Showing posts with label ben roethlisberger. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ben roethlisberger. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 4, 2015

4 comments MMQB Review: Ronda Rousey Obsession Edition

In last week's MMQB, Peter King struggled a bit with the concept that not everyone thinks Russell Wilson is on the quarterbacking level that Aaron Rodgers is on. He also interviewed Adrian Peterson and nailed down that Adrian Peterson knew he wouldn't leave the Vikings even though he wanted to very badly. Also, he enjoyed his coffee this week and felt it was important to mention this immediately after brief commentary about a theater shooting. This week talks about sobering life lessons, Robert Griffin knowing this is his last chance (probably not), Brady v. Goodell (again), and the NFL has somehow managed to implement the dumbest fucking rule about giving footballs to fans. The NFL is going down a weird road with their Draconian policies. This one could cost Cam Newton $100,000 next year. Oh well, it's not like he can't afford it.

Here’s how football locker rooms have changed before our eyes, per Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan, who was a rookie in 2008:

“When I came into the league, guys would be playing cards in the locker room, and dominoes,” Ryan said Sunday. “Now, they’re still playing cards … but it’s like, one guy’s sitting at his locker with his phone, and another guy’s at his locker with his phone, and they’re playing poker against each other. That’s the way they’re used to playing cards now.”

NFL camaraderie, 2015.

"Kids these days..."

One of the best special-teams coaches in NFL history, Bruce DeHaven, had to ponder this spring one of the toughest choices a man could ever have.

Whether to continue coaching the 31st ranked special teams unit that somehow managed to have two punts blocked in the same game last year?

A doctor told him in May: It’s likely you have three to five years to live. He didn’t hear the doc say there’s a slight chance you will live for decades, or a slight chance you will live for a few months. He just heard, at 66 and healthy as a mule (or so he thought), that the finish line of life might well be coming about 25 years sooner than he hoped it would. In the next 10 days, DeHaven lost 11 pounds. From the shock of it.

Oh, well that's probably a little bit tougher.

It’s May. Mini-camps are approaching. The owner of the team, the venerable Jerry Richardson, tells DeHaven the team will support him in any way possible. If the prostate cancer and its accompanying spread into your bones makes it too tough to work, Richardson says we’ll get you the best care on the planet, wherever that is; if you want to work, we’ll get you the best care on the planet, wherever that is. Your call.

But first, Richardson made sure that DeHaven didn't have any tattoos, because we all know that Jerry Richardson does not like tattoos.

At home, DeHaven has a son about to go off to college, to his freshman year at Canisius, and a daughter still in high school. He thought about it. He thought about it for a long time. He did nothing but think about it.

Get treated and see how you feel from there. It's not like the Panthers special teams could suck any worse without you. Okay, they could suck slightly worse, but there's a small difference in being 31st and 32nd in special teams play. 

Should I coach this team with a bunch of guys I love? Or should I go home and just be with the ones I love more, just in case the end is near?

For a variety of reasons, I'm not going to downplay prostate cancer. It's a type of cancer that isn't as sexy as breast cancer to talk about curing (saving women's breasts? Yes, please) and it doesn't have the obvious physical effects that lung cancer has, but the mortality rate is about at 10%. That out of the way, the doctor said that Bruce DeHaven had three to five years to live, so it's not like "the end is near" prior to the NFL season starting. Stopping everything and waiting to die is probably the worst option DeHaven could have chosen initially. I understand the question Peter is presenting, but DeHaven wasn't given a definite six months to live. He was given 3-5 years to live as an average. 

But the story that made me stop in my tracks in the past few days happened on the bucolic campus of Wofford College, where the Carolina Panthers have trained for the past 20 summers, since entering the league in 1995. It’s the kind of place—small college, fans sitting on a hill watching practice, fans paying nothing for it, all 90 players signing for beseeching fans (“CAMMMMMM!!!!!!”) after practice—that’s perfect for training camp, and the kind of treatment by a team that’s a model for every camp in the league. 

To be fair, it's a great model, except it takes place in South Carolina. Without that, perfection. There are drawbacks to everything I guess (ducks as South Carolina citizens get angry). 

That’s the environment Bruce DeHaven works in every day. Only the fans don’t know the man with the wide-brimmed white sun hat, keeping the worst of the rays from damaging his fair skin on this typically oppressive 92-degree first day of August, hang-timing his punters while the rest of the team worked out on the adjacent field.

Actually, I would bet more fans than Peter thinks know who Bruce DeHaven is. His cancer diagnosis was covered fairly widely by the Charlotte sports media and it ties in to the whole "Keep Pounding" motto the team uses throughout every NFL season. So most fans probably don't know him, but more fans than Peter thinks probably knows a little bit about his situation.

“Whoa!” DeHaven said Saturday afternoon, watching incumbent Brad Nortman skyrocket a booming punt off the sweet spot of his right foot. Then he waits, and Nortman watches, until the ball falls to earth.

The ball falls to earth behind him because it got blocked? I'm not used to punts from Nortman going forward, so I would have had to see this for myself to believe this punt went forward.

So now you know: DeHaven chose to coach this season. Well, that plus he chose, with Richardson’s approval and that of head coach Ron Rivera, to import one of his best friends in the coaching fraternity, retired NFL special-teams coach Russ Purnell, to help him during the season if his health drooped.

How do you say "no" to this request?

"Hey, I have the cancer you know and I would love to coach this season, but just in case I start feeling bad and potentially start taking a turn for the worse as the cancer starts to eat my bones, can we hire someone else to take over my job? If not, that's cool."

Before the afternoon practice, when DeHaven talked about his lot in life, he tried to explain why he so desperately wanted to keep doing what he did, for a 29th season in the NFL. He’d coached under Hall of Fame coaches Marv Levy in Buffalo and Bill Parcells in Dallas, under Super Bowl-winning coach Mike Holmgren in Seattle.

Then he coached under...Ron Rivera. It's not quite the same as coaching under Hall of Fame coaches, though Marv, Bill, Mike and Ron do sound like first names that members of a 1960's white doo-wop group might have.

“From life on the farm to the NFL … I mean, are you kidding me? Coaching in the Super Bowl? With Hall of Fame coaches? Marv Levy, Bill Parcells. My gosh, I understand what Lou Gehrig said. I honestly feel it. I am the luckiest man on the face of the earth.”

Let's wait until you deal with the 2015 special teams unit before stating how lucky you are professionally. Ron Rivera is called "Riverboat" Ron because he takes gambles during games, like sending his punt unit on the field rather than going for it on fourth down.

After practice, Carolina safety Colin Jones, one of DeHaven’s core special-teamers, considered his coach’s decision this spring. He got very serious. Solemn. “We didn’t have a very good year on special teams last year,” Jones said, “and Bruce knew that. He absolutely would not accept it. He was positive with us, and he had passion every day. But he is not afraid to tell us the truth. I made a mistake in a game last year, and I knew it, and the team knew it.

This "mistake" was being responsible for a punt being blocked. And yes, the replay showed Colin Jones blocked zero people and it was pretty obvious it was all his fault. Not calling him out would have caused DeHaven's sanity to be questioned.

“When I first was getting to know Bruce,” Cam Newton said, “I said to him, ‘Hey coach, you want to get a big raise?’ He said, ‘Sure, we all like money.’ I said, ‘Put me at punt return!’ We both laughed. He says to me I should be ready; you never know what might happen some day.”

That's...uh...a great story, Cam. It's probably one of those stories that you had to be there to enjoy.

Through the years, others felt the way Tasker felt, and the way Colin Jones felt. In 2001, DeHaven was coaching the San Francisco special teams when a young coach from Hofstra came in the office one day to interview for an entry-level job on the defensive staff. The kid was sweating profusely, nervous. Good résumé, but you never know how these things go. But the head coach, Steve Mariucci, liked the kid’s enthusiasm.

Who was this kid? Was it Barack Obama? Peyton Manning? Chip Kelly? 

Dan Quinn was hired.

Ah, the twist. It was Dan Quinn.

On Sunday, Quinn, the rookie Atlanta head coach, recalled the moment. “So I get the job,” he said, “and the next day, Bruce, who doesn’t even really know me, comes up to me with the USA Today sports section. He shows me the ‘Transactions’ column. He says to me, ‘You better save this. This is a big deal for a kid from Hofstra, being in transactions, getting a job in the NFL.’ That’s the kind of guy Bruce is.”

Then DeHaven probably walked away muttering, "This kid from Hofstra, he'll never be anything in this league. Hofstra, who from there makes it big in the NFL?"

In the past few weeks, DeHaven has been touched by scores of men in the coaching fraternity reaching out. Bill Belichick called.

(DeHaven's phone rings and he picks up) "Hello?"

(Bill Belichick) "Hey, Bruce. It's Bill Belichick. I just wanted to let you know that I have heard of prostate cancer, know you have it and wish you didn't. From everything I know it's not good and I hope you get better soon. Well, I'm on to practice."

(DeHaven) "How have you been doing Bill?"

(Belichick) "I don't really have any more information about that. My day just started, so I can't speak to how I'm doing."

(DeHaven) "The kids good?"

(Belichick) "Again, that isn't something I can answer right now."

(DeHaven) "You excited for the season."

(Belichick) "I'm on to practice right now, so I have no further information."

(DeHaven) "How's Tom doing?"

(Belichick) "Again, that isn't something I can answer right now. I'm on to practice."

(DeHaven getting frustrated) "Thanks for calling. Talk again soon?"

(Belichick) "I can't answer that right now. I'm on to practice."

(Both DeHaven and Belichick are quiet as DeHaven waits for Belichick to say "goodbye" and Belichick waits for DeHaven to dismiss him and stop asking questions)

Sean Payton sent a picture of the Saints’ staff, with well-wishes from all. “Heartwarming,” he said, shaking his head. “Sean Payton, with a division rival, reaching out. Just shows you what the fraternity of coaches is like. We compete, but we’re together.”

(DeHaven's phone rings and he picks up) "Hello?"

(Sean Payton) "Hey buddy, I hear you are feeling sick through no fault of mine or the Saints team. We did not cause your injury/sickness and this phone call is being recorded so please just acknowledge we had nothing to do with your cancer diagnosis."

(DeHaven) "Yeah, you guys had nothing to do with my prostate cancer."

(Payton) "Thanks, I am sending a picture of our coaching staff with well wishes. Can you please send me your home address, though we will not be using it to send anyone to your house in order to injure you for money."

(DeHaven) "Just send it to the Panthers office instead."

(Sean Payton) "Will do. Warm wishes to you and we are all thinking about you and hope you get better soon!"

(DeHaven) "Thanks, great talking to you."

(Payton) "You too! Bye."

(Payton thinks DeHaven has hung up, DeHaven hears the following as Payton turns to Rob Ryan and says) "$50,000 to the first defensive player to knock that old man out and off the sidelines when the Panthers come to New Orleans this year. They have a backup special teams coach anyway. Tell your players this."

(Drew Brees is in the room and screams) "I KNOW NOTHING ABOUT THIS!"

“My problems are down the road, not right now,” he said. “There’s no telling how cancer progresses, and everyone’s immune system handles it differently. I plan on being here for a long time. I plan on something else killing me, way down the road. But whatever happens, I have had a great life.”

This positivity is not allowed anymore in the NFL. Roger Goodell will fine you for excessive celebration of your cancer diagnosis which has allowed you to appreciate life.

Spend a day around the Falcons, as The MMQB did Sunday, and you realize the tremendous early impact rookie coach Dan Quinn has had in his first six months on the job. Case in point: Setting the team’s mindset, daily.

It was no different early Sunday, when Quinn put up on the big screen in the team meeting room a video of UFC Bantamweight Champion Ronda Rousey’s beatdown of Bethe Correia Saturday night in Brazil. It took all of 34 seconds. Now, Quinn has put up lots of sports highlights in front of the team. Boxing, and lots of basketball, and some baseball. But this one got his team’s attention.

