg's soul. In Gregg's opinion, the only other thing that propitiate the football gods even more is if ex-backup quarterback punt protector Jets was shirtless in a catalog. Gregg also wants to know why is it so hard to find shirtless men on the Internet nowadays.

Saturday night at Norman, Okla., it was a nippy 42 degrees at kickoff. Sooners cheerleaders were all bundled up in heavy gear as if a blizzard was blowing through the stadium. Notre Dame cheerleaders wore miniskirts. That's all the information required to know who won the game. 

Doesn't Gregg mean Weasel Coach Brian Kelly won this game? If Notre Dame had lost you could bet that Gregg would call Brian Kelly a weasel coach for leaving both the University of Cincinnati and Central Michigan for an opportunity to coach at other schools. Verily, the Fighting Irish won so Gregg can't cherry-pick this week when he wants to state being a weasel coach doesn't pay off. 

The Dallas defense held, and Jersey/A punted with 51 seconds remaining. Dallas did not rush the punt -- an odd coaching choice.

Gregg considers this an odd coaching choice despite the fact Gregg has stated in the past a team has a better chance of committing a penalty for roughing the kicker than they have a chance of blocking the kick. Gregg has somewhat advocated for teams to not rush the punter for this reason. Gregg even said this is one of the virtues of his Pulaski Academy hero coach, Kevin Kelley. Naturally, Gregg urges the Cowboys to ignore his own advice so that he can criticize them for not doing something he doesn't consider worth doing anyway.

What's really driving your columnist crazy about this election is the rhetoric on Medicare. Romney and sidekick Paul Ryan say they want to cut federal spending but also want to increase Medicare spending by the strangely precise $716 billion.

This is probably the first and only time in history that $716 billion will be described as "strangely precise." I'm pretty sure Gregg thinks the use of any number outside of the number "1" is strangely precise.

Obama's projected $716 billion in future Medicare savings

What a strangely precise projected amount of savings!

Pulaski, which opened the season 1-2, won its sixth straight, improving to 7-2 and securing a postseason berth. On Friday, the Bruin play for the No. 1 seed. Here are Kelley's fourth-down decisions from last week: 

Fourth-and-15 on opponents' 18: Pass, touchdown.
Fourth-and-5 on own 37: Pass, incompletion.
Fourth-and-3 on opponents' 17: Rush, first down.
Fourth-and-3 on opponents' 8: Pass, first down.
Fourth-and-2 on opponents' 41: Rush, first down. 


What Gregg leaves out when telling us Pulaski went 4 for 5 on fourth down in this game is the caliber of the opponent they were playing. I believe he does this intentionally so his readers won't notice the talent disparity in this game. Pulaski won 57-24 against Sylvan Hills, who are 4-4 this season. There is a large gap in talent between these two teams. Pulaski is ranked 15th in the state of Arkansas.

Sylvan Hills is ranked 94th in the state of Arkansas.

The issue isn't whether Newton is a bust or whether he should be compared to black or white high-drafted quarterbacks. The issue is that he was chosen No. 1 overall, and needs to start winning games...If he doesn't produce W's, he will face the same criticism white No. 1 overall choices Couch and David Carr faced.

The issue that Warren Moon is trying to bring up is that he believes Newton is already facing the same criticism that Couch and David Carr faced. None of this crap really matters, but Gregg misses the point. The point isn't that Moon doesn't want Newton to face these comparisons and (what Moon sees as) unfair criticism in the future, but he is concerned these comparisons and unfair criticism are happening now.

Obscure College Score of the Week: Minnesota-Morris 30, Crown College 29 in overtime. Crown scored first in overtime, then missed its PAT: ouch. Located in Morris, Minn., the University of Minnesota-Morris boasts a biomass gasifier.

Peter King still thinks the PAT is a waste of time. There are so many other things that could be done in the time it takes to kick a PAT, like show even more commercials between the time a touchdown was scored and when the opposing team takes possession on offense. Instead of wasting time with a PAT, that is another 30 second commercial FOX/CBS/ESPN/NBC/NFL Network could show prior to the kickoff, at which point they go to commercial yet again before the team with possession of the ball runs a play.

Next Week: If you don't vote, you must never, ever complain about the result.

While I somewhat agree with this sentiment, what happens if a person doesn't like the options given to him when voting? Is it better to vote for a candidate you don't believe in just so you can say you voted? I'm just asking, but I somewhat believe a person could not vote and still complain, if the reason for voting was there isn't a candidate he/she believed in. Regardless, a person should vote because they want to make a difference with their vote, rather than so they have permission to bitch.

While I agree with this statement in some ways, it is also like saying if you don't eat at McDonald's then you can't complain about the fact they don't have anything on the menu that you like. 

Wednesday, November 23, 2011

1 comments J.S.' NFL Power Rankings: Week Eleven

Who's the best running back in the NFL? I heard on NFL Network last week LeSean McCoy's name thrown around lazily and without much apparent thought this week as the best running back in the NFL, as though that was a given. I disagree (although he is second in YPC with 5.5). Here is my list, for what it's worth.

1 - Matt Forte

Thought real, real hard about Peterson, and I do love him, but Forte just is the entire teams offense and while Peterson's line has deteriorated an awful lot the past three years, it's still a lot better than Chicago's. Peterson is getting better in the passing game but Forte has caught 46 passes this year. Peterson has caught 16.

