Showing posts with label nfl draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label nfl draft. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

15 comments MMQB Review: Peter Feels a Draft Edition (I'm Not Calling it FMIA)

I'll skip the typical preamble I've written over the last several years about trying to do more of this and I'm not sure when I'll do it again. Blah, blah, blah. You think you've heard it enough, imagine how many times I've written the "I'm trying to come back and find time..." preamble in the posts I've aborted. I figure I would give this a real shot to see if I remember how to do it. The NFL draft is a few days away and Peter King's sources help him formulate his mock draft. We know how this will play out. Trades happen, smokescreens happen and then Peter will get 4-5 picks correct. Back when I did mock drafts I usually got that many correct on a good year. Today, Peter forgets how to link columns he's referencing, Mike Mayock's daughter explains sending all of the team's scouts home a week before the draft is PERFECTLY NORMAL, and the Adieu Haiku is still a thing unfortunately.

Interesting mock draft dropped Sunday morning in the Los Angeles Times. The paper’s redoubtable NFL beat man, Sam Farmer, 
 
He has me blocked on Twitter. Why? I don't know, because I'm a really nice person.

On a side note, I always like the certainty with which these players are discussed prior to the draft. "10 year starter" and "best defensive player in the draft" is thrown around like gospel rather than the pure speculation it truly is. Also, Peter used to work with Mike Mayock at NBC, so you can feel him rooting for Mayock. I'm sure we will get some excuse-making for Mayock from the media if he struggles as a first-time GM. You know, like if he sends all of his scouts a week before the draft it could be portrayed as a normal thing to do.

had his annual sportswriter mock draft—he’s done it for 10 years—in which he asks longtime NFL writers he trusts in the franchise cities to make the pick of the team they cover. 

Great, I'd love to read it. Let me click on the link and read this despite the fact Sam Farmer has me blocked and clearly doesn't want me to read what he writes.

(Looks for the link to the Sam Farmer article in FMIA, finds nothing)

Usually, when someone refers to a writing on the Interwebs, that person also provides a link. This is especially done when mentioning the Interwebs writing in a complimentary manner. Alas, Peter shall not do this because because because.

This was Somers’ pick, and his explanation to Farmer:

“Arizona: DT Quinnen Williams, Alabama. The Cardinals like Josh Rosen, and I don’t see them taking a quarterback in the first round two years in a row. They need help on the defensive line and Williams would immediately provide that. GM Steve Keim has made some mistakes in the first round by taking guys who weren’t that passionate about football (Jonathan Cooper, Robert Nkemdiche). So I can see them taking Williams.”

This is the part where I mention I read an article about Kyler Murray in "Sports Illustrated" and it seems like one big red flag. It was a well-written article and you should read it sometime. I know, I'll link it here out of courtesy to the article's author.

I'm not stuck on Murray's height, though it doesn't help my opinion of him. He seems somewhat indifferent to what sport he plays. Mostly, I would like a happy medium between "I have made a blood oath to play football and if I violate this oath, then my family shall suffer the consequences of my actions" and "My dad told me to choose and I think I thought about it and this is what I want for now." I don't know. Murray and D.J. Metcalf are two guys I probably wouldn't draft as high as they are going to go. But guess what? No one asked me.

Interesting … and though I’m going to disagree with Somers in my projection, swept along with the Kyler Murray tidal wave, I do think there’s a good rationale for trading down or taking another player. 

To be clear, it's a very tiny tidal wave that isn't even sure it wants to sweep Peter up or not. You know, whatever the moon's gravitational pool wants the tidal wave to do and all. 

The Cardinals have done a good job in shutting up since it was reported at the combine seven weeks ago that Kingsbury let it slip that drafting Murray was a “done deal.”

EVER SINCE THE CARDINALS PUBLICLY PROCLAIMED WHO THEY ARE GOING TO PICK, THEY HAVE DONE A GOOD JOB OF PRETENDING THEY HAVEN'T PUBLICLY PROCLAIMED WHO THEY ARE GOING TO PICK.

I can't understate how upset I am that Peter King didn't refer to Kliff Kingsbury as "precocious." I could not be more disappointed, but at least Peter uses the word once in this FMIA that is really MMQB.

Two other bits of light drama: 

There is just light drama for now. The heavy drama starts on Friday and Saturday when Mike Mayock and Jon Gruden realize the draft isn't going as they expected and there are no scouts around to bounce ideas off. But don't worry, Mike Mayock's daughter will Tweet about how all of this heavy drama is totally normal.

I have four quarterbacks going, but lower than you think—at 1, 15, 23 and 31.

Ah yes, Peter still knows what I'm thinking better than I know what I'm thinking, so he knows when I expect the quarterbacks to be drafted in Thursday's draft. 

1. Arizona: Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma

They could decide to take Murray, the choice of head coach Kliff Kinsgbury. They could decide to take the best edge-rusher (Nick Bosa)—who I hear is the choice of many in the building—or the best player (Quinnen Williams) in the draft.

Oh yes, Williams is "the best player in the draft." I love these labels based on projections which are never, ever wrong. I've been wrong about them, so I would expect Peter to know better, except I know better than to expect Peter to know better. 

2. San Francisco: Nick Bosa, edge rusher, Ohio State

Niners have loved him since the Cotton Bowl in 2017, when Bosa’s 1.5 sacks led the marauding Ohio State defense in a 24-7 pummeling of USC’s Sam Darnold in the last game of the star QB’s college career. I hear the Cardinals think of Bosa as a “generational player,” which just speaks to their love of Murray if they’re willing to pass on Bosa and leave him to the Niners.

(Whispers) This could also speak to Kliff Kingsbury not knowing what he's doing if he's the only one in the Cardinals organization who wants to draft Murray and the choice of many in the building is a different guy who they consider to be a "generational player."

But again, I'm just a guy typing on a keyboard, while Kliff Kingsbury is a guy who just got fired a few months ago for not winning enough football games. Though he did have creative control over Texas Tech's uniforms and the team did look very spiffy while they lost games. I'm only saying that if the choice of many in the building is considered a "generational player" and the guy who wants Kyler Murray is the head coach who went 35-40 as a head coach in college, as well as 19-35 in Big 12 play, I'm going with the "many" who want Bosa. Also, I would not have hired Kliff Kingsbury. But again, I can't discount the wisdom of the team that fired their last coach after one season because he didn't win enough games with a rookie quarterback the team is currently trying to replace.