And it only cost $59.99 to watch it! What a deal!

The tenor of the meeting room changed from the time the players first saw Rousey to the time they first saw her beat up her foe. “She is fine,” was one of the first reactions when Rousey showed up on the screen.

Lower your standards enough to where you eliminate a lot of other women who aren't really tough and don't participate in MMA and I'm sure she is.

“Man, is she tough,” one player called out.

“There was a genuine respect for her in the room,” Quinn said a few hours later. “I wanted to show them this fight because she is a great example of the fact that there is another level of competitor out there. We’re trying to find that extra level in all of our players. Athletes like her we hope will leave an impression.”

Rousey left an impression in her opponent's face. The Falcons offensive line and defense did not do that last year.

“That,” said quarterback Matt Ryan, “was a unique way to start a meeting. Holy crap. She kicked her ass! Rousey’s so dominant. Such an intimidating factor. You can see when you watch her; she wins before she enters the ring. I really like things like this. I think it’s a great way to tap into a diverse locker room. Guys love it.”

Matt Ryan is so funny. First, he talks about the players in the locker room playing cards like he's an old man or something and now he says "It's a great way to tap into a diverse locker room." Who says things like that?

So far we have learned that NFL players like their new head coach (has this ever happened before?) and NFL players like their coach who has been diagnosed with cancer. It's all love so far.

So it’s year four for Robert Griffin III, and not much has changed since last August. Except the desperation, of course.

The Redskins.

Coach Jay Gruden’s intention is to have Griffin rely far more on his arm and his reads of the defense than he's ever had to do as a pro. It’s something that Griffin will have to adjust to as the summer and fall go on,

While it's so easy to bash Robert Griffin, why would Jay Gruden not play to Griffin's strengths as a quarterback?

Gruden’s not stapling RGIII to the pocket, mind you. But he’s not designing the option-read for him either, as Griffin was allowed to run as a free-wheeling rookie three years ago.

But that is also how he succeeded as an NFL quarterback. So I don't see the reason for changing it up entirely and forcing Griffin to play from the pocket. It's like asking Peyton Manning to run the Seahawks offense. It's just not going to fit his skill set.

It sounds like the Redskins team isn't exactly in love with this idea either and (I'm guessing) think Griffin is being set up for failure.

“It would be difficult for anyone to change the way they play at this level,” said linebacker Keenan Robinson, who came to Washington with Griffin in the 2012 draft. “He has had to change the game he played for 14 years. But I like what I see right now.

Now from Griffin: 

“They are asking me to be basic and take the plays that are there. If that’s what Jay wants me to do, that’s what I am going to do. It doesn’t mean you take everything out of your game. When those opportunities come up to make plays out of the pocket I will do it and not think twice about it. But if they are asking me to do the ordinary, that’s what I am going to have to do.”

Being in this offense for the second year is really going to help. I know how to get us into the best position possible. I can’t worry about where I am going to be next year or where I am going to be 15 years from now. I just have to play.”

Unfortunately for Griffin, using his legs to put more pressure on the defense is how he just goes about playing. Yet, Gruden seems to want to take that away from him. It's almost like he's being set up for failure in some way...

What I wonder about Griffin is this: He has to know that if he doesn’t produce in year four, there is good chance he’ll be gone.

Right, which is why he has to be pretty salty that he's being asked to stay in the pocket and not (supposedly) getting to run some read-option plays.

“If I take all that baggage with me out there on the field, I am not going to be the best player I can be,” Griffin said.

Notice that Griffin doesn't deny all of the other stuff he's dealt with in Washington has been "baggage." What's annoying is the Redskins have a chance to be a very good team if they could (a) find a quarterback or (b) design their offense (for better or worse) around what Griffin does best.

Remember when Big Ben was Oft-Broken Ben? No more. Roethlisberger, who started 16 games once in the first nine seasons of his career, has started every regular season game the past two years, at age 31 and 32.

Steelers fans would like to thank Peter for jinxing it.

I maintain that it’s easy to forget about Roethlisberger—and many in our business and the fan business do just that—when the roll is called of great passers. Rodgers, Brady, Brees, Manning … it’s almost a cliché to not include Roethlisberger. You just can’t do that anymore.

This isn't to take away from Roethlisberger at all, but he's been blessed to have the Steelers dedicate themselves to getting him some good receivers. He has had a shitty offensive line, so that's a credit to Roethlisberger. Now that the Steelers have taken care of his offensive line and he isn't running for his life all day, he's shown he is easily one of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.

Credit the line. Credit offensive coordinator Todd Haley for implementing a scheme that has Roethlisberger throwing earlier, and throwing more high-percentage routes. And credit the most dangerous group of young receivers in the game—a group that, in a rich-get-richer way, adds the speed of Sammie Coates from Auburn in the rookie class this year.

I am jealous of how the Steelers can find receivers in nearly every round of the NFL draft. They are very good at that.

But do not credit a newfangled lifestyle. Roethlisberger’s no born-again eater or sleeper or wheat-grass eater or yoga-practicer.

I said: “Mark Teixeira of the Yankees said he’s gone to a gluten-free diet and feels better than he ever has, and he’s hitting really well. You eating any differently at all?”

“Yeah, I heard about that,” Roethlisberger said. “My wife cooks, we have a chef that cooks, and I’ve had a blood test telling me which foods I digest well and don’t digest well. So I’ve paid attention to that. I’m in bed before 10 o’clock most nights anyway. But the lifestyle isn’t brand new to me the last couple of years.”

So other than the chef that cooks for him and the blood test that tells him which foods he digests and doesn't digest well, Roethlisberger doesn't really do much to change his eating habits in order to stay in good physical condition. You know, he just does the basics.

Whatever it is—fate, luck, Haley’s play-calling, the line, knowing when to get rid of the ball—Roethlisberger’s on the kind of steady run he’s never been on before. He’s not the kind of guy who over-thinks the game. He just plays.

Uh-oh, are we going to have a season of Peter King writing, "BEN ROETHLISBERGER PLAYS LIKE A PRECOCIOUS CHILD" stories?

The affirmation of Tom Brady’s four-game suspension by the NFL leaves these issues in the wake:

1. Both sides want a resolution by opening day. With the presiding judge in the case, U.S. District Judge Richard Berman, ordering that Brady and commissioner Roger Goodell be available to appear at pre-trial conferences in New York on Aug. 12 and 19, it’s clear that he, and both sides, will push to resolve this by the Sept. 10 league opener.

Wait, so Roger Goodell hasn't named himself the judge for this case? I figured he would just go ahead and hear the federal case as well. I mean, because he probably thinks he can do that.

2. Good for the Patriots, publishing some emails to the league last winter, asking the league to clamp down on the leaks to ESPN (at least one patently false) and getting nothing in return.

The letter from NFL vice president David Gardi said that one of the Patriots’ footballs examined by the league at halftime of the game “was inflated to 10.1 psi, far below the requirement of 12-1/2 to 13-1⁄2 psi. In contrast, each of the Colts’ game balls that was inspected met the requirements set forth above.” Huge errors. The Ted Wells Report confirmed that no football measured as low as 10.1 of the Patriots’ balls. Gardi said the Colts’ balls measured within the range required. The Wells Reports said three of them were under the minimum of 12.5 psi. Never corrected. Why? Similarly, when ESPN reported that 10 New England balls were at least two pounds under the limit measured at halftime, the league never corrected that error.

The NFL laughs heartily at Peter's suggestion they should have to acknowledge a mistake or even (the NFL falls down on the floor laughing) admit they made the mistake (busts a gut laughing) and then correct that mistake in any way. The Patriots are working under the assumption the NFL can make a mistake and that's simply not true. If the Patriots would just believe, as the NFL does, that they can not make mistakes and just ignore what ESPN says or broadcasts, then their lives will be easier. The Patriots shouldn't worry their pretty little heads with any lies and the idea these lies should be corrected. Just pay the NFL the money they want and we can all move on.

What is most damaging about this is that these impressions were left as facts, particularly the ESPN claim, for a long period, allowing the public to be convinced the Patriots were guilty. Maybe they were, and are. But this evidence wasn’t factual.

But Peter, this evidence came from the NFL. That in and of itself makes it factual.

I’ve asked a few high-ranking team people in the past few days an open-ended question, with the proviso I wouldn’t use names. The clear sentiment: Teams think league officials are running scared after the Ray Rice verdict backfired on the NFL. 

It's hilarious to me that the NFL thinks being tough on deflated footballs will make up for the initial Ray Rice verdict. Deflated footballs and abused women. It's nearly all the same to the NFL. 

Two thought it was ridiculous how long the Wells report took to finish, one saying if the league is going to hire an outside firm to investigate a case, there has to be a deadline. “Why are we fighting this fight now?” one top team executive said. “We should be getting ready for a new season, but we’ve got our biggest star firing bombs at the league and the league firing back, a month before the season starts. It’s ridiculous. The headlines aren’t football. They’re about a scandal that’s eight months old.” [Not quite eight, but you get the picture.]

It feels like 8 months though. It feels like almost a year at this point. The NFL allowed an outside firm just have as much time as they needed to come to a conclusion that was as concrete as Jello. I'm okay with them needed time to investigate, but holy shit, there has to be an end date given. So now it's August and the same fucking topic that people were writing about in February is still at the forefront, except this time, the Patriots and the NFL are going to court. It's sports, people. Find some perspective on these crimes that Brady is accused of. Is it impossible to just enjoy the NFL games without court drama being in the background of every NFL story?

What happens if, say, the footballs in a northern city on a day when it’s 40 degrees outside lose 1.0 to 1.5 psi between the pre-game measure and the halftime measure? (Which, apparently, science would support.) That’s nearly what happened to the Patriots football that January day in Foxboro. If the NFL’s examination of footballs in 2015 shows that kind of deflation, naturally, on a chilly day, the whole case should be thrown out. But by then, Brady might have already served his four games.

Yeah, but the science behind the Wells Report was so solid that this could never happen. It's all a fiction the NFL could look bad.

The average of the other gauge was 11.11 psi, clearly lower than what the balls should have measured. Average all 22 readings, and you get 11.30 … two-one-hundredths lower than what the Ideal Gas Law would have allowed for balls that started the day at 12.5 psi. It is crazy to me, and just wrong, that the NFL issued a historic sanction when the inflation level of the football is so close to what science says it should be.

And yep, that's my basic point too. It hurts to agree with Peter, but the NFL came down hard on the Patriots for an inflation level that isn't too far off where it should be.

“We are going to open Pandora’s box. Last year, we just tickled it.”

—Cincinnati offensive coordinator Hue Jackson to the Cincinnati Enquirer’s Paul Dehner Jr.

I guess that means Andy Dalton’s going to be wildly imaginative this year. Or something.

It's fun to bash Andy Dalton, but he isn't the one that needs to be imaginative when it comes to play-calling and deciding how a certain play should be run. Dalton has to execute the play-call, so this comment is simply an acknowledgement from Hue Jackson that he wants be more imaginative. We'll see if Dalton can execute the play-call, but the snark about Dalton is a little misplaced.

The Seattle Seahawks will soon find out if it’s possible to stay great with the game’s ultimate salary star system. They now have 10 cornerstone players signed at least through the end of the 2017 season.