2 - Adrian Peterson

Still, no one is a better runner, especially in terms of consistency both between the tackles and to the outside, than All Day.

3 - Arian Foster

Last year was no fluke. Big and fast like Peterson and makes the best cuts in the NFL. Can also carry thirty times a game without any apparent drop off in quality.

4 - LeSean McCoy

This seems about right. He's really fast and great in the open field and behind screens, but still isn't much of a trucking back or strong between the tackles. He also has more help in terms of weaponry than anyone above him on this list. I'd be lying if I said the Eagles dismal season didn't play into my thought process somewhat as well.

5 - Frank Gore

I have been a hater of the highest class against Gore, there's no doubt, but Alex Smith can't throw at all, and while the defense is good, much of the credit for their deceptive, but still very good, 9-1 record belongs to Gore, who has both stayed on the field, and given the offense one thing it can count on each week.

Fred Jackson might be going down with the ship, and his first 9 games this season are the very definition of statistical outlier. Chris Johnson looks unforgivably bad, and Ray Rice seems to get slightly worse every year. Turner (consistent but not enough of a pass catching/blocking factor), Jackson (injury prone and aging), Jones-Drew (does it all in an awful offense without help, but not sure about him on short yardage) and McFadden (injury prone and not enough evidence that he is an elite runner here to stay, not just yet) were all tough omission. Criticisms are fully expected in the comments.

Also, Bautista and Kemp were fucking robbed.

Onto the rankings.

1 - GREEN BAY (-)
10-0, 1st NFC NORTH
W 35-26 vTB, next @DET

That's the closest the Packers have looked to losing all season (maybe the opener against Norlans notwithstanding). The Bucs did it with pressure, they played one of the most blitz happy games all year by anyone and it worked, sort of. Certainly Rodgers is a great improvisor (28 yards on 5 rushes and many throws on the run, including an amazing shovel pass to Starks for a third down conversion), and made some things happen with his legs, but you'd prefer that to his normal surgical precision. He didn't quite look flustered, he still had a semblance of control (he still threw for a 112.3 rating), but this time he seemed to have one hand on the steering wheel rather than the customary two.

2 - HOUSTON (-)
7-3, 1st AFC SOUTH
BYE, next @JAX

We get out first look at Matt Leinart next week, but I don't particular feel concerned. I seriously doubt he'll be much worse than Colt McCoy, Blaine Gabbert or any of the other 6-8 worst quarterbacks in the league. How could you really? He's been the backup in Houston for a couple of years, knows the offense, resigned with them, comfortable with his surrounds, Andre Johnson back, it all augers well. Of course, until we see it...

3 - NEW ORLEANS (-)
7-3, 1st NFC SOUTH
BYE, next vNYG


New Orleans offensive line has a claim as the best in the league in pass protection. Drew Brees has attempted 299 passes, 46 more than second placed New England (more than 4.5 more attempts a game!) and yet Brees has been sacked less than twice a contest. And if you think they keep out defensive ends well, wait until you see their guard pairing of Jahri Evans and Carl Nicks, easily the best in the league.

4 - NEW ENGLAND (-)
7-3, 1st AFC EAST
W 34-3 vKC, next @PHI


Remember back when we thought New England might, not be toast, but no longer reserved a seat at the playoff table? All those many moons, 14 to be exact, ago? Having won two straight and with Buffalo and New York losing two straight (and both looking abysmal in doing so), Miami might be the biggest concern for the Pats now. Their upcoming schedule is basically waving them in for landing on the playoff runway now.

5 - PITTSBURGH (-)
7-3, T-1st AFC NORTH
BYE, next @KC

Baltimore's victory was bad news for the Steelers, who would much have preferred tussling with the Bengals, over whom they already hold a victory. They are guarenteed to lose a tiebreaker to the Ravens, who have knocked them over twice. It would also have meant Baltimore would have been reeling in their last five games, instead of having somewhat righted the ship with Sunday's win.

6 - ATLANTA (-)
6-4, 2nd NFC SOUTH
W 23-17 vTEN, next vMIN

Have looked just irresistable the last two weeks - admittedly at home. Tennessee did not run a play in Atlanta territory until 18 seconds remained in the first half. I'm not sure why they seem to attract such lukewarm reaction, they are playing brilliantly, have a great offensive line (Tyson Clabo is a beast), a great quarterback (Ryan has been red hot the past three games with 942 yards, 6TDs and 2INTs, completing 60.2% of his throws for a 99.38 rating), a great running back (along with some interesting change of pace and ball catching options), a good tight end and 2/3 receivers and a legitimate #1 receiver. Sure, their defense isn't great, but it's really not bad either (did you know Atlanta is 2nd in the NFL in rushing yards against?). This game was not as close as the scoreline suggests, Atlanta smoked 'em.

7 - SAN FRANCISCO (-)
9-1, 1st NFC WEST
W 23-7 vARI, next @BAL

I know they are a handful of plays away from 10-0. I know they've made that record without even having to play that many NFC West games (2). I don't care. They are not a top five team with that pass attack. Not in today's NFL. They are 27th in passing yards. 27th. New Orleans (1), New England (2), Green Bay (3), Pittsburgh (4), Giants (6), Dallas (7), Detroit (9), Houston (10) and on it goes. I know yardage is famously misleading, but see for yourself. Look at the company San Francisco are keeping. Tomorrow is the biggest test for the Niners so far - win there and I promise you, passing offense or no, I will be promoting them.