3. New York Jets: Ed Oliver, DT, Houston

Imagine Josh McDaniels, Chad O’Shea and Brian Daboll—the offensive brains of the AFC East—designing protections to keep Leonard Williams and Oliver from wrecking games over the next three or four years.

Get rid of the ball quickly. One of these three offensive coordinators has thus far shown he knows how to design protections to do this. I'll give you a guess which AFC East team he gets paid by.

5. Tampa Bay: Devin White, LB, LSU

Lots of people love White, a tackling machine who, at 237, tackles with the force of a 260-pounder. I’m taking my best guess of what GM Jason Licht would do if he was staring at White and Josh Allen here … because the Bucs need a pass-rusher too. Jason Pierre-Paul is 30, and other than possibly the precocious Carl Nassib,

Carl Nassib is so precocious. Peter could just pinch his cheeks and slap him on the ass with a paddle as a light dramatic punishment. Why would a grown man be considered precocious? Well, at the age of 26, no defensive end should have 12 career sacks. By the definition of "precocious" (which is "exceptionally early in development or occurrence") there is no way a defensive end should average 4 sacks per season by age 26. So precocious.

Plus, White might be the best defensive leader in this draft.

If you are keeping score at home, which if not, why aren't you, please update your NFL Draft whiteboard with the following 2019 NFL Draft superlatives:

Kyler Murray: Most Likely to be Drafted by Kliff Kingsbury
Nick Bosa: Best Edge-Rusher/Generational Talent
Quinnen Williams: Best Player in the Draft
Devin White: Best Defensive Leader in the Draft

I don't want to spoil the next superlative, but R.I.P. Jason Witten.

A veteran personnel man who knows Dave Gettleman said the other day, “Dave wants a pass-rusher in the worst way. He won’t reach for one, but he’ll get one with one his first three picks.”

Gettleman won't reach for one, but looking at his history of drafting DE's, where the two DE's he drafted in Carolina (one in the 2nd round and one in the 3rd round) are no longer on the roster, and the 1st round DT he drafted for pass rushing purposes isn't going to have his fifth year option picked up, it doesn't look great. Other than that, "getting one" wasn't the issue. It was getting a good one in the draft, though he did draft KK Short. And I know Dave Gettleman and it's a crapshoot whether he drafts a good defensive end or not.

7. Jacksonville: T.J. Hockenson, TE, Iowa

Daniel Jeremiah said the other day he thinks Hockenson could be the reincarnation of Jason Witten. 

So when did Jason Witten die? If Hockenson is the reincarnation of Jason Witten, that has to mean Jason Witten died. Sure, some "Monday Night Football" viewers may have wished Witten was dead, but that doesn't mean he is. He only acted brain-dead.

T.J. Hockenson: Most Likely to Have Been Reincarnated as the Not-Yet-Dead Jason Witten.

Bills love Quinnen Williams, but I can’t see the Raiders parting with him if he’s there at four. Bills could also trade up for Josh Allen, 

Well, that would be confusing to draft two players named "Josh Allen" in the first round in consecutive seasons.

or pick T.J. Hockenson if he falls to them. But if they stay, Jonah Williams could be an upgrade to Spencer Long at right guard or possibly, eventually, Ty Nsekhe, at right tackle. Lots of differing opinions in the scouting community on Williams. I would ask Bills Nation to look up “quixotic” in the dictionary. 

Yeah, you fucking in-bred high school graduate Bills fans. Go look up big words in the dictionary so that you may understand the big words that Peter King doesn't even use in the context of your draft pick because you are all too stupid to get it anyway. Look up the word, come back, and then you will understand the word Peter wanted to use, but didn't, because he doesn't want to lose you. 

Jonah Williams: Basically Don Quixote

18. Minnesota: Garrett Bradbury, C, North Carolina State

Speaking of PFF, the lowest-rated NFL center in the league by far last year was Minnesota’s Pat Elflein. 

And when have PFF ratings, many of which come out an hour or two after an NFL game has ended, thereby showing no regard for space and time through which a person could grade a three hour game, ever been wrong?

The Vikings pick at 18, 50 and 81, and the perception on the scouting trail is that two of those three picks will be offensive linemen.

And if any team knows offensive linemen, it's the team that drafted Matt Kalil and signed Mike Remmers as a free agent. Very offensive. 

Garrett Bradbury: Most Likely to Not Be Offensive

20. Pittsburgh: Rock Ya-Sin, CB, Temple

Imagine the first cornerback off the board being a guy who played one year at Temple after transferring from the Presbyterian (S.C.) College Blue Hose, and who will have one of the great names in the history of whatever team drafts him. 

Okay, I imagined it. It's ironic that Peter King thinks the name of a prospect is funny when that prospect changed the name he uses for public consumption (from "Abdurrahman Ibn") because he knew many people could not pronounce it. Peter never fails to show what a man of the world he is.

Rock Ya-Sin: Most Likely to Sound Like a Rapper Who Appeared on a Nas Album That Wasn't "Illmatic" or "Stillmatic."

21. Oakland: Josh Jacobs, RB, Alabama

PROJECTED TRADE: Oakland sends 24th and 106th picks to Seattle for this choice.

So, the best running back in this draft will probably be picked somewhere in the twenties,

Josh Jacobs: Best Running Back in the Draft

I met with Jacobs last week, by the way. Delightful fellow.

As was Johnny Manziel prior to the year he was drafted. Both played in the SEC and both have a "J" in their name. They have nothing to do with each other, but I wanted to remind you that Peter was taken in by Johnny Manziel, which I probably shouldn't really blame Peter for. Manziel just wanted to get drafted higher than he deserved so he was on his good behavior for a few months.

Josh Jacobs: Most Likely to be a Pretty Delightful Fellow

22. Baltimore: Clelin Ferrell, DE, Clemson 

New England hopes Ferrell falls 10 more spots, but he won’t. The Ravens also could trade—rookie GM Eric DeCosta would love to accumulate more picks. But Ferrell is an ideal building block on a defensive front that needs a new star. I won’t be shocked if Ferrell is gone if the Ravens take a 10-year center like Erik McCoy of Texas A&M;

Erik McCoy: Most Likely to be a 10-Year Center

23. New York Giants: Daniel Jones, QB, Duke

PROJECTED TRADE: New York gets this pick and No. 55 from Houston for No. 17 overall.