Player Position Ave. salary per year Last year of contract
Russell Wilson QB $17.82m 2019
Richard Sherman CB $14.0m 2018
Marshawn Lynch RB $10.8m 2017
Bobby Wagner LB $10.75m 2019
Earl Thomas FS $10.0m 2018
Jimmy Graham TE $9.0m 2017
Cliff Avril DE $7.13m 2018
Michael Bennett  DE $7.13m 2017
Kam Chancellor SS $7.0m 2017
K.J. Wright LB $6.75m 2018















That's $97.38 million per year invested in these players. Obviously some of this money will be renegotiated to a lower cap hit at some point, but this is the downside of keeping a young team together. It can get expensive and drafting good players becomes just as important as it always was. There's nothing wrong with a top-heavy roster as long as the Seahawks continue to draft well and are smart in free agency. One thing that sticks out to me is that there isn't a single wide receiver on this list. Though Jimmy Graham is pretty much a wide receiver.

Mr. Starwood Preferred Member Travel Note of the Week

Three of them:

First-week tally from the road: Six camps, four baseball games. Now, most were drive-by, 50-minute visits … like our two-inning stay at Camden Yards on Thursday night, or the three-inning stint on the drive from Latrobe to New York on Monday night to see the Eastern League Altoona Curve host the Richmond Flying Squirrels (other than the Hartford Yard Goats, is there a finer minor-league franchise name?).

Three comments:

1. Where is the fun in a two or three inning stay at a baseball game?

2. So Peter paid for tickets to a MLB game, paid for parking and then stayed for two innings?

3. Why? Why? Why?

Okay, those were all questions, not comments.

Team MMQB got into a Fairfield Inn here, 45 minutes south of Panther camp and 75 minutes north of Falcons camp, just in time for UFC 190, because Robert Klemko and Emily Kaplan are mesmerized by Ronda Rousey. They researched, and found that the Hooters across from the Fairfield Inn would be showing the mixed-martial-arts event, with Rousey fighting from Brazil. “We walked over,” said Klemko, “and Hooters had a capacity of 150 people, and there wasn’t an empty seat anywhere, and there were a dozen people waiting to be seated. We asked for a table, and they said it would be a two-hour wait. So, we came back to the hotel and found a pirated version online, realized the championship fight wouldn’t come on till at least midnight … and we realized it would probably be a 30-second fight anyway, and figured we would just watch it in the morning.” Prescient, that Klemko. Fight lasted 34 seconds.

A pirated version online...I have no issue with that, though I probably wouldn't broadcast that I'm stealing the fight from a pirated site. Also, if Peter King can spend $15 on a ticket (probably more) on a ticket to an MLB game, can't he shell out the $60 required for his friends/employees to watch the fight without having to fight for a spot at Hooters or steal video of the fight online?



All across the country (and world, I imagine), households were paying $59.99 to see Rousey, in a woman’s Ultimate Fighting bout. Times sure have changed when a woman is coaching a pro football team (even as an intern), and the best quarterback in football is staying up late at training camp to watch women joust. Wow.

What a country!

Peter is obsessed with Ronda Rousey in this MMQB. He mentions her five separate times in this MMQB. She's a great fighter, but it's clear Klemko's obsession with Rousey rubbed off on Peter.



This was 60 minutes after I Tweeted: “Russell Wilson and the Seahawks have agreed to a 4-year, $87.6-million extension, per source,” and 50 minutes after Wilson himself Tweeted he was “blessed” to be a Seahawk four more years.

It sounds like Robert Klemko wasn't the only one trying to steal something over the past few days. This is just normal attribution practice by ESPN. Nothing to see here. Talk to the Ombudsman that doesn't work there anymore and therefore hasn't posted anything recently.

I didn’t realize the time involved until Awful Announcing reported ESPN’s bizarre attribution and reporting practices Friday morning. But there’s no excuse for it.

Peter, this is ESPN. There doesn't need to be an excuse for it. They do what they want when they want...unless the NFL tells them not to do something, in which case ESPN does what they want when they want on behalf of the NFL.

Ten Things I Think I Think

1. I think the smartest thing the Broncos can do—and, apparently, are doing—would be to take some of the offensive pressure off quarterback Peyton Manning, and shorten the game by playing more clockball on offense.

Random font change from Peter! Don't worry, it changes back in a minute...then changes again.

And I have no idea what "clockball" is, but it sounds like a dumb way to say "run the ball and work the clock." 

They should be running more. And Manning, who has averaged 613 passes a game in his three Denver seasons, wore down late last year. “The running game will be Peyton’s best friend,” Denver GM John Elway said the other day.

This may be the first and only time in his lifetime that John Fox will be accused of not running the ball enough. If it were up to Fox, he wouldn't even have a quarterback on the field. In fact, there was a game in 2006 (I believe) against the Falcons where he basically didn't even line up a quarterback and had DeAngelo Williams run the Wildcat for the entire game. This was a dream scenario for Fox. So his teams not running the ball enough is quite the accusation that Fox will take seriously and rectify this upcoming season when the Bears' quarterbacks throw a grand total of 100 passes on the season. 

2. I think Marvin Lewis sure is bold these days. He told the Cincinnati Enquirer, “I want to hand [club owner Mike Brown] the Lombardi Trophy, then walk away.” Lewis’ career playoff record: 0-6. That’s a man with some confidence in himself.

If Lewis didn't have confidence in himself and his team then he wouldn't be a very good head coach would he? What's he supposed to say? "I don't think we can win a playoff game this year, so why even try?"

3. I think in a league of silly sanctions, I’d be most furious about this one if I were a player: If you toss a football in the stands to a fan, or toss it into the stands out of celebration, you get fined $5,787.

This is the dumbest fucking rule ever implemented by the NFL. Cam Newton hands a football to a kid after every rushing touchdown (and passing too, though it only happened 18 times last year, so it's hard to remember for sure). So if the Panthers or Newton score 20 touchdowns this year then he is going to be shelling out almost $180,000 this year when handing out a football to fans (I'm hoping for 30 touchdowns, that doesn't seem to much to ask). It's a really cool thing that fans enjoy, especially the kids who receive the football. Maybe Newton should hand out IOU's and then mail the fan a signed football.

Either way, this is a ridiculously stupid fucking rule. It's not like the NFL can't afford new footballs. Maybe players should deflate the football by 0.5 PSI and then hand it to the fans. That way the NFL doesn't want the football back because it's been tarnished forever.

7. I think it strikes me that six games is a fortunate break for Aaron Kromer. In other words, the Buffalo offensive line coach is lucky to have gotten a six-game unpaid ban by the Bills as a punishment for an altercation with three boys over beach chairs in Florida last month.

If I'm the Bills then I'm probably more concerned with the fact Kromer, as the Bears offensive coordinator, threw Jay Cutler under the bus anonymously and then later admitted to doing it. It's hard to gain trust when you have a history of bashing your players.

9. I think it was a fun exercise to imagine what would be different about the NFL if the 2012 draft's top two picks were flipped: Robert Griffin III to the Colts, and Andrew Luck to Washington. Klemko and I discussed that while on the bus, and you can listen here:

I think Andrew Luck would still be successful in the NFL and Mike Shanahan would probably still be the Redskins coach, while basking in the glory of having finally produced another franchise quarterback who can reinforce his reputation as a quarterback guru.

10. I think these are my non-football thoughts of the week:

a. We have a 2015 The MMQB NFL Training Camp Tour anthem: “Shut Up and Dance With Me,” by Walk The Moon.

I would murder myself if I had to be on the bus during a time when this song is the anthem. I have a list of songs I put on CD (shut up) last September and this was one of those songs. It's August of the next year and the song was played out back in May. Though I guess it makes sense for Peter to be late to the party. It's like how my mom tells me she watches "Downton Abbey" as if this is a new, cutting edge television show.

c. Re the baseball trading deadline: Toronto gets Troy Tulowitzki and David Price. Amazing how major a makeover a team can make in such a short time.

Yes, it's shocking what players a team can acquire when they trade away many of their good prospects. Just look at what the Padres built this past offseason!

e. First baseman Lucas Duda’s last nine hits have been home runs for the Mets, the strangest baseball team we have seen in a while.

Not really. Not that I wouldn't expect Peter to think a team from New York is the strangest team "we" have seen in a while, but the Mets always had great pitching and they are finally hitting the baseball of late. It's not strange, it's an obvious, easy fix. They upgraded their offense and now they are winning games because they are scoring runs. 

f. Midway through last week, the Mets stunk. Infielder Wilmer Flores on Wednesday believed he had been traded, having been told as much by a fan while he waited in the on-deck circle to bat.

Right, but Flores wasn't crying because the Mets were selling off players due to thinking they were out of the running for the Wild Card (or "a" Wild Card) or to win the division. The Mets were trading Flores because they had upgraded their offense by trading for Carlos Gomez. So the Mets didn't just magically get better, they were actively trying to improve the offense by trading Flores for a better offensive player.

Two days later, the Mets trade for needed power hitter Yoenis Cespedis.

It's "Cespedes" you big baseball fan. Also, the Mets traded for Cespedes because the first try they had at upgrading the offense, trading Flores for Carlos Gomez, fell through. So the Mets were trying to upgrade for three days, they didn't just magically become a better team over a span of two days and then decide to trade for Cespedes.

And the Mets swept the Nationals at home to tie Washington for first place in the National League East. What a long strange trip this year has been for the Mets.

All they needed was to acquire some hitting, but sure, go ahead and do your own thing Peter. See if I care...clearly since you can't spell Cespedes name correctly you know exactly what you are talking about.

g. Our video man, John DePetro, was talking about his girlfriend’s dog the other day.

That's a great fucking story, Peter. Listen I have to go do something else...

Our conversation:

Me: “What’s his name?” DePetro: “Paddington.” Me: “What do you call him for short?” DePetro: “Paddington.” Me: “Got any funny names for him?” DePetro: “Paddington.’’

Without these little nuggets of comedic conversational exchanges I don't know how I could go on laughing through life. I should probably just be happy that Peter didn't eavesdrop on someone else's conversation and is relaying this eavesdropped conversation to his MMQB readers. For that, I should be more thankful. 

i.  Beernerdness: The gem of the first week of the camp tour, from a Saturday night trip to Fluor Field in Greenville, S.C., home of the Single-A Greenville Drive: Son of a Peach (R.J. Rockers Brewing Company, Spartanburg, S.C.), a wheat ale lightly tinged with peach, is one of the easiest-drinking, flavorful and pleasant beers I’ve had in a while.

Peter should just stop drinking beer and start drinking fruit juice. It's probably cheaper for him in the long run. I have a feeling we are a few weeks away from Peter recommending Mike's Hard Lemonade or one of the various other beers in that beer family.

j. Shane Victorino, you’re everything that’s good about sports. Good luck in Anaheim. Thanks for lots of things, especially the Game 6 grand slam against Detroit that got the Red Sox into the 2013 World Series. (Boston traded him to the Angels last week.)

Thanks for stating "Good luck in Anaheim" to Victorino AND THEN explaining Victorino got traded to the Angels. It's smart to assume your readers aren't bright enough to figure out that Victorino is going to play baseball, his chosen profession, in Anaheim, as opposed to you wishing him luck at his new gig playing Donald Duck at Disneyland. Also, good job spelling his name correctly.

n. I am still ticked off at that Minnesota dentist, days later.

Explain, Peter! Your readers are too dumb to understand this reference.

The Adieu Haiku                 

Ronda Rousey rocks
Klemko's got a crush on her
As does the U.S.

I do not have a crush on Ronda Rousey. I feel like she is an excellent MMA fighter. If only Rousey could crush the use of the Adieu Haiku in MMQB.

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

2 comments MMQB Review: The Insanity of the NFL Has Blown Peter's Mind Until It Blows His Mind Again Next Year Edition

We still have open spots in the fantasy baseball league and if anyone wants to join then send me an email to bengoodfella@yahoo.com and I will send you an invite.