8 - CHICAGO (+1)
7-3, T-2nd NFC NORTH
W 31-20 vSD, next @OAK

Returns (from both Hester and Knox) kept them not only in this game, but up early. Knox had a 53 yard kick return and Hester 37 and 22 yard punt returns. By and large, this was Chicago's weakest performance of the five game winning streak. Of course now attention pivots to Cutler's broken thumb which will keep him out the rest of the regular season. Matt Forte's already substantial degree of difficulty ratcheted up a notch and the NFC Wild Card race has become increasingly complicated. Won five straight.

9 - BALTIMORE (+2)
7-3, T-1st AFC NORTH
W 31-24 vCIN, next vSF

Their offense is terrible, botched handoffs, penalties, they can't even executed their beloved interior screens at the moment. Flacco hit big passes to Smith, Dickson and Boldin in the second quarter (deep, challenging the corners without Leon Hall), but that was basically it. It was smart and hardly irrelevant, but Baltimore's offense didn't look sharp for the lion's share of this game (13 first downs all day). Still, I suppose Cincy is a for real defense so perhaps it is forgivable. I continue to have grave reservations. It is worth remembering, even in their awful performances, the defense is reliable (though the secondary was shaky down the stretch). It is one of the most consistent units in football and was essentially the difference in this game with three turnovers and a goal line stand on the final plays.

10 - DETROIT (-)

7-3, T-2nd NFC NORTH
W49-35 vCAR, next vGB

The easy narrative is that the turnovers are killing them (9 in the last two weeks), and they are, but it's a more fundamental problem than that. Yeah, Calvin eventually bagged five catches for 89 yards, but he's been shut out of the endzone for a couple of weeks now and only had one catch in the first half, and the entire offense seizes up in fear without him. They can't defend the run to save their life (28th, 4.9YPA against and Williams/Stewart had 95 yards on 18 carries here), nor a screen, and when the ball actually gets in the air they are only average. Basically anything that requires them actually tackling someone is a worry. The whole defense is predicated on a pass rush, their whole offense is predicated on Calvin Johnson (and despite the 140 yards on 16 carries here, no, more Kevin Smith is not the answer). Both are very good, but with two games left against the Packers and the Bears storming home, are Detroit really good enough? Have a pinky left on the bandwagon and am very worried about the Thanksgiving contest against Green Bay.

11 - DALLAS (+2)
6-4, T-1st NFC EAST
W 27-24 (OT) @WAS, next vMIA

DeMarco Murray thudded back to Earth hard. It's hard to think of a relevant run he had the entire first half, and Dallas force fed him (at one point he had 20 yards on 10 carries, he finished with a not much better 73 on 25). As I've said before, Dallas are a mediocre team at best when they can't run, and this was a particulary visceral example of that. Regular readers will also know I am a Romo apologist, and leaving him hanging out to dry, against a good pass rushing team (T-1st in sacks with 31 and had 4 with 12 total hits in this game) was always going to go bad places (although Romo's numbers, 292 yards on 37 throws with 3TDs didn't reveal the trouble he was so often in). Special teams too, was a major issue, with Banks punt returns of 55 and 32 yards. An unconvincing performance, but the Giants loss was huge for the new NFC East favourites. At home to Miami is not the straightforward contest it looked a month ago.

12 - JETS (-4)
5-5, T-2nd AFC EAST
L 13-17 @DEN, next vBUF

I could tell you about the first shank punt that got 13 yards. I could tell you about the missed 50 yarder. I could tell you about the 61 yard kickoff return conceded. I could even tell you about the punt that trapped the Jets on the 1 yard line, a drive that led to Goodman's pick six, which might not have been a pick six elsewhere on the field. But in the end, there's not enough offense to take the team seriously as a contender in today's NFL. The key has been a mediocre year from the previously top five offensive line. Despite being 19th in pass attempts, the Jets have conceded the eighth most sacks this year (26).

13 - GIANTS (-1)
6-4, T-1st NFC EAST
L 10-17 vPHI, next @NO

Eli Manning threw one of the most inexplicable, terrible interceptions you will ever see in the first quarter. The absolute obsession with deep balls (why would you want to go deep on a team with Samuel and Asomugha is beyond me) did not help. I suppose that's Manning (18/35, 264 yards with a TD and a pick), who has been amazing this year, occasionally, he'll be just abysmal (he got negative help from his receivers, who seemed to be paid by the drop). He's like an incredibly rich, investment banker man's Rex Grossman. The Giants had 36 yards on their first 23 plays, which is fucking incredible really. It's as simple as this - the New York Giants just did not come to play in this game, and it has cost them sole possession of the NFC East division lead with a non-compliant schedule continuing next week at the Saints. A very costly loss.

14 - CINCINNATI (-)
6-4, 3rd AFC NORTH
L 24-31 @BAL, next vCLE

The secondary was flat out awful in this game. Awful to a degree that simply losing Leon Hall cannot account for. They allowed throws of 49, 38, 35, 28 and failed to halt a Ray Rice run of 59 yards. The front seven continued their good work but the loss of Hall is likely to be terminal on this performance. Equally missed was AJ Green. Dalton attacked deep in the first half but his second rate receiving corps was unable to help and you couldn't help but think Green might have made a difference in this game, especially early. As it was, this they lost on the strength of a questionable review. They have had a good season (I consider them essentially San Francisco minus the hype), and with the Bills, Titans and Jets collapsing in a heap and the AFC West being awful, the wild card torch remains aflame.