As for Jones the player, there’s a wide disparity in opinion in the man who went 17-19 as a college starter. Very smart, but he doesn’t have the deep arm of the three other first-round candidates. In Bob McGinn’s annual deep dive into the top draft prospects, the veteran scribe quotes a NFL scout saying of Jones: “He reminds me of Ryan Tannehill. There’s just something missing with him.” Damning, but the four first-rounders seem to all have zits this year.

Daniel Jones: Most Likely to Have a Weak-Ass Arm, Plus Has Challenges Controlling His Acne

I also have to address the "Four first-rounders seem to all have zits this year" comment. I feel like every year we hear two things about that draft's quarterbacks.

1. Next year's class is better than this year.
2. This year's class all have weaknesses which bothers some NFL GM's.

Other than Andrew Luck, who is the pinnacle of QB perfection and has been since the day he emerged from his mother's womb playbook in his hand, when was the last time there has been a QB or group of first-round QB's that were considered "safe" or guy(s) who didn't have questions about their talent? I can't remember a time. Every draft there are questions about the top quarterbacks in the draft. It's the nature of the NFL. I would expect the QB's to have zits every single year, as they are college quarterbacks who aren't perfect.

25. Philadelphia: Marquise Brown, WR, Oklahoma

Some love him. Some think he’s too wispy at 166, and they’re worried that he enters the NFL nursing a foot injury, and he might be prone to injury in the big-boy league.

This is not a terribly poor spot for Brown, but I would think a player of this weight and with his recent injury history should legitimately have questions about his ability to stay healthy. The list of small-ish wide receivers taken in the 1st round isn't great of late either. John Ross was let go by the Bengals, Will Fuller (he is listed at 185 pounds) has been very injury-prone, Phillip Dorsett has been a disappointment, and Tavon Austin is not that good either. Of course, Brandin Cooks has been great. But a college wide receiver that is small-ish already has a strike against him, much less a college wide receiver coming off a major injury.

Marquise Brown: Most Likely to be Wispy

27. Oakland: Deandre Baker, CB, Georgia

If the Raiders can come out of this first round with the best defensive tackle in the draft, the best running back in the draft, and a corner who should push for playing time immediately, it’s going to be a successful first draft for the rookie GM Mayock.

If you can say Williams is the best defensive tackle in the draft, Jacobs is the best running back for the draft and ignore that the Raiders are so thin at CB that any player drafted in the first two rounds then you may be Mike Mayock's friend. I'm being snide, but Mayock is a first-time GM and when has Jon Gruden been an astute drafter of talent? I will remain skeptical until I am proven otherwise.

Given the combination of Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock in Oakland, the calisthenics required to compliment the job they are doing and remove responsibility among their friends in the media might break world records if the Raiders struggle again this year. But don't worry, we will see here in a minute that Peter has the Raiders schedule as the reason they could struggle this year. At least the NFL has given Gruden a ready-made excuse for potential mediocrity.

30. Green Bay: D.K. Metcalf, WR, Mississippi

They haven’t taken a receiver in the top 50 in 11 years (Jordy Nelson, 2008, 36th overall). I could see Andre Dillard here too, but Brian Gutekunst is trying to stock up for one last multi-year run with Aaron Rodgers, giving him the kind of weapons that will allow him to be Aaron Rodgers again.

"One last multi-year run" as if this isn't the goal of nearly every NFL GM, given the salary cap restrictions in the NFL. 

I might go Marquise Brown here if I were Green Bay, but I realize a 166-pound burner may not have the shelf life of a Sterling Sharpe-big-bodied player like Metcalf.

What if a 166-pound burner actually knows how to get open and catch a football, which D.K. Metcalf hasn't shown he can do with his 67 career receptions? Also, Metcalf played in 21 games in his college career at Ol' Miss, while Marquise Brown and his short shelf life played in 25 games over his college career at Oklahoma. Brown may seem brittle but he's been durable compared to Metcalf.

Denver likes Lock, and might be able to snag him as a two-year learner behind Joe Flacco while retaining the ability to use the 71st pick this year on a potential starter at a need position, like Texas A&M tight end Jace Sternberger. A move like this wouldn’t surprise me, but I also think the way Denver GM John Elway’s talking, he could punt on a young quarterback until the richer QB draft of 2020.

There's the narrative I like! Next year's draft is going to be a great one, at least until Jacob Fromm struggles this year, questions about Tua's height crop up and whatever else happens that causes doubts in the minds of NFL scouts ends up happening. THEN, it is the 2021 QB class with Trevor Lawrence that is the really rich one. Around and around we go. 

John Elway: Most Likely to Poorly Evaluate a College Quarterback

In the end, I struggled mightily with the Frank Clark trade from Seattle to Kansas City. I had the trade in my first draft of the mock on Friday, then took it out for 48 hours, and just put it back in Sunday night. The waffling came before I sent Clark to the Chiefs because of the Kareem Hunt and Tyreek Hill incidents. And I will not be surprised at all if the Chiefs don’t do it. But I’m taking the gamble, because the Kansas City need for edge-rush is so pronounced. 

It feels like wanting Frank Clark's ability to rush the passer is nice, but I have to think even the Chiefs are self-aware enough to not trade for him. It's not like he's beating women and children on the regular, like Tyreek Hill seems to do, but he's not exactly shown over the past few years that his lesson was learned.

• Here is something that simply should not happen. The factoid that, upon further review, is a blight on the 2019 schedule:

Raider games in Oakland in the 48 days between Sept. 16 and Nov. 2: zero.
Raider games in Oakland in the 15 days between Nov. 3 and Nov. 17: three.

Let me say, this is crazy and ridiculous scheduling by the NFL. But, I am also jaded and now that Peter likes Mike Mayock, so I can't help but be so jaded this bizarre scheduling isn't in some way going to be used as an excuse if the Raiders struggle this year. 

I’m going to try to interpret why the NFL did what it did to Oakland. First, the Raiders and the A’s are the only football and baseball teams sharing one stadium. The Raiders are not keen on playing many games on the field when it is set up for baseball, with the skin infield and pitcher’s mound.

Because with how the Oakland Raiders have treated their fans with the whole "moving town" thing, it's only right that the franchise be treated fairly so there isn't a huge gap between their home games. After all, the fans the team is abandoning want to see the team play, so the NFL should consider the needs of the fans the Raiders are screwing over. In reality, if the Raiders don't want to play on the field set up for baseball (which I understand), then it's not going to make scheduling their games easier. This is just a basic fact of the matter.