Peter King detailed his brief trip to Iceland in last week's MMQB. Peter also dismissed the importance of signing big name free agents and spending money early in free agency, all while saturating his coverage in MMQB with rumors and discussion of where the big name free agents will land and which teams will be spending money early in free agency. This week talks about the Sam Bradford trade to the Eagles, thoughts on the free agency moves that "shook up" the football world (not that Peter would ever go overboard with hyperbole or anything...this has been the craziest offseason since at least last year's offseason though), puts a timeline to Darrelle Revis because Peter can't get enough of discussing Revis, and laughably says he spoke with "someone" on the competition committee about rule changes regarding what constitutes a catch and everyone knows that "someone" was Jeff Fisher. I mean, come on, Peter has mentioned 2-3 times in MMQB he's had conversations about Jeff Fisher and what constitutes a catch. I would bet this "someone" is Fisher.

The NFL’s opening weekend is 26 weeks away, which is why there’s no good reason to say the sky is falling in any NFL market.

I hope Peter is sure to tell other sportswriters that the sky is not falling in any NFL market as they award the "winners" and "losers" of the free agency period.

And of course, what follows in this MMQB will be Peter's judgments on what NFL teams did or didn't do in free agency. The sky isn't falling, but judgment day for offseason moves has arrived.

This morning, before I get to one of the strangest weeks in NFL offseason history, three notes:

CRAZIEST NFL OFFSEASON EVER!*

*Until the next offseason

In Hawaii early this morning Eastern Time, the National Football League Players Association elected DeMaurice Smith to a third three-year term as executive director. It seems amazing that Smith was elected unanimously on the first ballot, seeing that he had eight challengers in an impassioned run-up to the vote. Smith was vulnerable in this election, for many reasons—including the impression that he did a bad deal with the 2011 CBA and his consistently contentious relationship with the league—but none of his challengers could muster the required 17 of 32 votes from the player reps who spent the weekend listening to proposals for the job.

It's almost like the NFL players eventually recognized the big beef they had with Smith was the result of an agreement they themselves had approved. 

There’s some noise out there that Adrian Peterson could be traded to Arizona. Well, I guess he could, at some point. But the money would be a major problem. I spoke with a reliable Cardinals source Sunday night, and the three years and $45 million left on Peterson’s contract is an absolute non-starter with the Cards.

What? Why would paying a running back $15 million per year be a non-starter? Though I do like the idea if Peterson landed with the Cards then sportswriters would talk about how Bruce Arians made a brilliant move, while Chip Kelly continues to be beaten up for signing DeMarco Murray for less money than Peterson makes.

It's funny how things change so quickly. Last year, Kelly was the darling of the NFL media and this year Arians is inching his way to being the darling. I can't wait for a sportswriter to point out that if Arians is so great then how come he has zero playoff or Super Bowl victories?

Two other detrimental factors: Arizona loves the running-back crop in this draft, and the Cardinals, with the 23rd and 55th overall picks, would be able to get a very good one. And Peterson turns 30 on Saturday. Not an optimum age for a back, even one who got so little wear on his tires in 2014.

I believe Todd Gurley will be a Top 10 running back in the NFL. So if I were any team who was in position to draft him then I would not be paying big money for a running back. That includes Chip Kelly and the Eagles, though I guess he doesn't love Gurley as much as I do.

And new Eagles quarterback Sam Bradford, who flies from his home in Oklahoma to Philadelphia this morning to get on a new rehab track for his left ACL injury, still needs to be pinched. Bitterness-free, Bradford can’t believe his good fortune.

Well, Bradford is just going to miss the Rams propelling themselves into Super Bowl contention based on the trade they just made with the Eagles. It's just like how Jeff Fisher worked three additional first round picks from the Redskins into zero playoff appearances.

A little history here: When Jimmy Johnson took over the Cowboys a quarter-century ago, he was Chip Kelly.

What? Reincarnation IS real? I hope I come back as someone really cool when/if I'm reincarnated. Wait, doesn't a person have to be dead before that person's soul can be reincarnated? Wait even more, how was Johnson Chip Kelly 25 years ago and now Chip Kelly is Johnson? Come to think of it, I had never heard of Chip Kelly 25 years ago. Did Chip Kelly kill Jimmy Johnson and steal his soul? I haven't seen Johnson in a while, so not only is Chip Kelly making the personnel moves he wants to make that go against conventional wisdom but he's stealing the soul of others now? What an asshole.

College coach with a satchel of ideas he would bring to the big leagues—a small and fast defense, a willingness to trade in a league that hated trading (Dallas made 55 trades in his tenure), hubris, believing that what won in college could win in the NFL, and being married to no individual player or coach. It worked. Dallas won three Super Bowls, two with Johnson as coach and then one with Barry Switzer coaching Johnson’s players.

Oh. Well, Johnson was sort of married to Emmitt Smith wasn't he? He and the Cowboys were all bold about letting Smith hold out prior to the 1993 season, then backed down and gave him a new contract once they lost two games to start the 1993 season. I'm sure that was all Jerry Jones' fault. We know he was always hesitant to pay his own players. 

“Does Kelly remind you of you, 25 years ago?” I asked Johnson the other day.

“Well, in some ways,” Johnson said. “I really like what I have seen out of Chip Kelly. Chip called me and we visited a couple times, and what I heard from him, I liked.

Chip Kelly has visited Jimmy Johnson a couple of times and now Peter says Johnson is a sounding board for Kelly. Maybe, but it doesn't sound like they are BFF's or anything like that.

“The similarities? We’re both confident, both competent, both know how to win. We talked after he got the new responsibilities this year.

These are the new responsibilities that Kelly insisted just fell in his lap and he in no way requested that he be given them.

I just said, ‘Go with people you believe in, and go with players who fit your personality and fit your system.’ I have talked to Bill Belichick about this too. Certain players are going to be successful in his system and not in others.”

JIMMY JOHNSON IS A SOUNDING BOARD FOR BILL BELICHICK!

So does this mean that Jimmy Johnson is the respected ex-head coach who deals out advice to current head coaches? He is the Tony Dungy for NFL head coaches I guess.

The most controversial trade of them all last week was Bradford and a fourth-round pick to Philadelphia for Nick Foles and a second-round pick. Bradford’s played seven games in the past two years. He’s had two ACL tears to the same knee. By the time this season kicks off, he will have not played in a regular-season game for 22 months. That concerns most everyone who loves the Eagles.

(Bengoodfella tapes his mouth shut about which team these types of injuries to Bradford never seemingly concerned because it's all over now and there is no need to harp on how a fan base's time and money was wasted because the head coach for the Rams knew he wasn't going to get fired simply based on the reputation the media furthers that he is an extremely good head coach)

“Oh yeah,” Johnson said. “The last conversation was over an hour, going over everything. He was loading his guns.”

But then Johnson had to tell Kelly that he couldn't actually shoot LeSean McCoy and Nick Foles to remove them off the roster, he had to waive or trade them instead. Chip Kelly silently put his loaded guns back up and started to remake the Eagles roster in the image he wanted, much to the horror of the sports media.

So you’re Chip Kelly, and you look at the quarterback landscape, and this is what you see:

The quarterback you want, Marcus Mariota, going somewhere in the top five or six picks of the 2015 draft, and you’re picking 20th, and you know it’ll obliterate two drafts to have a chance to move up to get him.

So is it known that Kelly wants Mariota or is this just someone that has been constantly repeated so much it is accepted as fact because Kelly hasn't refuted this belief enough?

Nick Foles, who had a very hot streak in 2013, but just isn’t accurate enough downfield for your taste.

Well, I'm not sure how much more Kelly is going to like Bradford then.

One interesting, but flawed, prospect: Sam Bradford, the first pick in the 2010 draft, who’d played for an offensively challenged team in St. Louis—and played but seven games in the past two seasons because he tore his left ACL in two straight seasons. Bradford was intriguing because he’d operated a fast-paced spread scheme at Oklahoma, and Kelly was playing a fast-paced spread scheme with the Eagles (though with some significant differences).

So Sam Bradford has been in the NFL for five seasons now and he'll be 28 years old in November, but he's still a "prospect." Sure, whatever truth tickles Peter King the most.

“Usually,” Bradford said from his home in Oklahoma City, “when you get to go to a new team, you’re going somewhere that’s rebuilding, or somewhere starting over. How often do you get to a team that’s won 10 games the last two years?

Yeah, but the Eagles have zero playoff wins and zero Super Bowl titles under Chip Kelly, so there is clearly something wrong with his plan two seasons into having said plan.

Bradford flies from Oklahoma to Philadelphia today to start his second act. It’s a strange situation in this way: He tore his ACL in mid-season 2013 and went into rehab led by Reggie Scott, the Rams’ trainer. After tearing the same ACL again last August in a preseason game, he went back to work with Scott to rehab it all over again. And last Tuesday, after a rehab session with Scott at the Rams’ facility in suburban St. Louis, Bradford was told by coach Jeff Fisher that he’d been traded. Bradford was in his car going home when Kelly called to welcome him to the Eagles. They’d never spoken before. Bradford didn’t have a chance—and still hasn’t had one—to thank Scott for all the work he did with him for two years.

If only there was a way to use correspondence sent over a computer or a phone line in order to get a chance to thank Scott for all the work he did for Bradford over the years. Bradford will just have to send his best carrier pigeon to get the message to Scott, but only as soon as he gets the opportunity to write the message out and put it in the pigeon's mouth. Who knows when that will be?

“I don’t think you let it bother you,” Bradford said. “The past two injuries, I don’t think I’ve done anything wrong. I just think I’ve been unlucky. It just happened.

How about the injury Bradford suffered at Oklahoma and the six games he missed in 2011? I guess that was bad luck too. By the way, the idea Bradford is a better downfield passer and more accurate than Nick Foles is great. Bradford's career completion percentage is 58.6% and he's never completed more than 60.7% of his passes in a season.

“I think I will be as good as I have ever been playing the position. And playing for Chip excites me. I love being challenged. I want to soak up all of it.’’

Soaking it up while in a hot tub rehabbing an injury of course.

It’s not a honeymoon in every precinct. Philadelphia’s doubting Kelly right now, and there’s still an outside chance he could shock the world and pick Mariota to be his guy at quarterback, should Mariota go tumbling down the draft board. But with the first game six months away, there will be plenty of time for apoplexy. Let’s enjoy one man gambling his future on a quarterback with a wounded knee.

I do agree with this though. I love how the sports media is SHOCKED and ANGERED that Chip Kelly is making such a huge mistake to count on Sam Bradford to stay healthy, yet where was this absolute SHOCK and ANGER the past few years when the Rams were counting on Sam Bradford to stay healthy for an entire season? I guess the Rams got the benefit of the doubt because they drafted Bradford, but I still find the reactions interesting. It's not like the Rams weren't counting on Bradford to be healthy in the same way Chip Kelly is relying on him, but rarely did I read criticism prior to the 2014 season of Jeff Fisher for relying on Bradford. Now Chip Kelly has traded for Bradford and his sanity is being questioned.

Twenty thoughts on the week that shook the NFL.

Only twenty thoughts? I just want to make sure we still get the ten other things that Peter thinks later in this MMQB as well. I need at least 30 of Peter King's thoughts in each MMQB.

2. But signing Darren McFadden? He’s a Dallas backfield place-holder, for just $200,000 in guarantees. The 2008 fourth overall pick could be on the team as part of a running back committee in September (I keep thinking Todd Gurley’s an ideal fit in Dallas late in round one), or he could be gone. We’ll see what the running back market dictates.

Considering the offensive line that McFadden played behind in Oakland and the lack of big money guarantees with his talent level, that's a really smart risk the Cowboys took to sign McFadden. He's always injured, but he's really talented too.

3. No question in my mind we’ll see a bunch of Michael Johnson-type contracts out of the Class of 2015 free agents. In other words, one and done. One mediocre season, and on the street a few rich men will go.