15 - TAMPA BAY (+2)
4-6, 3rd NFC SOUTH
L 26-35 @GB, next @TEN


The good Tampa team definitely showed up for this one. What killed them was penalties (9, including four on a critical fourth quarter drive from the Packers and one that cost four points by removing a Winslow TD) and some lost broken plays against them defensively, where they were generally excellent. Yes, you can be excellent against Green Bay and give up 35 points. Winslow was out of this Universe with 9 catches for 132 yards, but Blount wasn't nearly as good as his line (18 rushes for 107 yards with a TD) suggested. The 54 yarder was one of the runs of the season, to b sure, but it came down 14-0, largely due to two yards on his first four carries. He had too many negative or no yardage plays. If that seems harsh, well...you're playing Green Bay.

16 - MIAMI (+3)
3-7, 4th AFC EAST
W 35-8 vBUF, next @DAL

Honest to God, Matt Moore looked fucking great in this game (16/20 160 yards with 3TDs). I don't know how much of it was Buffalo's atrocious...everything, but just about everyone looked fantastic. The receivers made a number of athletic, and cerebral plays (and not even relying on Marshall, who only had five yards receiving, perhaps the most amazing stat all day). The offensive line was shooing away defenders like flies (Buffalo only got to Moore twice, and one was a coverage sack on a 10-12 second developing play). The special teams didn't allow any kind of returns and of course, a blocked punt and the defense looked like one of the best in the league, generating two turnovers, stifling anything on the ground (41 yards on 19 carries from the Bills) and could have had much more the way a terrified Fitzpatrick was fumbling all day. If they didn't dig themselves such a deep hole, and with the way the presumptive AFC Wild Cards have looked, you'd fancy them for a playoff spot.

17 - SEATTLE (+1)
4-6, 2nd NFC WEST
W 24-7 @STL, next vWAS

Held Steven Jackson to 2.8YPC to move to third in YPA behind Baltimore and Cincinnati. Are 2-3 on the road, which is like a perfect season for them. A very winnable game next week

18 - TENNESSEE (-3)
5-5, 2nd AFC SOUTH
L 17-23 @ATL, next vTB

I think I have given enough attention to Chris "Negative Yardage on the Play" Johnson's single handed execution of the Titans season (2TDs, 3.2YPC all season, amazing). Instead, I want to congratulate Jake Locker (9/19 for 2TDs and 140 yards) on an exceptionally promising opening performance. Sure, it was against a soft zone and in a very specific circumstance, but you could do an awful lot worse. At least the Titans might be able to take a genuinely exciting future QB out of this season. Tennessee, however, are not going to the playoffs. Since shocking Baltimore in Week Two, their wins have come against Carolina, Denver, Cleveland, Denver (pre-Tebow, if that is meaningful to you) and Indianapolis. They lost by 21 to the Steelers and 34 to the Texans.

19 - OAKLAND (+3)
6-4, 1st AFC WEST
W 27-21 @MIN, next vCHI


They might have enough you know, even without McFadden for the forseeable future. Palmer (a servicable 17/23 for 164 yards and a TD in this game) has played well the last two weeks, albeit into two of the softest secondaries out there. If they can lead the AFC West after trysts against the Bears, Dolphins and Packers, it's unlikely the Tebows or Chargers (who haven't won since October 9th) will be able to hunt them down.

20 - DENVER (+3)
5-5, 2nd AFC WEST
W 17-13 vNYJ, next @SD

Denver is tied for 8th in sacks this year with 27. Dumervil may be rounding into form with 3.5 sacks in his last three games, and likely Defensive Rookie of the Year Von Miller has an exceptional 9.5 on the year. A good Denver pass rush, and opportunistic corners (Goodman and Bailey have three picks in their last three games) can allow this defense to keep up, it's certainly asked to do plenty of work by it's offense. Denver are playing with no margin of error and hoping each bounce of the ball favours them, so far, so good in their abomination of a division.

21 - SAN DIEGO (-)
4-6, T-3rd AFC WEST
L 20-31 @CHI, next vDEN

I've always thought he was pretty overrated, but Vincent Jackson has been great this year (800 receiving yards, 8th in the NFL) and especially recently (328 yards and 3TDs the last three games). Watching this game you could just see how inexperienced the Chargers were on both lines and while the offensive line did surprisingly well against the intimidating Bears front seven (got to Rivers just once all day), the three men up front on defense could not occupy blockers. Couple that with no Shaun Phillips and there was no pass rush whatsoever. But never fear, the Chargers have Antoine Cason in the secondary...yeah...

22 - PHILADELPHIA (+4)
4-6, 3rd NFC EAST
W 17-10 @NYG, next vNE

Vince Young looked like he hadn't thrown a football in any capacity in six months (258 yards on 36 throws with 3 picks, though he improved as the game went on). Combined with Manning's resolute show of incompetence, made this a shockingly difficult game to watch. DeSean Jackson is not only playing like shit, he's playing like shit and being stupid too - awesome (to be fair, he did everything imaginable to make up for the worst penalty of the season, he finished with 88 yards on six catches and 51 yard punt return that set up the first Eagles TD). Kudos to the much maligned offensive line, which showed just how terrible this Giants defense is if you can block them (New York touched Young just twice). Not getting sucked in after how badly they have played mind you.