Imagine if Al Davis saw this schedule. The Raiders play five straight games between Sept. 22 and Oct. 27, at mid-morning on their bodyclocks. Five games in a row, all at 10 a.m. PT.

Counterargument: If the Raiders play five straight games at 1pm EST, then it should be easier to acclimate their bodyclocks to playing at this time compared to having games at 1pm EST throughout their schedule. The Raiders will have a chance to get used to playing at 1pm if they play five games in a row at that time.

• Bills Mafia will be screaming about respect. Bills fans are an insular lot, with the Bills Mafia as loyal a fan group as exists in the NFL. What must the Mafiosos have been thinking when Buffalo was the only team of 32 to get zero prime time games? The coaches must love 14 games with 1 p.m. ET starts, and five road trips of an hour or less in the air. But the fans feel only disrespect. The only nod to national attraction is Buffalo’s first Thanksgiving game in 25 years—the mid-afternoon CBS tilt at Dallas.

I would think a Thanksgiving game is not terribly disrespectful. It's only going to be one of the most-watched games of the year. But every NFL fan base screams about respect. My favorite team's fan base is always whining about how nobody respects the team. It's standard fandom stuff. 
“As a kid, my whole dream was to win Super Bowls and play QB in the NFL. For me it was always football. But at the same time it wasn’t.”
—Kyler Murray, to Robert Klemko of The MMQB and Sports Illustrated in a magazine story this week.

Again, reading that article didn't make me question that Kyler Murray likes to play football. It made me question whether Murray didn't like playing baseball as much as he likes playing football and made me wonder what happens when his father has less of a say in the decision. Throw in that even Lincoln Riley indicates that Murray's leadership skills aren't necessarily one of his best attributes and he's a lot of red flags for me.

Bill Belichick turned 67 the other day, which is about the time most normal human beings are seriously pondering retirement.

I seriously ponder retirement around the same time I die, partly because my Social Security money is being drained by Baby Boomers like Bill Belichick and medical care will be so expensive at that point in my life I may have to work just to pay for it. Anyway, carry on...

In fact, 12 of the 15 winningest coaches have not coached, or did not coach, at age 67 or older. Belichick will make that 11 of 15 this fall.

Looking at the top 15, and how many seasons they coached after turning 67:

1. Don Shula: 0. Coached last game at 65.
2. George Halas: 6. Went 47-33-5 and won one NFL title after turning 67.
3. Belichick.
4. Tom Landry: 0. Coached last game at 64.
5. Curly Lambeau: 0. Coached last game at 55.
6. Chuck Noll: 0. Coached last game at 59.
7. Andy Reid: 0. He is 61.
8. Marty Schottenheimer: 0. Coached last game at 63.
9. Dan Reeves: 0. Coached last game at 59.
10. Chuck Knox: 0. Coached last game at 62.
11. Bill Parcells: 0. Coached last game at 65.
12. Tom Coughlin: 3. Went 19-29 after turning 67.
13. Mike Shanahan: 0. Coached last game at 61.
14. Jeff Fisher: 0. Coached last game at 58.
15. Paul Brown: 1. Went 11-4 after turning 67.

You can not convince me that Peter didn't include this information just so he could put Jeff Fisher's name up here. My level of jaded is off the charts.

Lots of Steve Keim criticism. From Ravven L.: “I find it interesting that you say the Cards personnel people are at ‘the upper end among personnel people in belief in their ability to pick players’ but then you detail the incredible lack of talent on that team. How are these two statements compatible?”

My statement was about how confident GM Steve Keim and VP of player personnel Terry McDonough are about their personnel acumen—not about their recent performance in the draft and free agency, which has obviously been lacking. 

So because the Cardinals think they are good at picking players, not based on the recent performance of picking players, the Cards personnel people are at "the upper end among personnel people in belief in their ability to pick players"? I feel like this is a sort of circular reasoning.

"Because we believe we are good at picking players, we will continue to believe that we are good at picking players based on this belief."

But let’s be fair. Arizona won 50 games in Keim’s first five years as GM, got Carson Palmer very cheap in trade with Oakland, and hired Bruce Arians as one of his first decisions as GM (along with club president Michael Bidwill). In his drafts, Keim drafted Tyrann Mathieu with the 69th pick, John Brown with the 91st, and David Johnson with the 86th. He traded the 61st pick plus guard Jonathan Cooper to New England for Chandler Jones; Jones has recorded 41 sacks in his three Cardinals seasons. It’s okay to say Keim is in a personnel slump, but overall, his six years have been better than average.

He also fired Steve Wilks after one season, used the #10 pick on a quarterback he may no longer want, while Mathieu/Brown are no longer with the team. The problem is a personnel slump can set an NFL team back quite a few seasons. While Peter points to the 50 games the Cardinals have won over Keim's first five seasons, they have won 18 games over the last three seasons. That is a more important and relevant statistic. 

1. I think there was a lot of buzz Friday when NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport tweeted that the Raiders would send home their scouts for the weekend, and for the days leading up to the draft, preventing them from leaking any of the information on the team’s draft board. “The belief is they [Jon Gruden and Mike Mayock] don’t know who to trust and wanted to clear the room,” Rapoport reported. A few thoughts:

Peter has to cape up for Mike Mayock now. He spends four solid paragraphs of bullet points pointing out that "this is all really fucking normal, guys." Perhaps it is normal, which is contrary to most of what I have read. It seems like a chaotic situation to me.

There is also this doozy:

• Re Mayock: One of his friends in the league told me the other day he felt this was Mayock’s attempt to take control over a process that he’s running for the first time in his life. “Wouldn’t you think it’s fair for Mike, with three picks in the first round, to close the circle and keep it as tight as he can?” this friend said.

Sure, if I'm desperate to make excuses for Mayock and I'm his friend, this is how I would reason out the decision. If I were a reasonable person who did not know Mike Mayock personally, I would say as a rookie GM running his first draft wouldn't I want the same scouts who have provided me with evaluations over the past few months to be present in the draft room so I can ensure the best decisions are being made for the future of the franchise? I wouldn't say it's "fair" for Mayock to close the circle, because that's an odd choice of words, but it's certainly within his right to do it. Why Mayock (and Gruden) would do this is the concern, not whether Mayock could do it.