Which is why Peter's constant discussion of the early days of free agency, while dismissing the early days of free agency as not that important strikes me as so odd. He and THE MMQB seem to buy into the early days of free agency hype, while also dismissing the long-term importance of these large contracts handed out. That's how it works. The hype of free agency is written about, despite the lack of a correlation in teams that spend big in free agency and win the Super Bowl the following season.

9. One thing we know now: It’s likely that the Jets would have blown out of the water any offer for Revis. So at first blush, I thought the Patriots erred and should have spent the money the Jets did. But now it’s apparent the Jets would have just upped the ante, and Revis would have ended up in New Jersey anyway.

I think this was pretty much known at the time too, no? I remember talk that the Jets were going to do what they had to do in order to get Revis back to New York. Maybe I am misremembering.

12. So happy about this: Schneider, Chip Kelly, Mickey Loomis, Ryan Grigson, John Dorsey and Les Snead are not your father’s GMs and club architects. They trade. They take chances. That’s what made last week so fun, and so compelling.

Except who is the outlying GM on that list who is "compelling" and makes trades, but these trades haven't yet resulted in a playoff appearance? Peter won't mention that part when lauding Snead for taking chances. It's fun to take chances, but it's better when these chances actually lead to a playoff appearance.

13. Michael Johnson can’t complain about free agency. Not at all. He made $9 million in salary and bonus last year jumping from Cincinnati to Tampa to rush the passer. His production was measly: 28 pressures/hits/sacks in 648 defensive snaps, according to Pro Football Focus. And so the Bucs, who owed him $7 million guaranteed this year, cut him anyway. The Bengals signed him Sunday, and he’ll make $6 million for Cincinnati. So one of the least productive pass-rushers in football will make $22 million in 2014 and ’15 combined. What a country.

I dislike it when Peter writes "what a country" in MMQB when discussing situations like Michael Johnson's situation. Peter writes about sports for a living and makes six or seven figures doing this. His saying "what a country" while doing a job thousands of others would love to do at his compensation level seems a bit ironic to me.

14. Jabaal Sheard’s a great signing in New England. The Patriots like big bodies who can rush the passer and are durable enough to handle run duties. At 264 pounds, Sheard’s a player who should have been a Patriot all along, and should have been picked atop the second round in 2011.

"Sheard's a player who should have been a Patriot all along." Peter gets paid six or seven figures to write things like this. What a country.

What does this statement even mean? As if every football player who can rush the passer and handle run duties needs to be a Patriot? Like no other NFL team is looking for a player like that? Other teams are like, "Nah, we're good. We don't need a player who can rush the passer and stop the run." Only the Patriots are smart enough to realize the value of these players.

15. Now that Trent Richardson has been cut loose by Indianapolis, let’s assess one of the worst draft picks in modern NFL history. Not just because Richardson has been terrible in the NFL, but think of this: Cleveland had the fourth pick in the 2012 draft. Minnesota had the third pick. To ensure that they’d get Richardson, the player they were desperate to have, the Browns moved from four to three in round one, giving Minnesota fourth, fifth and seventh-round picks to move one slot.

Yeah, but Peter's boy, Ryan Grigson then followed this up by giving up a first round draft pick for Trent Richardson. But hey, Grigson is compelling and takes chances so Peter will let him off the hook. It's nice to have a franchise quarterback to shield a GM from some criticism.

This is always a dangerous game to play,

Which means (repeat after me), Peter is going to immediately choose to play this game. It's always easy to know Peter will do something after he states that something probably shouldn't be done.

but the Browns, had they bypassed Richardson and kept the fourth pick and the picks in rounds four, five and seven, could have had linebacker Luke Kuechly, wide receiver Jairus Wright, running back Alfred Morris and either kicker Justin Tucker or linebacker Vontaze Burfict. Now, the trade of Richardson for Indy’s first-round pick in 2014 did salvage some shred of value for Richardson. Then the Browns used that pick to trade up four slots to select Johnny Manziel. Had they bypassed Manziel, Cleveland could have had a Joe Haden corner partner, Bradley Roby, in the first round, and with that pick in the third round, wideout depth in Donte Moncrief. I repeat: This is a dangerous game to play, because I don’t know who the Browns had on the draft board near those slots. But if Manziel flunks out as a Brown, the amazing thing will be that they had two chances to get the high 2012 pick right and failed at each.

Here's another fun game to play. Which player could the Colts have chosen with the 26th pick in the draft that they traded to the Browns for Trent Richardson? Yes, I know that game isn't one Peter will play because Grigson's team isn't failing like the Browns are, but again, it's nice to have Andrew Luck to cover up for mistakes and shield Grigson from some criticism.

The Colts could have drafted:

Bradley Roby
Joel Bitonio
Jordan Matthews
Jeremy Hill
Carlos Hyde
Jarvis Landry
Justin Britt
Martavis Bryant

But nah, let's keep pointing and laughing at the Browns while forgetting the Colts traded a first round pick for Richardson AFTER they knew he wasn't a very good NFL running back.

The Darrelle Revis timeline since his first go-round with the New York Jets:

Much like his obsession with Nnamdi Asomugha's free agency a few years ago, Peter seems to be a bit obsessed with Darrelle Revis and his free agency adventures over the past couple of years. I guess Peter really likes to discuss cornerbacks who are considered to be the best in the free agent class.

March 10, 2015: Rather than pay Revis $20 million in 2015, the Patriots release him. This means that, though he signed two contracts totaling $128 million, Revis actually saw $28 million of it.

Someone alert the authorities! Revis only saw $28 million of his two contracts totaling $128 million. There's a wrong been done!

In 24 months, Revis was (and is being) coached by Rex Ryan, Greg Schiano, Bill Belichick, and the coach he just met—Todd Bowles. In just over two years, he’s had six general managers: Mike Tannenbaum, John Idzik, Mark Dominik, Jason Licht, Bill Belichick (and Nick Caserio, the Patriots’ personnel czar) and Mike Maccagnan. He played in green, pewter red, red/white/blue, and green again.
So what exactly was it like?

And it's important not to forget that Revis made the decision to be coached by all of these coaches and play for five of those GM's. Otherwise, he made the decision to force a trade from the Jets, sign with the Patriots, and then sign with the Jets. Let's hold off a bit on the sympathy for his plight.

Revis: “Getting hurt, tearing my ACL, and getting prepared for the next season, trade talks and me leaving, not knowing where I’m going to play football, what my future is, and then playing in Tampa, getting traded to Tampa, and then getting released by them and trying to figure out the best place to try to win, and I felt the best place was New England. So, it’s been a crazy two or three years in my career.

Part of the reason Revis didn't know where he was playing football in a few of these instances is because he chose free agency through how his contract was set up or he requested a trade. Only a fool would really think Revis would see the back-end of a $96 million contract that is non-guaranteed or the Patriots would pay him $20 million for the 2015 season.

Three questions with founder of Over The Cap

I’ve gained a lot of respect for 39-year-old engineer (that’s his real job) Jason Fitzgerald and his site, Over The Cap, which catalogs NFL contracts and how teams are doing managing their salary caps.

The MMQB: You wrote Thursday that the Ndamukong Suh contract in Miami is particularly onerous. What concerns you in the future about that deal for the Dolphins, and how will they handle it?

Fitzgerald: In order to fit Suh within their cap easily this season, the Dolphins opted for a structure that will see Suh count for only $6 million against the cap, despite the annual contract value of $19.1 million. That leaves Suh with an average cap charge for the 2016-2018 seasons of $21.9 million. Quite honestly I am not sure how you compete in the NFL for a championship with those figures, especially for a defensive tackle.

It’s a situation where a team or a person gets it in their mind that they need a player to make an impact on an organization, and they lose sight of what they may be giving up to get that.

This is otherwise known as "what happens during free agency in almost every major sport."

“It’s home. It’s family. As much as my wife and kids are family, so is the Rooney family and my team and coaches.”

—Ben Roethlisberger, on signing a five-year, $99 million extension with the Steelers on Saturday.

The fact the Steelers were giving Roethlisberger approximately $50 million of this $99 million guaranteed didn't hurt his feelings of family towards the Rooney family and the Steelers organization either. Money is a great way to make someone feel like a part of the family.

“That was a big thing with him. It is with most quarterbacks. He didn’t look anybody off. He’s a competitor, though. He threw three interceptions in this game, and he just kept throwing. He wasn’t scared of us.”

—University of Louisville cornerback Gerod Holliman on Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston, to Robert Klemko of The MMQB. Holliman led the nation with 14 interceptions in 2014, including two off Winston.

This is compared to other college quarterbacks who aren't required to look off a safety because the offensive scheme is designed for him to simply have one read and then throw to the open man. I know this isn't criticism necessarily from Holliman, but the rare college quarterback is able to look off a safety and get the ball to another open guy on a consistent basis.

Mr. Starwood Preferred Member Travel Note of the Week

I didn’t travel in the past seven days. But I did get a good Stories of New York tale from my old boss at “Inside the NFL” on HBO, Brian Hyland, from a Manhattan scene he experienced Saturday. Sharing it:

“Subway elevator this morning. Little old man in a wheelchair, wearing a Yankee hat and a heavy coat for the cold rain. He has a helper but it ain’t easy getting through the door onto the street. I help push him through onto Fort Washington Avenue. As I maneuver to help, he helps me. We’re squeezing him through the heavy green door and as he reaches to push, the sleeve of his coat on his arm moves up towards his elbow. And there I see it. In fading black ink. Covered with arm hair but clear. The number the Nazis gave him. Part of him. Forever on his arm.

“We get him through the door, he says, ‘Thanks, young man’ and his helper pushes him down Fort Washington Avenue. Another random Saturday morning in New York City that takes your breath away.”

This is a pet peeve of mine. "Another random Saturday morning in New York City that takes your breath away." As if there are no Holocaust survivors in any other part of the United States. No other interesting and great moments happen in other United States cities. ONLY IN NEW YORK CITY does this type of thing happen. We all know that New York City is so fucking special because those people who live there won't stop telling us about how special the city is. Great, good for you. Everything you think is special to New York City isn't necessarily exclusive to that city. It's just other citizens of other cities don't take the time to tell you how special their city is. 

Ten Things I Think I Think

1. I think, after speaking to someone who was a part of the competition committee’s deliberations over the past two weeks,

Gee, I wonder who this "someone" is? Peter has talked to Jeff Fisher 2-3 times in MMQB about the competition committee and his feelings on any rule changes regarding what constitutes a catch. If the "someone" Peter is talking about here agrees with Jeff Fisher, (a) why the secretiveness? and/or (b) what are the odds this "someone" is actually Jeff Fisher? 

I would be surprised if anything significant was changed on what constitutes a catch when the league meetings begin next Sunday in Phoenix. There could be a minor tweak to the rule, but the feeling I get regarding the tenor in the room over the past couple of weeks is this: Committee members feel receivers need to maintain control when going to the ground.

So basically Peter is reporting the same thing that Jeff Fisher, the head of the competition committee, has been saying for most of the offseason? This is news, but who is this "someone" that Peter is talking to about what constitutes a catch if this "someone" isn't the same person that Peter has been talking to all offseason about what constitutes a catch? I find it odd that Peter uses the term "someone" here when the opinion held agrees with the head of the competition committee's opinion. If this committee member isn't Jeff Fisher, why is he concerned his name will be tied to an opinion that Jeff Fisher has repeatedly states he agrees with?