23 - BUFFALO (-7)
5-5, T-2nd AFC EAST
L 8-35 @MIA, next @NYJ

As cliche as it is, it really does fit.

24 - JACKSONVILLE (-4)
3-7, 3rd AFC SOUTH
L 10-14 @CLE, next vHOU

Have not scored more than 20 points all season. They are last in yards, points, 2nd last in first downs, last in YPA, last in passing TDs (6!). They are even 26th in YPC!

25 - CAROLINA (+2)
2-8, 4th NFC SOUTH
L 35-49 @DET, next @IND

Running out of puff in the second half and their offense looks a lot less dynamic than it did six weeks ago. Newton has thrown five interceptions against one touchdown the last two weeks. Their defense (Detroit had 495 yards of offense) remains the subbest of pars. Special teams were fantastic, Mare barely let Logan out of the endzone on kick returns and of course Pilares ran one back for a TD. Must win, as far as must win's go for a 2-8 team, next week at Indy.

26 - MINNESOTA (-2)
2-8, 4th NFC NORTH
L 21-27 vOAK, next @ATL

Christian Ponder, under the circumstances, has had a solid start to his rookie campaign. He ran for 71 yards in this game which masked a shocking game throwing, which was made to look better than it was by chasing in the fourth quarter (19/33 for 211 yards, 2TDs and 3 picks). Adrian Peterson's injury closes the chapter on another sad year for the Vikes.

27 - ARIZONA (-2)
3-7, 3rd NFC WEST
L 7-23 @SF, next @STL

If I had a dollar for every dropped pass or overthrown ball by these two teams...well...I'd have had a lot of dollars. Skelton and Smith combined to go 5/19 in the first quarter - with an interception.

28 - CLEVELAND (+2)
4-6, 4th AFC NORTH
W 14-10 vJAX, next @CIN

Worst 4-6 team ever? The teams they have beat have a combined record of 10-30, the best team they beat was Seattle in Cleveland. They have won those games by 16 points, total. They have scored 44 points in their last five games. They have two more home games all season - against the Steelers and Ravens...good luck.

29 - WASHINGTON (+2)
3-7, 4th NFC EAST
L 24-27 (OT) vDAL, next @SEA

The difference between Grossman (25/38 with 289 yards, 2TDs and a pick) and Beck is that while Grossman probably will ruin your offense eventually, at least you'll have an offense to ruin. I would be surprised if they return to Beck after this week, although Mike Shanahan is an incompetant and spiteful coach, so who knows. Have lost six straight.

30 - ST. LOUIS (-2)
2-8. 4th NFC WEST
L 7-24 vSEA, next vARI

Matt Millen said this week on NFL Network that Brandon Lloyd was "one of the best wide receivers in the game today". Brandon Lloyd does not have a touchdown this season. Then again, Matt Millen thought that about Mike Williams, Roy Williams and Charles Rogers at one point too.

31 - KANSAS CITY (-3)
4-6, T-3rd NFC WEST
L 3-34 @NE, next vPIT

Tied with San Diego, as we all expected, heading into a tight December and frantic finish in the AFC West. Sadly, this pre-season prediction which was no doubt out there, is technically still true.

32 - INDIANAPOLIS (-)
0-10, 4th AFC SOUTH
BYE, next vCAR

I'm not sure how this is going to translate, but this was a hilarious video of the worst team in the Australian Football League's fictional tussle with the bye which seems apt this week.

Wednesday, November 16, 2011

4 comments J.S.' NFL Power Rankings: Week Ten

This week really seemed to be a turning point for the NFL season, maybe the most important week thus far. The entire AFC North don't seem up for the job and the Chargers took the final fatal blow to their Superbowl hopes, irrespective of what ultimately happens in the AFC West (a division I now think is the NFL's worst). The NFC South sorted the men from the boys, finally. The NFC East, which just a few weeks ago looked bunched up, now has two clear contenders for the crown, and neither is everyone's pre-season favourite, the Eagles, who also put everyone out of their misery. Detroit, Chicago, Atlanta, New Orleans, New England and the Jets all played each other in mouth watering division matchups and potential playoff previews.


1 - GREEN BAY (-)
9-0, 1st NFC NORTH
W 45-7 vMIN, next vTB


Rodgers has thrown in excess of a 140 passer rating in three straight games (though two were against a ghastly Minny secondary). He has not thrown for under 110 against anyone but Chicago (and a Lions game where injury meant he threw only 11 passes) since October last year. That includes the playoffs and covers 20 games. He's thrown for 53 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. On NFL Network this week, Joe Theismann was talking about how watching Rodgers is like watching Picasso paint. I reflexively laughed it off as ridiculous but you know what? It actually isn't. A quarterback has not played this well for such a long stretch of football in my generation - enjoy it. If Green Bay does not win the Superbowl this year I will honestly die of shock.