I take the opinion of a Mayock's friend with a grain of salt. They are friends, so of course wrong or right, the friend will rationalize it.

 • Mayock’s daughter Leigh tweeted over the weekend that she went out to dinner with her dad recently and when he went to the bathroom, he took his draft notebook with him rather than leave it at the table, where only his daughter was. “Don’t take it personal scouties,” she said.

Oh, well if Mike Mayock's daughter says this is normal then I guess I should change my mind. In this situation, Mayock didn't leave his draft notebook in public with his daughter at the table where any stranger could run up and grab it. If Mayock considers his scouts to be strangers who would take his draft notebook for nefarious purposes, then perhaps they should have been fired a long time ago. I get that Mayock (and Gruden) want total control over the draft process, but they can do this without essentially telling their scouts to find other jobs. So despite what Mike Mayock's daughter says, telling the Raiders scouts to not show up for the draft is really odd. 

2. I think for all of you, particularly in Packer Nation, who wonder why in the world Green Bay has never played in England or Mexico, you may not have to wonder that much more. I think Green Bay’s time is coming, likely as soon as 2020, to finally go on the road to play a game in London. The reasons why Green Bay has never had to make the trip are predictable—the Packers don’t want to give up one of eight sold-out home games, and no team hosting the Packers wants to give up that gate because the Packers travel so well and fill the stadium and local hotels with fans. But I think the NFL is conscious of not giving a prized franchise special treatment.

Because when I think of the NFL, I think of them being conscious of not giving prized franchises special treatment. Any review of the schedule of primetime games shows that the NFL definitely doesn't play favorites. It just feels like the Cowboys play three Sunday Night Football games every single year. Sometimes they play two and sometimes they play four. 

5. I think that’s why the draft is so compelling. So many people. So many opinions

And yet, Twitter is a cesspool for these same reasons. Weird. 

8. I think my favorite quote of the spring, and nothing is close for second place, is Giants GM Dave Gettleman responding to a question about the strengths of the 2019 draft by saying, in part, “The wides are thick.” Meaning there are a lot of wide receivers on the Giants board. I just love the way he said it.

I have been a Dave Gettleman defender in the past. I cannot lie and say otherwise, but the rose is off the bloom for me. He seems to use fun words that sportswriters enjoy writing down (Hog Mollies, Blue Gooses) and then drafts players that end up not panning out. If I'm a Giants fan, the guy who drafted Kelvin Benjamin and Devin Funchess better not be talking about "thick" receivers or else I'm afraid I may get a thick receiver. Gettleman can say it in a fun manner, but I do hope he's learned his lesson. The fact he traded the most dynamic wide receiver in the NFL, while swallowing dead money, tells me otherwise though. 

10. I think these are my other thoughts of the week:

a. God help our country.

Thanks Peter. Your contribution is appreciated. Maybe Donald Trump should tell all of his advisors not to show up to Cabinet and departmental meetings and that will fix things. After all, he just needs to get full control over the process. It's only fair. 

e. Story of the Week: The Rise and Fall of a New York Shock Jock, by Nick Paumgarten of the New Yorker. Great story about the downfall of Craig Carton, who teamed with Boomer Esiason on New York sports station WFAN’s morning show. Man, gambling is a one-way street to hell. Just read this piece. And an excellent job of taking us deep inside the story by Paumgarten.

f. “Are you Craig Carton?”

g. “Yes I am.”

h. “You’re under arrest.”

a. Why.

b. Was this.

c. Four points on the outline.

d. When it is simply one point that Peter wanted to mention

e. ?

i. My wife and I watch “Jeopardy” most nights. 

What? I'm so shocked about this. I bet Peter watches "Seinfeld" re-runs when he's not watching "Jeopardy." It's so outside the realm of Peter's demographic to watch "Jeopardy" and "Seinfeld" though.

We’ve been riveted in the last couple of weeks by James Holzhauer, the incredibly intelligent, lighning-fast-with-the-buzzer champion who already has the five most lucrative winning shows of all time. Holzhauer is a professional sports gambler, according to the show.

Now Peter, I've heard that gambling is a one-way street to hell. Maybe go talk to the person that said that. He's brilliant and asked God to help our country so you know for sure he's trying to help out.

j. Joe Pinsker of The Atlantic with an interesting story about how Holzhauer, essentially, is so brilliant his games are not fair fights.

k. When the challengers get introduced at the start of the show, they’re lambs led to the slaughter. I’ve never seen anything like it.

It sounds like gambling is no longer a one-way street to hell. It's almost like it depends on the person doing the gambling. 

l. Coffeenerdness: For some reason that is foreign to me, because it’s never happened in my 61 years on earth, I have been getting allergy attacks. 

Maybe you have been gambling too much and your body is telling you that it's a one-way street to hell, unless you are good at it, in which case you get to be on "Jeopardy" and people like you will be in awe of you.

The Adieu Haiku

My mock draft stinks. Stinks!
Over/under on direct
hits: Four point five. Hmmmm.


It's not shocking that "Sports Illustrated" didn't fight tooth and nail to keep the Adieu Haiku like they fought to keep the name "MMQB."

Speaking of stinks, I wish that Peter knew the Adieu Haiku stinks. I mean, he ended this haiku with "Hmmmm." Not very poetic.

Friday, June 5, 2015

3 comments Peter King Does a Little Public Relations for the St. Louis Rams

I am sure everyone remembers this post and Peter King column. It's the one where Peter's agent used Peter as a conduit to essentially explain how another NFL team could sign Alex Mack as a restricted free agent and guarantee the Browns won't match the offer sheet. It was fairly egregious that Peter allowed himself to be used in such fashion by his agent. It was obvious that Peter was doing Demoff's bidding for a couple of reasons. First, read the article. If it doesn't sound to you like Mack's agent is in Peter's ear giving a full plan on how he plans to get around the offer sheet, then we will just have to agree to disagree. Second, when has Peter ever written another article where the premise is "Here is exactly how Agent X plans to structure an offer sheet in order for Player X's team to not match that offer sheet"? I can't recall another time Peter did it to this extent. Well, now Peter has written an article about the St. Louis Rams and why they are confident in drafting Todd Gurley, even knowing the running back position is being devalued by many NFL teams. If you have read this blog at all, you probably know that Marvin Demoff's (Peter's agent) son, Kevin, is the COO of the Rams. Jeff Fisher is also a client of Marvin Demoff, so Peter has a sort of double conflict of interest here. I feel like Peter has always given the Rams and Fisher more favorable coverage than deserved. It's not a real conflict of interest because on it's face, because Peter is supposed to report on NFL teams. That's his job. Buuuuuuuuuuut, Peter was in the Rams' draft room two years ago to do some PR for the team describing how they drafted THE EXACT PLAYERS THEY WANTED. Peter also breathlessly reported on the bidding war between the Dolphins and Rams a few years ago for the services of Jeff Fisher, which I am sure didn't make Marvin Demoff sad to read. Peter King has a history of working closely with the Rams organization, withholding criticism for moves the Rams, and has a history of pimping out Marvin Demoff clients in some fashion. At best, Peter is naive enough to make himself available to do positive PR for Demoff clients at times, and at worst, he knowingly helps his agent's clients out through some of the columns he writes.