2. I think this is what I thought after the esteemed Charley Casserly said on NFL Network following Marcus Mariota’s Pro Day: “Not a sure thing. If you’re going to take him, you’ve got to hold your breath.” What if Mariota—and this is a huge “what if” because of all the teams that need quarterbacks in the draft this year—starts to tumble down the draft board in round one? What if Washington passes on him at 5, and the Jets have some cold feet at 6, and GM Les Snead of the Rams loves Nick Foles and sees bigger needs at 10, and the Browns at 12 and the Texans at 16 and the Browns again at 19 all have cold feet for one reason or another? All of those things are incredibly unlikely, but what if? What if Mariota is staring Sam Bradford-loving Chip Kelly in the face at 20, or if Kelly sees Mariota tumbling at 12, 13, 14, and he thinks he’s just got to go for the gusto now? That would be one of the best stories in recent draft history, Kelly getting Mariota.

Stop rosterbating, Peter. I like how he is openly cheering for a storyline that will allow him to write easy stories and reinforces the perception he is trying to give in MMQB. What makes Mariota going to Kelly's Eagles a better story than any other college coach drafting or having a chance to draft his old college quarterback? Other than the media has forced the whole "Kelly wants Mariota" perception down the throats of the public, even though at this point there isn't much reality behind this perception, of course.

3. I think, drifting back to reality, I absolutely do not believe it’s going to happen. But it’s not an impossible dream. Just an unlikely one.

Okay, first, this thought #3 should be up with thought #2 since it is a continuation of thought #2. Second, it's the impossible dream for a sportswriter who wants easy stories to write and confirmation of a perception to be reinforced. There's nothing like reading about the media openly cheering for certain storylines to develop.

4. I think Trent Richardson goes down in NFL history as one of the strangest stories. Ever.

Why is "ever" a separate sentence? It fits into the sentence. Easily.

5. I think this is the best way to put the biggest deal of the weekend in perspective: Ben Roethlisberger will be only be 37 at the end of his 16th season as Steeler quarterback in 2019—if he lasts that long, of course—and that’s an age when quarterbacks are still having peak seasons. Today, with quarterbacks doing so much in the offseason to stay healthy and make their careers last, I really like what the Steelers did.

That does put the Roethlisberger contract in perspective for me. My perspective is altered by knowing quarterbacks who are older can still serve a purpose to their team, but mostly altered by my newfound knowledge that Peter liked what the Steelers did in extending Roethlisberger.

They told the world that Roethlisberger is their quarterback for life.

Well except for the fact, as Peter just noted, this is an age when quarterbacks are still having peak seasons when Roethlisberger's contract runs out. So he is the Steelers' quarterback for life, except for the part where Peter thinks Roethlisberger will be playing at a high level and his contract will have run out.

9. I think the Jets must not have liked their roster very much. They signed, re-signed or traded for 11 players in the first three days of the 2015 league year.

What was to like about the roster? The Jets have a new GM and new head coach. Changes happen when new head coaches and GM's are hired. Of course, as we learned with Chip Kelly turning over the Eagles roster, many personnel changes are only allowable when discussing unsuccessful NFL teams.

10. I think these are my non-football thoughts of the week:

a. If I had one wish for ESPN (well, this wouldn’t be the one, I guess, but it would be in the top 10), I would wish its anchors would stop saying Team X “punched their ticket” for the NCAA tournament. First: Team X would have “punched its ticket.” Second: Well, it’s a brutal cliché.

What a country.

b. I live in New York. I can’t name one active Knick.

You admit to not watching the NBA. The fact you can't name one active Knick probably speaks to your distaste for the NBA as much as it speaks to the anonymity of the Knicks players. I do like how Peter is viewing the Knicks relevance through the lens of how much he knows about the team. This is something sportswriters love to do. They don't watch or enjoy a sport/team, so obviously that sport/team isn't relevant anymore. Why wouldn't Peter's worldview speak to the relevance of a sport or team?

c. Knicks versus Lakers on Thursday night. Looked at the box score Friday morning. Never heard of any of the 10 starters in the game.

Again, you don't really watch college basketball or the NBA.

f. A few random college basketball observations:

Wish you wouldn't. Do this. Ever.

i. What a weekend for Notre Dame, beating Duke and North Carolina on back-to-back days in the state of North Carolina.

It was in North Carolina, but it helps the Duke fans in the crowd were cheering for Notre Dame and the UNC fans in the crowd were cheering for Notre Dame. The game being played in North Carolina is an advantage until the fans of one North Carolina-based team choose to cheer against another North Carolina-based team. It's not always an advantage to play in North Carolina in certain situations. After being defeated by Notre Dame, Duke fans in attendance were openly cheering for Notre Dame against UNC.

k. Four conferences played their tourneys in Vegas? What a country.

Stop writing "what a country."

n. This Cuban baseball player stuff is really crazy. Crazier than NFL free-agent money. Boston paid $133 million to sign Rusney Castillo and 19-year-old Yoan Moncada, with limited scouting opportunities of them. It’s got to be sports’ version of Russian Roulette.

All of a sudden when the Red Sox start signing Cuban players Peter starts to notice how crazy it is that MLB teams sign these Cuban players without knowing a ton about them. Hey Peter, MLB teams have been signing players from overseas, while having limited opportunities to scout these players, for over a decade now. I know! It's amazing this didn't start when the Red Sox started spending money on Cuban players.

The Adieu Haiku

I like lots of trades.  
The NFL’s not like that.
Kudos, Chip Kelly.


Chip Kelly can make all kinds of trades without having to ask anyone's permission. What a country. 

Friday, November 14, 2014

2 comments Bill Simmons Does an Article About Y2K Quarterbacks, Because Can't It Just Be 2004 Again?

As I have probably explained before, I don't cover Bill Simmons articles as much as I would like to for two reasons. (1) He posts them as late on Friday as humanly possible when I don't feel like writing and posting anything else. What's interesting is Bill used to hate how late ESPN would post his columns and that was the source of his difficulty with ESPN management when he was on Page 2, yet on Grantland he posts his Friday column usually well after lunch and more towards 5pm. (2) It takes a lot of energy to post a Bill Simmons column. It's not an excuse, but it's a hill to climb, then factor in that by the time I'm getting to Bill's column MMQB and TMQ are needing to be posted...if anyone ever wondered, that's why I don't cover Bill Simmons as much. So anyway, Bill writes about the "Y2K-compliant" quarterbacks because he, like me, wants to go back to 2004 when he cared about his writing.

Nearly 15 years later, I remember three things about Y2K. First, many people were legitimately concerned that computers would freak out at midnight,

Not just concerned, LEGITIMATELY concerned. There's a huge difference in that one sounds more serious than the other.

It was secretly disappointing when midnight came and went without an electronic catastrophe.

No, it wasn't secretly disappointing. I was legitimately not secretly disappointed.

By the way, there are only six YouTube videos in this column. Only six! Such an improvement from Bill.

And third, I remember thinking about the end of the world and being bummed out about one thing and one thing only: not that I’d be losing the chance to have kids or get married,

Because anyone who has read Bill's books or columns knows that women are nags who can only ruin a successful man's life.

not that I’d be losing my dream of building a big audience for my “Sports Guy” column,

I call bullshit on this. It's not a bad thing, but Bill was always very dedicated to building his "Sports Guy" column and his brand. He started having a small amount of success around the year 2000, and since he calls it "his dream," I'm calling bullshit.

but that I’d live and die without seeing a Boston team win a World Series or a Super Bowl.

This is your weekly reminder from Bill Simmons that the Red Sox have won multiple World Series and the Patriots have won multiple Super Bowls. No matter what, he has to call back to a time when he wasn't so spoiled by his teams' success. He made his bones whining about how cursed his teams were, so he needs to get back to that spot quickly in order to give the illusion that he's the same guy he was 15 years ago.

We’re 14 years in. The words “21st century” actually mean something. And in the 21st century, exactly 10 quarterbacks have won Super Bowls.

• Tom Brady (five times)
• Ben Roethlisberger (twice)
• Kurt Warner
• Trent Dilfer
• Brad Johnson
• Peyton Manning
• Drew Brees
• Aaron Rodgers
• Joe Flacco
• Russell Wilson


Bill, you are missing Eli M---

Fine, fine. You caught me. ELEVEN quarterbacks have won a Super Bowl in the 21st century.
 
• Tom Brady (three times)
• Ben Roethlisberger (twice)
• Eli Manning (twice)
• Kurt Warner
• Trent Dilfer
• Brad Johnson
• Peyton Manning
• Drew Brees
• Aaron Rodgers
• Joe Flacco
• Russell Wilson


You are so creative and such a jokester. The Patriots have been the most successful NFL franchise since 2000, but Bill has to whine just a little bit that they aren't more successful.

The weakest QBs? Trent Dilfer and Brad Johnson definitely “game managed” their way to titles,

Did you know that Baltimore won four straight playoff games with Dilfer completing 35 passes … total?

And now this motherfucker has the balls to run a QB camp, all while saying insanely stupid shit on ESPN like the Patriots just aren't good anymore, that teams can't win by losing games, the Panthers coaching staff wants Cam Newton to be a running back, and generally acting like he's Scottie Pippen when he's really just Luc Longley. I imagine the first lesson at Trent Dilfer's QB camp is "Go find a historically great defense and just don't turn the ball over. Success will follow."

Every time a Chiefs fan says, “I think we can win the Super Bowl with Alex Smith,” they’re really saying, “I mean, the 2002 Bucs won a Super Bowl with Brad Johnson!” I don’t know. Those were different times.

They were different times because a team could win the Super Bowl with just a historically great defense. The Seahawks won the Super Bowl last year with a historically great defense, but Russell Wilson is not Brad Johnson or Trent Dilfer. He's better than them.

The third-weakest QB on that list? Eli Manning.

I mean, it's a pretty good list with seven Hall of Fame quarterbacks on it. So being third-weakest isn't exactly a slam like Bill wants it to be.

I’m the wrong person to shepherd a “Could the 2007 Giants and 2011 Giants have won Super Bowls with any decent QB?” conversation, if only because I might intentionally injure myself. So let’s just agree that the Giants scored 38 points combined in those two Super Bowls, one of which went New York’s way because their 17th-string receiver caught the last pass of his career with his helmet.

Okay, Bill. Your teams never get lucky or fortunate. Never happened.

It’s too early to have an opinion on Russell Wilson’s Super Bowl, but the “Luck or Wilson?” debate finished filming in October. (Spoiler alert: Luck won.) Is Wilson an infinitely more athletic Brad Johnson? Is his 2014 performance suffering because his offensive line collapsed and he doesn’t have enough weapons (and not because we overrated him)?

I think Russell Wilson could use more to work with, but I also think he isn't going to be a fantastic quarterback on the level of most of the other quarterbacks on the list Bill provided that have won a Super Bowl since 2000.

The five best QBs of the 21st century, by any calculation, are Brady, Brees, Rodgers, Roethlisberger and Peyton Manning in some order.

Okay, it's settled then. Brett Favre, go home.

Why bring up that Y2K list? For one thing, if you forced me into a 21st Century QB Mount Rushmore decision, I would bump Brees before Roethlisberger. Brees has six career playoff wins, one Super Bowl win and one conference title game appearance. He spent his entire career playing home games in 75-degree weather (San Diego) or indoors (New Orleans). And the team that drafted him eventually gave up on him.

I feel like I'm taking crazy pills...I wouldn't disagree with Bill overall about where Brees has played most of his career, but I wouldn't say the Chargers "gave up" on Brees. They had drafted Rivers and did make Brees an offer to stay. If they gave up on him, they would have traded him or released him prior to drafting Rivers. The Chargers wanted to keep Brees around, so they weren't giving up on him, just simply not committing to him.

For regular season — Brees. For everything — Roethlisberger.

He’s the most underrated quarterback of the 21st century. It’s true.

No, it's not true. It's an opinion. It can be an opinion many agree with, yet it still remains as an opinion. The words you write are not facts, but opinions, even if they are well-regarded opinions from someone who holds himself in such high esteem like Bill Simmons does.