2 - HOUSTON (-)
7-3, 1st AFC SOUTH
W 39-7 @TB, next BYE


There's plenty of room on the bandwagon. Jump on! Andre Johnson finally comes back after the bye, but he's been promised in just about each of the last three weeks - I'll believe it when I see it. It's good to see Schaub finally have a good game, he threw for 2 TDs and 242 yards on just 15 throws (154.9 rating) after 88.9 against the Jags and just 56.3 against a bad Cleveland defense. On the bell, I found out he's out for the season with the sexily named Lisfranc injury. Normally I'd drop a team down a number of places when they lose their starting QB (especially a good one), and am bracing to do just that. But they do have a bye week to get Leinart up to speed, so as much as this kind of thing can be timed well, this is. Matt Leinart, in principle, should be a reasonable backup too. Andre Johnson will help, and remember, this team has the best running game in the NFL. I'm giving them a chance - Houston have outscored their opponents 132-42 in the last four weeks.

3 - NEW ORLEANS (+1)
7-3, 1st NFC SOUTH
W 26-23 (OT) @ATL, next BYE


This was an amazing game of football, maybe the best all season. As much as I loved what Atlanta did (best performance by a losing team all season), and I thought the Saints were lucky to win, I think New Orleans beats them on a neutral field maybe eight times out of ten. Jimmy Graham set a franchise record for season receptions by a tight end during this game (62), a pretty amazing accomplishment considering it was set in the first half of the Saints tenth game. He is incredibly 5th in the league in receiving yards (873). More records - Drew Brees has the most passing yards of any quarterback in history through ten games (3,326). They have an exceptional offensive line (they have conceded no sacks and just five hits over their last two games, even against teams with bad pass rushes that is fantastic), great stable of versatile backs and a QB that is perhaps, amazingly, underrated because of the craziness going on in Green Bay. The Saints have their problems, they aren't perfect, but they are damn good.



4 - NEW ENGLAND (+4)

6-3, 1st AFC EAST

W 37-16 @NYJ, next vKC



It's a top quality offensive line...on pass protection at least, defending Brady well (was hit just once all night) against the best blitz in the league. Brady (26/39 for 329 yards and 3TDs) himself had a great game, back to his best against the most complete pass defense in the league. Speaking of blitzes and pass protection, New England might have raised a few eyebrows by generating a very real pass rush here against the Jets (5 sacks, 14 hits). It was quite impressive at times against a good offensive line. If that trend can maintain, New England may be on the way back. You can win being a bad, even very bad, defensive team in the NFL, but you need a defensive gimmick. Usually it's turnovers, but it can be pass rushing or third down defense or something like that. New England may have stumbled onto theirs, led by specialists Mark Anderson (5 sacks this year) and Andre Carter (9, with a ludicrous 4.5 in this one game). New England has the easiest schedule remaining of any team (Chiefs, Colts, Dolphins and Bills at home and Philly, Washington and Denver on the road) so their playoff ticket is all but stamped with this win.



5 - PITTSBURGH (-)
7-3, 1st AFC NORTH
W 24-17 @CIN, next BYE


Came into this game having generated only 4 turnovers all season. That is the lowest total for any team after nine games in NFL history - and that includes 0-9 and 1-8 teams, let alone the 6-3 lot. Their aging and less vicious D has taken some getting used to (though they have four picks in their last three games which is some improvement), but Pittsburgh have maybe the best top two receivers of any team in the league (how's that for a provocative statement?). Antonio Brown is arguably the most improved player in the NFL, and he is making Hines Ward so laughably irrelevant it doesn't even bear discussing. As I have said at other points this season, the Steelers are quietly rebuilding with dignity. They are turning into a team whos best asset is their passing game. I'd be flabbergasted if they win the Superbowl (or even the AFC), but they are certainly not disgracing themselves.


6 - ATLANTA (+4) 5-4, 2nd NFC SOUTH
L 23-26 vNO, next vTEN


I thought the Falcons outplayed the Saints quite conclusively here, despite the score. I know it's easy to "Eckstein" Grimes, but I love his commitment, and in honesty, that is a real trait of the Falcons defense. They aren't especially talented or physical, but they play a good zone, and are committed on every play. Not only did they key in on Sproles (who touched the ball six times for three yards) but they took away every checkdown from Brees (Pierre Thomas and Mark Ingram had five catches for just 12 yards). They keep the Falcons in games, including this one. A team like New England, with a much more creative coach, could learn a lot from this group. Michael Turner has had a great year (4.4YPC with a substantial workload - he is second to only Jones-Drew in carries - and his best receiving year ever), which is what he needed to to make sure this Falcons team was relevant. Atlanta is one of the very few teams in the league that can show run and run for consistent yardage. He's one of the toughest runners to bring down in the league, with a huge, momentum shifting 4th down run in the third quarter (a simple, but great, call from Smith). The Falcons scored their first TD on the next play. He is the Atlanta Falcons offensive identity. With that in mind, here's my thing about the fourth down call in overtime; I have no problem with it, but on 3rd and 2, twice in the extra period, Atlanta threw - why?


7 - SAN FRANCISCO (+2)

8-1, 1st NFC WEST
W 27-20 vNYG, next vARI


The vaunted Giants pass rush just didn't show up (2 sacks and 6 total hits), or more accurately, was shut down by a much improved offensive line. San Fran do have the aura of a team that is genuinely getting better as the season moves forward. They are at least "good". It is relevant that the Niners can win a game where Frank Gore gains not a single yard on his 6 first half carries. It is irrelevant that Troy Aikman actually called Alex Smith an "elite quarterback" (this was a thirtieth ranked pass offense in the NFL coming into this week), he also intimated Delani Walker was more important to the San Francisco offense than Vernon Davis. No.