And to be clear, I love Todd Gurley. I think he is a franchise back and possibly the best player in the 2015 draft. The Rams drafting Gurley was a smart move. The problem is that Peter King has a history of writing self-serving columns for the sake of his agent's clients and son. Not to mention, while discussing how some NFL teams don't care about the devaluing of running backs, at no point in this column does Peter mention the Chargers drafted a running back five picks after the Rams drafted Gurley, AND the Chargers traded up to get that running back. "Gordon" nor "Chargers" are mentioned in this column, despite the fact they drafted a running back early just like the Rams did. One would think at least a mention of the running back taken five picks after Gurley could be found, but one would be wrong. There is a reason for this. This column is only supposed to be about the Rams, as most public relations pieces only focus on the subject for one specific entity. The subject isn't about running backs being devalued and teams who draft running backs early anyway. It's about the Rams and the direction they want to take their team and the plan they have to take the team in that direction. Marvin Demoff is smiling that his mouthpiece has done good again.

In part because NFL news is never-ending, and in part because you just can never read enough about allegedly deflated footballs, one off-season story has gotten a small fraction of the attention it would have gotten during a quieter May.

The St. Louis Rams bravely selected the best running back in the draft at the #10 spot. How crazy are they to do this? This is a team that must know where it's going (Los Angeles) and how it wants to get there (luring St. Louis football fans to pay for one more season of mediocrity before leaving town). I mean, what team drafts a running back in the first round (the Chargers did this too, five spots later) knowing the position is being devalued (the Chargers traded up to get their running back)?

It's a confident team that drafts a running back in the first round, especially when that team drafted a slot receiver in the Top 10 just a few years earlier. The Rams must have a real plan of action to win the Super Bowl this year. Perhaps it's time to give Jeff Fisher that contract extension he deserves.

In a time of radical devaluation of running backs, a tailback five months removed from surgery to repair a torn ACL was selected 10th overall in the 2015 NFL draft.

Oh, so if Melvin Gordon had blown his knee out then he would have gotten mentioned in this column too? Makes perfect sense. Gordon didn't blow his knee out, so even though the running back position is being devalued, his being drafted five spots later than Gurley is not news. 

And so you think one of two things about Todd Gurley: Either he’s really good, or the Rams really reached to pick him in the top third of round one.

I think Todd Gurley is really good. I would have drafted him in the spot where the Rams drafted him. My complaint isn't in the Rams drafting Gurley, but how Peter discusses the Rams when discussing their drafting of Gurley, without even mentioning another running back went five picks later. This reads like a piece on the Rams' team website and not a column from a national sportswriter. Peter talks about how Fisher finally has the type of running back he always wanted (sorry Isaiah Pead, apparently the Rams never liked you). He shades this column less in terms of Todd Gurley being drafted high and more in terms of how the Rams feel like they are getting back on the right track. It reads like a PR piece.

I like how Peter is all like, "The Rams could have really screwed this pick up. It's always a possibility. But rest assured, if this is the case then I will not make mention of it, much like how I haven't made mention when talking about how the Rams fleeced the Redskins in the RG III trade that the Rams haven't done a hell of a lot with the three extra first round picks they received from Washington."

So Peter is sure to mention drafting Gurley could have been a bad move, but in reality it's not like Peter will ever follow up on whether it was a bad move or not.

“It’s never been a big thing to me, where I get drafted, who drafts me,” Gurley said in the wake of the Rams’ choice—and the revelation (per The MMQB) that St. Louis had the rehabbing runner as the No. 1 overall player on its 2015 draft board.

I love the wording used here. The "revelation" that the Rams had Gurley as the #1 overall player on their draft board. It sounds like THE MMQB broke some news that isn't quite as exciting as they think it is.

First, a few factoids about the value of running backs:

You know it is a Peter King column when the word "factoid" starts getting thrown around. "Factoid" essentially means a false or fabricated statement, yet Peter has used it for years as if the word means "a small, tiny fact of some importance." Here is a little factoid: Factoid isn't supposed to be used in the way that Peter King uses the word.

1. Of the 13 leading rushers in the NFL in 2014, one (Marshawn Lynch) was a first-round draft pick.

I like how Peter randomly stops at the 13th leading rusher. Mark Ingram is the 14th on the list. It's a funny place to stop and there is a reason Peter stopped there. The rest of the leading rushers for 2014 were drafted in the following rounds:

2nd round: 5
3rd round: 3
4th round: 1
6th round: 1
7th round: 1
UDFA: 1

In 2013, the top 13 leading rushers were drafted in the following rounds:

1st round: 6
2nd round: 3
3rd round: 3
6th round: 1

In 2012, the top 13 leading rushers were drafted in the following rounds:

1st round: 5
2nd round: 2
3rd round: 3
6th round: 1
UDFA: 2

In 2011, the top 13 leading rushers were drafted in the following round:

1st round: 6
2nd round: 3
3rd round: 2
5th round: 1
UDFA: 1

So, the Rams drafting Todd Gurley at #10 in the first round is a risk in the same way drafting any player early is a risk. Details from the past four seasons show that if a team wants to draft a running back who stands a chance of being one of the Top 13 rushers in the NFL, then the first two rounds, and the first round specifically, is where that running back will be found. It's just how it is. Even in 2014 when only one of the top 13 rushers was a first round pick, five of the thirteen leading rushers were found in the 2nd round. It's not a huge risk to draft a running back in the first round if you want to try and find an elite running back. That's where these elite running backs are found.