The Tahoe incident was eventually settled out of court, and the Georgia incident earned him a six-game suspension from Roger Goodell (eventually dropped to four games). Both damaged Roethlisberger’s reputation. In retrospect, every Goodell suspension seems suspect after how egregiously the commissioner botched Bountygate, then acted irresponsibly, incompetently and maybe even illegally and mendaciously after Ray Rice knocked his wife out (hopefully, we’ll have a result from the hearing about Rice’s re-suspension next week).

Careful, Bill. ESPN allows their employees to say insanely stupid shit, just don't say anything potentially 50% true about someone ESPN does business with and then dare them to suspend you.

Meanwhile, I’m pretty sure that Roethlisberger hasn’t filmed a major commercial since 2009. (I couldn’t find one on the Internet, that’s for sure.) His national profile effectively consists of 16 to 20 football games per year, dozens of press conferences and the occasional “insightful” sitdown with Bob Costas (or whomever) that never reveals anything interesting. And we’re fine with it.

Yes, "we" are fine with it. Thank God that Bill Simmons is here to speak for "us."

That 2009 incident inspired us to collectively reject the mythology of Roethlisberger’s greatness, even though so many went the other way with Kobe Bryant earlier in the decade (in an undeniably similar situation).

I do somewhat disagree with this. I think the difference is that Roethlisberger is a great quarterback, but Kobe Bryant is one of the greatest NBA players of all-time. The difference is relative. Kobe's greatness has been rejected by quite a few (points at Bill), but the fact he is one of the all-time great NBA players has helped the mythology grow in ways that Roethlisberger's just won't. Roethlisberger is great, but he isn't one of the Top 10-20 quarterbacks of all-time, while Kobe is one of the Top 10-20 NBA players of all-time.

You know when I officially realized this?

After Ben Roethlisberger proved he was great and you had time to go back and point out what "we" should have known all along and then made up a gambling theory that will be untrue in a few weeks?

In the words of Dave Dameshek quoting Jerry Orbach from Dirty Dancing, when I’m wrong, I’m wrong. Roethlisberger IS great.

Even if he doesn’t routinely throw up video-game numbers, you’d feel 100 percent comfortable riding him for any big game or any season-saving drive. 

Oh, I would feel that way? Thanks for telling me. I wasn't sure how I felt in this situation. But it turns out that I am comfortable riding Roethlisberger for any big game or any season-saving drive. These things that Bill knows about "us" that "we" don't know...

Back to the Y2K/Super Bowl thing: I brought it up because there’s another list of memorable 21st-century QBs who haven’t won a Super Bowl. Here’s that list …
 
• Rich Gannon
• Steve McNair
• Donovan McNabb
• Jake Delhomme
• Carson Palmer
• Philip Rivers
• Tony Romo
• Matt Ryan
• Colin Kaepernick
• Andrew Luck


Luck has been in the league less than three years. I get it, he hasn't won a Super Bowl, but he's memorable really only in that he will be really memorable in a few more years.

Delhomme’s topsy-turvy career peaked with 2003’s improbable hot streak — two playoff upsets, then Delhomme scaring the bejesus out of every overconfident Patriots fan during the Nipple Bowl.

I would disagree with the "improbable" part. I don't know if Delhomme was memorable or not, but he was pretty good during the 2004 and 2005 seasons. He definitely played well in the 2003 playoffs, but he also played really well during the playoffs in 2005 (well, 2 of 3 games). So Delhomme's career didn't peak during the Super Bowl, though it was a part of the peak.

As for the non-retired guys, Romo is Romo — the most polarizing QB of this century not named Michael Vick. But he could have made a Super Bowl on the right team. Same for Rivers, who’s really a better version of Romo with more kids. Ryan nearly won the NFC title in 2013, although he didn’t — so maybe that says something, too.

Matt Ryan almost made a Super Bowl, so that means something, but he didn't, so maybe that means something also. So basically the fact Matt Ryan didn't make a Super Bowl may or may not mean something. Everything is everything and something is always something.

And Luck, of anyone on that list, is the surest wager to win at least one Lombardi. Maybe sooner than we think.

I wasn't sure when "we" thought Luck would win a Super Bowl. Say I think Luck will win the Super Bowl this year. So how could he win a Super Bowl earlier than that? Huh, Bill?? HUH??? Stop using "we" as if you speak for everyone who reads your column you self-important ass.

Which brings us to Carson Palmer, who becomes The Most Underrated QB Of The 21st Century as soon as we stop underrating Roethlisberger. You might remember me making fun of Palmer in this column many, many, many times. Many times. Many, MANY times. And I stand by all of it.

Another superlative being handed down by Bill. It's one of those days for him. When in doubt, hyperbolize.

Also notice how Bill calls Carson Palmer The Most Underrated QB of the 21st Century, acknowledges he has made fun of Palmer many times and doesn't take any of it back. Bill openly admits to underrating Palmer, yet doesn't have the guts to just say "There could be a few things I was wrong about." There's only so much humility Bill can show in one column. If Palmer is underrated and Bill made fun of him, shouldn't some of those comments be taken back?

Still, no 21st-century QB had worse luck than Carson Palmer did. Barnwell covered this angle perfectly less than 13 months ago on Grantland, so I won’t rehash it here.

Palmer's ACL injury on a very good Cardinals team contributes to his bad luck. Still, I would disagree he has had bad luck in that Palmer could have chosen to play on a Bengals team with A.J. Green, a high 2nd round pick (instead of Dalton being drafted there), a quality offensive line and a good defense. He chose to demand a trade instead. So some of the bad luck was his own doing.

If you were blessed with a “Reset” button and the ability to play an athlete’s career 10 times, would the real-life outcome be the unluckiest career of those 10 times?

This is a question without a definitively provable answer. There's no reason to waste times with "what if?" questions that only go to serve a point that Bill wants to prove.

For instance, if you replayed Webber’s career 10 times, he goes down as one of the NBA’s 30 greatest players ever at least seven or eight of those times. Only three things could derail someone that talented: a major injury (happened), circumstances (happened) and bad luck (happened). If Orlando never traded Webber’s rights for Penny Hardaway’s rights and three first-round picks, he and Shaq would have destroyed everybody. (That’s bad luck.) If Webber hadn’t entered the NBA during the height of the Too Much Too Soon era, he wouldn’t have used his contract leverage to bully his way from a loaded Warriors team to a mediocre Washington team. (That’s circumstances — you never want to give a 21-year-old that kind of power, but that’s what the NBA was doing in the mid-’90s.) And if he never ruined his knee, Webber’s prime would have lasted twice as long. (The injury card, obviously.) So it took THREE different flukes to prevent Webber’s career from being as good as or better than Kevin Garnett.

But this real-life outcome wasn't the worst possible outcome. Webber could have blown his knee out during his rookie season and then never played in the NBA again. The same thing goes for Carson Palmer. What Bill presents as the worst possible outcome truly isn't the worst possible outcome. But again, Bill wants to prove a point and that's all that matters.

But one thing after another happened to him: The cheap-ass Bengals drafted him, then he blew out his knee on his first playoff pass during 2005’s breakout season, then he injured his throwing elbow in 2008, then he got traded to Siberia (the Raiders), then he landed in Arizona as the team’s 345th attempt to replace Kurt Warner with anyone competent.

Again, this isn't the worst possible outcome. Palmer could have blown his knee out during his rookie season and then hurt his elbow after that. Palmer also forced a trade to the Raiders, which along with Drew Brees taking the biggest contract offer when he was a free agent, seems to have magically become forgotten along the way. Palmer was traded because he demanded to be traded. His ending up in Oakland was a by-product of his demanding a trade and refusing to play for the Bengals.

When Barnwell posted his “Can’t-Miss Kid” article on October 18, 2013, it read like something of a football obituary. And rightly so.
 
So what happened?
 
Did Palmer read the article and go into Rocky-in-Russia mode?

Yes Bill, Grantland articles directly impact how professional athletes behave and train during the season.

Was this the all-time coincidence in the history of Grantland coincidences?
We only know that Palmer — within a few days of Barnwell’s column — suddenly transformed back into Someone You Might Be Able To Win A Super Bowl With. He’s won 12 of his last 14 starts, losing the other two by three points apiece. According to Mike Sando, he ranks sixth in QBR during that stretch (69.8, trailing only Peyton Manning, Rodgers, Rivers, Brady and Brees), and he has thrown for 3,918 yards and 27 TDs with just 11 picks.

That column also happened to be printed after Palmer had come off two straight games of playing well, as well as a soft part of the Cardinals' schedule. So he was playing well a couple of weeks before the article was written. It took Palmer a few weeks to fully grasp Arians' offense after not having been in the offense for a full year yet and he had shown signs of playing well prior to the column being written. It's all in the game log.

This isn’t one of those Josh McCown five-game rope-a-dope situations. Palmer has been playing extremely well for 13 solid months, even persevering when his receivers caught a recent case of the dropsies (mentioned here).

The Cardinals have a great coach, a great offensive line, and a great set of receivers. I think Palmer could have done something similar if he had stayed in Cincinnati.

Then immediately after writing that he was sort of wrong about Carson Palmer, but he won't totally admit it, Bill writes sentences sure to pop in his Friday NFL picks column again as a reminder of how smart he is...

But the Cardinals have some subtle omens going against them. They’re 16th in overall DVOA; they have a Pythagorean record that’s two wins lower than their real record (Barnwell Link No. 3!);5 and they’ve recovered nine of 14 fumbles (third-luckiest in the league) and they’re plus-10 in turnover differential. Any numbers nerd is waving a “REGRESSION!!!!!” flag right now.

Does that mean Arizona should consider throwing this week’s Rams game to be safe? Of course not. But the “Everybody Believes In Us” factor unnerves me.

Palmer got hurt, but I'm sure Bill chalk the Cardinals regression (which I'm assuming there will be some) up to the factors he lists here instead of the loss of their really underrated quarterback. 

Oh, and if I had told you 13 months ago that Carson Palmer would be leading a 2014 title contender, you would have asked which CFL team had signed him. There’s that, too.

No, I would not have.

It goes on and on and on. You can SEE them in the Super Bowl. But I believe in the Cardinals simply because they remind me of the 2003 Patriots, an exceptionally well-coached team with a knack for pulling out close games.

The Cardinals may regress, but Bill can also see them in the Super Bowl. It wouldn't concern me that Bill says both of these things, but it concerns me and I mention it only because anyone reads Bill's columns know that Bill loves to take credit for any predictions that turn out to be correct. How many times has he linked an old article where he points out something he said that ended up sounding smart? So his saying the Cardinals may regress, along with saying he can see them in the Super Bowl, leads me to believe Bill is playing both sides of the issue.

But let’s also agree that, occasionally, a football team shows up that just seems comfortable playing close games. For the Cardinals, there are six tangible reasons for this: exceptional coaching, an A-list secondary that shuts down third-and-longs, a superb red zone defense, multiple playmakers who can explode at any time, a running game that can protect tight leads, and a veteran QB who’s too old to get scared.

I’m in! I’m all in! Sign me up! I don’t care if the Cardinals have inadvertently become the “Everybody Believes In Us” team — they’re the NFC’s best football team, I believe in their tangibles and intangibles, and I even kinda-sorta-maybe believe in their QB

I'm guessing Bill was violently throwing himself off the Cardinals' bandwagon Monday morning once he knew that Drew Stanton would be driving the Cardinals' offense for the rest of the season. Without The Most Underrated Quarterback of the 21st Century that Bill has said critical things about and still really means, he probably doesn't believe the Cardinals have a chance anymore to make the Super Bowl.

Besides, in a 21st century that’s been as goofy as advertised, it makes perfect sense that Carson Palmer would start a home Super Bowl game … right? Please manage your gambling wagers accordingly.

Retract your gambling wagers immediately!