8 - JETS (-2)

5-4, T-2nd AFC EAST

L 16-37 vNE, next @DEN



I really thought New York blew this game (the score looks bad but this was a one touchdown game at the start of the final quarter). They shut the Pats running game (which has been falling apart gradually all year, has dropped to #20 in the league, 11 yards on their first 9 carries and finished with a 2.1YPC average) down in their best performance up front defensively all year. They stopped Welker (who I think is very good, but overrated, he's the best in the league on drags, curls, slants, bubble screens, fine, but there is more to being a wide receiver than that and he just can't get seperation, had just 46 yards and no TDs here) via the Revis effect. And the Pats defense, especially in the secondary (which was banged up), was as confused as ever (even with Sanchez, of all people, forced to throw for the majority of the second half, he still accrued 7.8YPA). Stupid turnovers (especially on the punt return when three Jets seemed to wrap it up with barely any Patriots around) and a missed twenty four yard field goal changed the complexion of the game dramatically. Best wild card team in the AFC though.




9 - CHICAGO (+3)

6-3, T-2nd NFC NORTH

W 37-13 vDET, next vSD



There may be no wilder swing from worst performances to best performances in the NFL than Chicago. Collecting turnovers (especially forcing fumbles) has always been a hallmark of the best Chicago teams. Historically (last 5-10 years) they have been the best in the league at this, even moreso than stalwart defenses in Baltimore and Pittsburgh. They have solved their rushing problems (9th in YPC), their pass protection problems (just eleven hits and four sacks in their last three games), and are at their electrifying best on special teams (averaging more than 2 yards per punt return more than #2 in the league), turnovers (6 in this game) was the final piece of the puzzle to lock into place. I mentioned last week that Chicago needed to win one of their remaining games against Detroit, San Diego or Green Bay. Detroit was the most alluring of those prizes and now they have it. San Diego look a clearly inferior team. Chicago has the inside track to the playoffs now, and it's time to acknowledge - this is a dangerous football team.



10 - DETROIT (-3)

6-3, T-2nd NFC NORTH

L 13-37 @CHI, next vCAR



Came into this game with the fewest turnovers in the league, which was pretty unbelievable considering they are one of the most egregious bunch of chuckers in the NFL (2nd in pass attempts). Luck was probably always gonna bite them in the ass at some point and it happened in the worst possible game, against the very team they are likely to be fighting for a wildcard birth with. Even Calvin Johnson was pretty poor in the red zone, with a drop and three targets leading to no catches in the red zone. On one level, this happens to passing teams (including good ones), turnovers that is, and a certain inconsistency in finishing in the red zone, and anyone can (and pretty much everyone has) be Hestered. You'd still rather, by and large, to be a pass reliant team in the NFL rather than a run reliant team. On the other hand, Detroit has won only once since the 9th of October, and with a history of losing (including this) haunting this franchise, which has not made the playoffs since 1999. Next week is a game they should win, against a swooning Panthers team in Michigan. The degree of difficulty is straightforward, but the pressure is absolutely enormous - a loss in that game, with Atlanta and the Bears playing so brilliantly at the moment, jeopardises their season in a profound way.



11 - BALTIMORE (-8)

6-3, T-2nd AFC NORTH

L 17-22 @SEA, next vCIN


Without a couple of miracles, the Ravens would be on a four game losing streak. They never even led in this game. Flacco had another terrible performance with 255 yards on 52 throws (seriously?). They gave the ball 53 times to Flacco to throw, guess how many times they gave it to Ray Rice to run? Five. Fucking five. Are you serious Harbaugh? Are you honestly going to sit there, with your oblong head, and look me in the eye and say "yes, I think giving Ray Rice the ball five times in a game gives us the best chance to win"? Seattle are honestly not that bad, but again, think about that prospective four game losing streak. Even pulling out a big sweep of the Steelers, it's impossible to take them seriously for the Lombardi trophy with how they've played over the past month against a basically cupcake schedule.



12 - GIANTS (-1)

6-3, 1st NFC EAST

L 20-27 @SF, next vPHI

The question was always going to be, against Justin Smith and the endless parade of San Francisco linebackers, if the Giants, led by tantrum thrower Brandon Jacobs, could run the football against the #1 rush defense in the league (73.2YPG, a full 13 yards better than #2 Cincinnati). The Giants tried, but no dice (Jacobs had 55 yards on 18 carries). Manning (who really is having a transcendent season, again, obscured by Rodgers with a 97.0 rating on the season, although take note, that's actually lower than the much vilified Tony Romo) started with ten straight completions for 102 yards. He finished strong as well. Unfortunately the lack of a viable ground game allowed San Francisco to cheat on the throw and once a two score lead was established, with the help of several picks (and many drops by Manning's substandard receivers), the mountain was too high to climb.



13 - DALLAS (+4)

5-4, 2nd NFC EAST

W 44-7 vBUF, next @WAS


It hasn't been against the creme de la creme of run defenses in the NFL, but DeMarco Murray has 601 yards in his last four games at 8.01 YPC. I don't care who is tackling him, you have to start to take this kid seriously now. As I alluded to in past weeks, a functional running gamemakes the Cowboys a totally different - and dangerous - team. It's a dogfight in the NFC East now, with the Giants wrestling with the best teams in the NFL at the same time as Dallas take on some of the worst.