2. In the 2014 draft, the first running back came off the board at the 54th overall pick. That was Bishop Sankey, taken by Tennessee.

This was an outlier draft when there wasn't a strong group of running backs. Data from one season doesn't necessarily show a future trend.

3. In the four drafts between 2011 and 2014, only one running back was picked in the top 25 of any draft. That was Trent Richardson, selected No. 3 by Cleveland in 2012.

Okay, and yet 17 first round picks were in the Top 13 of rushing yards over a three season period.

4. Number of teams that have employed Trent Richardson since 2012: three.

Trent Richardson is a bust. Can we please get past Trent Richardson and stop pretending like Richardson is THE EXAMPLE of how all running backs will perform in the NFL from here until the end of time? Instead of saying the running back position is devalued, it would be easier to just say, "Hey, Trent Richardson is a bust and so does that mean all running backs drafted in the Top 10 will be busts from here on out?"

5. Number of 100-yard rushing games by Trent Richardson in his last 40 games: zero.

FOR THE LOVE OF ALL THAT IS GOOD IN THE WORLD, STOP TALKING ABOUT TRENT RICHARDSON AS IF HE IS MORE THAN JUST AN EXAMPLE OF A RUNNING BACK WHO WAS DRAFTED EARLY AND BUSTED. PLEASE. STOP.

6. And finally: If you take the top 10 rushers in the NFL in 2014 and figure the average overall draft pick spent on those 10 players, that number would be 95, around the last pick of the third round. (That includes one undrafted free agent, Arian Foster. There were 256 players drafted the year he was not chosen, 2009, and so for the sake of figuring this average, I gave Foster the number 257.)

This number means jack shit. What does mean something is the fact 9 of the 13 leading rushers in 2014 were drafted in the first three rounds of the draft. If an NFL team wants an elite running back, better get one before the 4th round, and it's best to get one in the first two rounds. That's how it is, no matter how Peter wants to show differently.

Strangely, in light of all that, when I called around in the days after the draft about any number of topics, I didn’t hear one GM or personnel man say, The Rams are crazy. In fact, I found out that Tampa Bay had Gurley No. 5 on its board.

Obviously this means the Rams are brilliant and doesn't mean that NFL teams are idiots like Peter King who assume just because Trent Richardson busted then all highly drafted running backs will bust. NFL teams know how to find an elite running back, that's all it tells me when no NFL teams say the Rams were crazy. Just because Peter King doesn't understand how to use numbers or statistics to examine when the best time to draft a franchise running back would be doesn't mean NFL teams don't understand how to use these numbers and statistics.

Peter seems to want to paint the Rams as this team that are rebels and controversially pulled the trigger on a running back early in the draft. It's simply that they have a need at the running back position and there is a running back considered elite in this draft. The same can't be said for every draft over the past few seasons. 

Andrews told teams the week before the draft that he’d put his professional reputation on the line that Gurley, when fully healed sometime late this year, will be as good as he ever was, and no more susceptible to chronic knee problems than any other running backs.

It's easy to say this when you are the only one that NFL teams go to in order to fix these types of knee injuries that Gurley sustained. Andrews seems to have a monopoly on the blown knee/elbow market in sports. He doesn't need a professional reputation as long as he has success with the majority of the athletes he does surgery on.

The other reason: NFL teams saw Gurley as the best back to come into the draft since Adrian Peterson was picked seventh overall in 2007. The comparison is interesting. Peterson is 6-1 and 218; Gurley is 6-1 and 222.

Well obviously that means Todd Gurley is Adrian Peterson. Jeff Fisher just drafted Adrian Peterson under the rest of the NFL's noses. I bet they feel stupid. But that's just the genius of Fisher.

Peterson has reportedly run a 40-yard dash in 4.24 seconds, and Gurley, who ran the 110-meter hurdles at the World Junior Championship in 2011, has been recorded below 4.3 in the 40 too. Peterson has made his living being strong enough to make the tough yards between the tackles and fast enough to hit the home runs outside the tackles. Ditto Gurley.

So the only conclusion I can come to is the Rams just drafted Adrian Peterson. Yes, Todd Gurley looks like he could be a stud running back, but let's back off the Peterson comparisons until Gurley plays one regular season snap. Of course, don't forget Gurley ran that fast in 2011 before his knee injury.

Peterson’s official 40 time is 4.40; Gurley’s estimated 40 time is 4.40.

And when have estimated 40 times ever been wrong?

St. Louis has been dying for a franchise running back. Since Steven Jackson left for Atlanta two years ago—and even before, actually; the Rams thought Jackson was declining in 2012—coach Jeff Fisher has wanted a back like Gurley.

It sounds like the Rams are a team on the rise. Next stop, Jeff Fisher's first playoff win in a decade. You can feel the tension in excitement in Los Angeles St. Louis as the team is ready to finally be the team on the rise that Jeff Fisher has always promised they would be. Jeff Fisher has always wanted a running back like Todd Gurley and he finally has him.

Fisher is a throwback coach.

"Throwback" meaning "Go back in the past to find where he has been successful, but only pay attention to the seasons where his team made the playoffs and ignore the vast majority of the seasons where his team had a .500 or losing record."

Most of the league craves an offense with a 60-40 pass-run split. Fisher would love it to be 50-50, or even 55-45 run. He likes to play offense with a back capable of wearing down defenses with long drives early in games and eating the clock in the fourth quarter.

And yet, it's taken Fisher four years to get to that point with the Rams. It must be nice to have such job security to know as a head coach you have four years to get the team you are coaching to resemble the team you would like it to resemble. I'm hard on Jeff Fisher, but at no point does Peter King acknowledge that Fisher has had three full seasons to get the Rams team how he wants it and has so far seemingly failed to do so? Why is this not a relevant point? Peter presents it as Fisher accomplishing the equivalent of a coup to get Todd Gurley so the Rams team can run it's offense how he wants it to. IT TOOK THREE FUCKING YEARS THOUGH! Why? Is this not a question that should be asked while up the organization's butt hole for drafting Gurley? What took so fucking long? It's the same thing as the quarterback position for the Rams. I feel miserable for Rams fans to have a coaching staff that seems happy to dick around for a few seasons knowing there is job security.