On to the Week 10 picks …

Jaguars (+7.5) over COWBOYS
 

Does anyone else love that we keep torturing the English by sending them terrible football games? They shouldn’t have messed with us in the 1700s — it’s their fault. I fully expect the Cowboys to finish 8-8 again, which means they’re blowing this game to Bad News Blake Bortles. My upset special: Jags 24, Cowboys 10.

Or not. Also, wasn't the exciting Lions-Falcons game played in London this year? Generally, the games in London haven't been great, but it's weird that Bill referred to terrible football games played in London when an exciting game was just played there.

Bill then links the YouTube video of Trent Dilfer saying the Patriots "Just aren't good anymore." It goes to show what a clown Trent Dilfer is.

Of course Bill runs some letters, because he can't write an entire column these days without a few reader emails. Someone has to produce content so Bill can talk about how much he writes, it may as well not be Bill. The emails from Bill's readers all end the same way as they do in other mailbags. Here's a sampling:

Bill, Ladies and Gentlemen, your 2015 Houston Texans!! Hook’em!

If Eli and Ben could do it twice, why can’t Rivers? NOBODY BELIEVES IN US!!

Bill's Simmonsite readers love to parrot his catch phrases. Bill and his readers have been using the same catchphrases for over a decade now...and in no way is that depressing.

San Diego’s Bye Week (-5.5) over Washington’s BYE WEEK

Q: Every analyst is jumping off the Chargers bandwagon like it’s carrying rabid dogs. Maybe it’s just out of room because it’s carrying all of Rivers’ children. Are the Chargers building themselves up to be the “nobody believes in us” team this year? They have all of the pieces — injured players that can fill the gaps, a defense that has been good when healthy, and a QB from the 2004 draft class that can catch fire. If Eli and Ben could do it twice, why can’t Rivers? NOBODY BELIEVES IN US!!

—Brian Djavaherian

BS: Glad you brought this up.

Brian, you now have Bill Simmons' approval. Consider your life now having some sort of meaning.

Right now, the Chargers are 5-4 and coming off three straight losses to a definite Super Bowl contender (Denver), a possible Super Bowl contender (Miami) and a probable 10-win team (Kansas City, a game that could have gone either way). They have a bye week to lick their wounds (and get healthy), then home games against Oakland and St. Louis. Let’s say they win those two. After that — at Baltimore, home for New England, home for Denver, at San Francisco, at Kansas City. And they can’t finish worse than 10-6.

I mean … even I don’t believe in them. And I picked them to be a Super Bowl contender.

(In other words … literally, NOBODY BELIEVES IN YOU, SAN DIEGO!!!! Keep an eye on this one.)

By the way, Bill has three AFC teams he considers as Super Bowl contenders at this point. Throw in the obvious, that he thinks the Patriots are Super Bowl contenders and his earlier love for Ben Roethlisberger and that's probably five teams in the AFC that Bill considers to be a Super Bowl contender. At this point, Bill seems to think any playoff-caliber AFC team is a Super Bowl contender.

Minnesota’s Bye Week (+8) over Indy’s Bye Week

Q: I’m sure you’ve gotten 100 emails on this, but the guy who had Adrian Peterson in my fantasy league dropped him last week. I have top priority this week so I can grab him for the stretch if his suspension is ended. This is clearly the best move from a fantasy perspective, but as a father it makes me feel ‘unclean.’ What should I do?

—Jacob, Somerville

BS: Hmmmmmm … I don’t know. Let’s ask Thom Yorke.

Bill then links "Karma Police" in a YouTube video. Screw karma. I picked up Adrian Peterson in a fantasy league all while absolutely not wanting Greg Hardy to be a part of the Carolina Panthers football team. It's fantasy, not real life. If I can draft players I don't personally like on teams I don't personally like, I can handle picking up a Top-5 running back when I have started two Browns running backs over the past two weeks.

Q: I know he isn’t there yet, but how many more holy shit plays are needed before Sammy Watkins is deserving of a nickname? We have MegaTron, so I was thinking Sammy would be MegaWatt.

—David, New York

BS: Come on, you don’t need a nickname when your first name is “Sammy,” and you definitely don’t need a nickname when you’re “Sammy Watkins.”

Bill couldn't think of a nickname to top MegaWatt, so he decided that Watkins doesn't need a nickname.

But you know what we DO need a nickname for? Anytime Mike Carey awkwardly breaks down any review of one of Jerome Boger’s atrocious calls. It’s like the streams crossing in Ghostbusters. Send me the best nickname and I’ll run it next week.

Everybody send Bill a list of nicknames and then he will spend most of the week trying to top the nickname that his readers have come up with. The smartest, most clever guy in the room? It has to be Bill at all times.

Andrew in Ann Arbor: “Jim Caldwell’s weekday coaching deserves a nomination for Sneaky Good Watch status. The Lions commit considerably fewer dumb penalties, turn the ball over less, and are generally a much less stupid football team this year. Under Schwartz facing the kind of adversity they had the last few weeks, they would have fallen apart and been blown out. That said, Jim Caldwell’s gameday coaching definitely needs to be included in the Shaky Watch this week. He punted on 4th-and-6 from the opponent’s 37 down 14, kicked a FG from the 2 down 21, kicked another FG from the 4 down 11, decided to settle for a 48 yard FG despite the Lions kicking woes, and most amazingly ran the ball with no timeouts left on third down and 25 seconds left. Which means his plan was to sprint the field goal team onto the field, which almost never works.

Yeah Andrew, but you forgot about the mind games and dinner Caldwell has with his players. It's the key to the team's success this season!

SAINTS (-6) over Niners

I can’t believe the Saints have a chance to go from 2-4 to 12-4. They’re catching the Niners at a perfect time, right when I’m getting emails like this …

Q: My brother and I just realized what the Jim Harbaugh era is. It’s mirroring M. Night Shyamalan’s career.

2011 – NFC Championship Game = Sixth Sense. (Wow that was awesome! Didn’t see that coming.)

2012 – Superbowl = Unbreakable. (Hey that was solid! Can’t wait for many more like this. The guy can’t miss. BEST COACH/DIRECTOR OUT THERE RIGHT NOW!)

2013 – NFC Championship Game = Signs. (Solid, but got a little bumpy. Next one will be better for sure.)

2014 – 4-4 so far = The Village. (Um WTF was that? Seriously???)

2015 = Lady in the Water (HOLY HELL!!! GET ME OUT OF HERE!!)

We need to get rid of Harbaugh ASAP! Just let the Jets have 2016 – THE YEAR OF THE HARBAUGH CRAPPENING.

—Jay Cohen, San Francisco

And naturally the 49ers beat the Saints at home causing this forced comparison to sound even more forced. What was that victory in this comparison to Shyamalan's career? Definitely not "The Last Airbender," not "After Earth," and beating the Saints at home isn't "The Village." So maybe Bill and Jay can shit all over the timeline and say it's Shyamalan writing "Stuart Little." Or else, it's just not a good comparison.

JETS (+6) over Steelers

Q: I can’t believe you wrote an article in which you bitch about the Patriots. Try being a Jets fan. Fuck you.

—Dan D.

BS: Didn’t you read what just I wrote? You’re getting M. Night Harbaughlan! Things are looking up! By the way, I think the Jets somehow cover this one. Can’t explain it. The line is suspiciously, curiously low for reasons that CANNOT be explained.

In hindsight, it's explained by the Jets winning the football game.

Q: Watching the Sunday Night Football game and listening to Al and Cris marvel at the incredible “James Harrison was retired three weeks ago and now is somehow playing like one of the best linebackers in the game” story for the 50th time that quarter, I couldn’t be the only one to come up with an easy explanation for that “somehow?”
 

—Zach H., Cleveland

BS: The Cleveland-Pittsburgh rivalry, everybody! It’s heating up!

This is ridiculous. Only MLB has a problem with PED's. Football has not ever had, nor ever will have, an issue with players using PED's. NFL players are just naturally huge individuals with muscles all over their body. Roger Goodell certainly has never put his head in the sand because he's no Bud Selig.

Quickly on the Rams: They’re the NFL version of me as a golfer. I started playing golf again this year after a self-imposed 20-year hiatus, which is actually a good story that I will tell some other time. In the past six months, I’ve played 15 times. My game is slowly coming back. Right now, I’m shooting between 95 and 100 from the blues. And every round is the same — I have four awesome holes and four horrible ones, with a slew of bogeys and double bogeys in between. That makes me a good best-ball partner as long as I’m playing with someone good.

That's a great story, Bill. I was just getting ready to ask about how your golf game was going. That is very interesting, please tell me more.

That’s the Rams — you’d want them for best ball, but not real life. During a 16-game season, they’re going to bogey or double bogey eight holes, fall apart on four holes and overachieve on four holes. They already birdied Week 7 (the Seattle game) and shot par in Week 9 (the Niners win). In Week 10, I see them crushing a great drive on a par-4, just missing the approach, then three-putting for a frustrating bogey.

As usual, Bill takes up more words than required to state something. Rather than just saying, "The Rams are inconsistent," Bill has to use an overly-long analogy takes up more space and sounds smarter than just calling the Rams inconsistent.

That’s right, Seattle. You know I love your city and you know I hate how OKC stole the Sonics from you. But save for opening night, your crowds have sucked this season. Peyton Manning went 80 yards in like three seconds to force OT on you. You lost to Dallas at home. You couldn’t blow out the lowly Raiders last week, for God’s sake. Are you suffering from Pink Hat Syndrome (a.k.a. too many bandwagon fans)? Are you taking this stuff for granted now? What’s up?

What is partially up is that Seattle fans can be loud, but they can't make up for the Seahawks not playing well. I realize Bill thinks that fans have as much of a direct, immediate impact on the outcome of a sporting event as the two teams playing on the court/field, but it's not entirely true. There is probably an impact on the opposing team's performance, but to wonder why the Seattle fans can't blow out the Raiders at home is just silly.

Two of Grantland’s finest employees are Sean Fennessey and Chris Ryan. They happen to be close friends, they occasionally drive to and from work together, and they can even communicate in staff meetings just by glancing at one another. Fennessey is a long-suffering Jets fan; Ryan is a long-suffering Eagles fan.


At this point, Bill thinks the fan of any sports team is "long-suffering" if his/her team hasn't won a title in the last 12 months. Almost everyone is long-suffering according to Bill. 

In 2014, the Sanchize landed in Philly as Chip Kelly’s reclamation project. Last week, Nick Foles broke his collarbone and Sanchez saved the day against Houston. He looked good enough that some people (a) picked him up in fantasy football, and (b) wondered if he could have a Plunkett-esque rejuvenation in Philly. And even if Chris Ryan will deny it to the death, deep down, he’s talking himself into the parallel “I mean, Sanchez did play in an AFC title game and beat the Patriots in the playoffs on the road” and “If anyone can turn him around, it’s Chip Kelly” narratives. Again, he’d never admit this. But he’s thinking it. 

And Fennessey? He’s just sitting there with a big smile on his face, like someone in college with a crazy ex who just found out that his or her good friend might be falling for that crazy ex. Should I intervene here? Nahhhhhhhhh.

This is a dumb comparison. If a person had a good friend who was falling for his crazy ex then I would hope the one friend would talk the other friend out of it. I realize that Bill is desperately trying to appeal to his target demographic by talking about boy-girl issues, but this just seems like a pretty forced (and stereotypically Bill Simmons) comparison.

This Week: 1-0
Last Week: 7-6
Season: 96-39


I went 58-0 from Week 4 through Week 7. Also, Roger Goodell had no idea what happened inside the elevator with Ray Rice until September 8.

This is Bill wanting to (wink-wink) remind his readers that he got suspended for three weeks because he is a rebel and says things other people don't have the guts to say...or at least says things everyone else has said, but he did it in a more public way in order to gain attention.