14 - CINCINNATI (-1)

6-3, T-2nd AFC NORTH

L 17-24 vPIT, next @BAL



Probably didn't win many believers, and remember they still have to go into Pittsburgh, but certainly proved their record wasn't purely smoke and mirrors. Missed Carlos Dunlap (3 sacks this year, but played much better that that) and as a consequence got carried away with blitzes, especially early. Overpursuit was practically the motif of the first quarter, and the Steelers shrewdly used some quick slants and end arounds to confuse the talented, but young, defense. Cincy did grab plenty of sacks (5 and an amazing 18 hits), but they paid the piper, with it costing some big third downs, including a 3rd and 19 completion to Brown and several throws on early drives to put them in a 14-0 hole. As for the offense, it was simply overmatched (279 yards with two picks), as surely everyone had to know was on the cards. Baltimore look vulnerable in next week's matchup.



15 - TENNESSEE (+4)

5-4, 2nd AFC SOUTH

W 30-3 @CAR, next @ATL



Don't believe Johnson (174 yards from scrimmage) is back. Averaging 4.8YPC against that defense is no great accomplishment. My concern is on the offense after Britt's injury, I think the defense is fundamentally sound, if nothing more than that. Despite having an age in the pocket, against a poor secondary, Hasselbeck only managed 219 yards on 27 throws, completing only 15 and throwing a pick to go with the TD. In his first four games this year, Hasselbeck was Aaron Rodgers level hot (almost literally), throwing at a 104.7 rating. In the five games since (including dates with Indy and Carolina) he is throwing at a 77.6 rating.




16 - BUFFALO (-1)

5-4, T-2nd AFC EAST

L 7-44 @DAL, next @MIA






17 - TAMPA BAY (-1)

4-5, 3rd NFC SOUTH

L 9-37 vHOU, next @GB


Sunday was the perfect day for the NFC South to find it's own level. While the Falcons and Saints engaged in a battle royale, the Bucs and Panthers, two very young teams, fell away to lose by a combined 67-12. They are 28th in pass defense and 29th in run defense. Upcoming games at the Packers and Tennessee should KO this team. I know what you're thinking by the way - how the fuck is Tampa Bay, a team who has lost four of their past five by a combined -84 points a) the 17th best team in the league and b) dropped only one spot after losing by four touchdowns? From here on out, things get really ugly, it might be a good time to turn the children away from the computer screen. Read on if you dare.



18 - SEATTLE (+6)

3-6, T-2nd NFC WEST

W 22-17 vBAL, next @STL


Sure, it was built on the humble trio of turnovers, field goals and time of possession, but it's yet another example of Seattle's toughness this year, in the face of what appeared to be a humiliating season. Clearly the second best team in their division and with a lot of promising young talent, especially on a defense which I feel will be top five within three years.



***I'm really sorry, but something happened with Blogger for the last 14 teams and it deleted everything after this (I write this over several days) so no writeups, but thankfully, the main teams that are important were saved. Many of the below had only a couple of sentences. Exceptions were;



Oakland, who I still think are bad, but found the long passing game I wrote about in the KC loss



Indy, detailing exactly how insanely bad their offense and especially Painter have been



Arizona, who's secondary amazingly held Philadelphia to just 123 passing yards...on the road, among other amazing exercises in fail in that game



Philadelphia, DeSean Jackson has especially sucked this year, and especially on returns and in the running game



And generally, I slander, and slander hard, the AFC West



You've read 75-80% of what I had written, so it wasn't a major tragedy. Again, apologies, although it seems strangely apt seeing as really, the bottom half of teams in the NFL are all almost beneath contempt, but I assure you I wasn't merely being lazy but was instead fucked over by Blogger. If you are interested in my justifications or opinions of any of the below teams, please comment and I'll be happy to oblige***

19 - MIAMI (+4)

2-7, 4th AFC EAST

W 20-9 vWAS, next vBUF

20 - JACKSONVILLE (+1)

3-6, 3rd AFC SOUTH

W 17-3 @IND, next @CLE



21 - SAN DIEGO (-7)

4-5, T-2nd AFC WEST

L 17-24 vOAK, next @CHI



22 - OAKLAND (+5)

5-4, 1st AFC WEST

W 24-17 @SD, next @MIN



23 - DENVER (+3)

4-5, T-2nd AFC WEST

W 17-10 @KC, next vNYJ



24 - MINNESOTA (-2)

2-7, 4th NFC NORTH

L 7-45 @GB, next vOAK



25 - ARIZONA (+3)

3-6, T-2nd NFC WEST

W 21-17 @PHI, next @SF



26 - PHILADELPHIA (-8)

3-6, 3rd NFC EAST

L 17-21 vARI, next @NYG



27 - CAROLINA (-7)

2-7, 4th NFC SOUTH

L 3-30 vTEN, next @DET



28 - ST. LOUIS (+1)

2-7, 4th NFC WEST

W 13-12 @CLE, next vSEA



29 - KANSAS CITY (-4)

4-5, T-2nd AFC WEST

L 10-17 vDEN, next @NE



30 - CLEVELAND (-)

3-6, 4th AFC NORTH

L 12-13 vSTL, next vJAX



31 - WASHINGTON (-)

3-6, 4th NFC EAST

L 9-20 @MIA, next vDAL



32 - INDIANAPOLIS (-)

0-10, 4th AFC SOUTH
L 3-17 vJAX, next BYE