“Here’s what it came down to for us,’’ said GM Les Snead. “Todd, for us, was one of those once-every-few-years talents, one of the best players we’ve seen come out in a while. We just felt he was somebody we couldn’t pass up. This wasn’t about Week 1 against Seattle, whether he’d be ready to go then; we will let nature takes its course on that. This was a long-term decision.

Great, it's nice to know the team's mindset. What about the mindset of the Chargers who traded up to #15 from #17 to draft Melvin Gordon. Why isn't this "devalued running backs" story about them as well? Specifically since the Chargers tried and failed (mostly) with Ryan Mathews just a few years ago and felt the need to invest in a running back in the first round yet again? Isn't that a somewhat interesting story? Of course, painting the Chargers as rebels for taking Gordon in the middle of the first round would take away from going inside the head of Les Snead and Jeff Fisher to find out why they drafted Todd Gurley. Peter King has so much access to the Rams organization he probably has an office in the building at this point. Access is great. Using the access to come off like you are there for PR purposes is not great.

I asked Snead about the Adrian Peterson comparisons.

THE COMPARISON THAT PETER KING JUST MADE!

"So how about the comparison that people (I) are making of Todd Gurley to Adrian Peterson?"

“I can see people thinking of him at that level,’’ he said. “When you watch him, you see him run like that sometimes.”

Right, because Les Snead will say anything different about the running back he just took at the #10 spot in the first round. Snead wants to look smart and he has a national sportswriter in his lap ready to regurgitate every word he says about Gurley. What else would he say?

Mike Mayock said he likes the Marshawn Lynch comparison more. “St. Louis wants to win games the same way Seattle and San Francisco in the same division do—running the ball and playing great defense and playing great special teams,” the NFL Network analyst said. “I like the fit in St. Louis.”

Peter King wants us to know this was another brilliant move by the Rams. And in no way is this article affected by the fact that Peter shares an agent with Jeff Fisher and Kevin Demoff is Marvin Demoff's agent. It's just a pure coincidence that Peter has access to the Rams team in the way he does and consistently lets Fisher off the hook for three seasons (and let's be honest, a good portion of his coaching career) of treading water while not living up to the expectations his salary calls for him to meet.

Fisher really hasn’t had a workhorse back with some outside burst since Eddie George in Tennessee.

Yeah, when I think of outside burst I just don't think of Eddie George. His career long run is 54 yards and he averaged 3.6 yards per carry (with a career high of 4.1 (!!!!) in 1996 and 1999) during his career. I don't think of George as having outside burst. I think of him as grinding out 3.5-3.8 yards per carry. In fact, that's pretty much what he did his entire career.

But the story here is not just Gurley helping Fisher play football the way the coach has always wanted to.

Haha...I just laugh at this. The amount of job security that Jeff Fisher has is ridiculous. He's going on his fourth year and he's finally getting around to building the Rams in the way that he would like. It's inexcusable to me.

If Fisher had his way, the quarterback would be a complementary player. He doesn’t want to play a Drew Brees or Peyton Manning game—in part because he doesn’t have Brees or Manning, but mostly because he’s more comfortable playing football the more traditional way.

So is this an article about the devaluing of running backs through an examination of Todd Gurley being drafted at #10 or an article about how old school Jeff Fisher is and how he likes to run his offense?

If the rest of the NFL wants to move the chains with 40 mostly short passes every game, Fisher understands. That’s the way teams are being built. He’d preferred to win with a strong ground game, and a mashing line.

I like how Peter is speaking for Fisher. He's literally being his mouthpiece in this article. Peter is taking Fisher's thoughts and putting them into the column so everyone understands what Fisher wants to accomplish.

Now that he has his preferred front five and running back, we should see by late this season (when Gurley is back to form) if he’s right.

Yes, NOW Jeff Fisher is ready to win some football games. He hasn't had a winning season since 2008 and six winning seasons over his 19 year head coaching career, but he's ready to win some games now that he has the Rams team just where he wants them to be. It's a team on the rise!

“It’s been a long time coming,’’ Fisher said after the draft,

Oh, Fisher is acknowledging his own mediocrity. Wow.

speaking of his desire to get a back he can make his go-to offensive key. “Clearly, he was set back because of the injury, but the athletic ability, the strength, the explosion, the acceleration, the instincts that he has as a runner, and he’s also got great hands out of the backfield. He’s that complete back.

Welp, nevermind. Jeff Fisher was talking about Todd Gurley, the only running back in this year's draft to be drafted in the first round as long as you ignore the existence of the other running back that was drafted in the first round. Running backs are being devalued, now let Peter King tell you about Jeff Fisher's philosophy and why the Rams are ready to make noise in the NFC West this year.

He’s referring to the board that had Gurley as the draft’s No. 1 overall player. It’s a risk, particularly when recent history says running backs can be found low in the draft (and after the draft too).

Oh, Peter. Just give up. Running backs can be found low in the draft, but the best running backs are found in the first three rounds. All of the data supports this contention. The Rams know this and other NFL teams know this. You clearly don't know this.

Fisher might be putting his future with the Rams on the line

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA! Peter King is pretending there are real stakes here. There are not stakes. The Rams organization has let Fisher dick around at the running back and quarterback position for three years now. If Gurley ends up busting, which he won't do, they will just give Fisher a contract extension. It beats all I have ever seen. A highly paid coach who has consistently not provided the results his contract calls for him to provide...and yet, his job is safe.

with Gurley, and one thing is sure: He’s happy to do it.

Of course he is. This is the type of column that should appear on the Rams team website, not on THE MMQB. It's poorly researched and a fluff piece that appears to have one goal, which is to get Jeff Fisher's coaching philosophy out there and indicate the Rams are a team that's finally gotten the players they want. They are on the rise. Marvin Demoff is smiling. 

Monday, June 1, 2015

4 comments Mark Madden Did Not Like the Steelers' Selection of Ike Taylor

I don't where I found this article. Perhaps someone posted it on Twitter and I found it. I can't remember. It's an old article. Either way, Mark Madden had the hottest of sports takes on the Steelers drafting Ike Taylor back in 2003, calling the selection "the worst draft pick ever." He thought Taylor was no Alonzo Jackson, that's for sure. Either way, I don't think Ike Taylor is the greatest cornerback in the history of the NFL, but he's been in the league since 2003 and has two Super Bowl rings to his credit. He's been pretty okay.

But man, Mark Madden went ALL IN over the draft pick of Taylor. Taylor was a fourth round pick by the way. Who goes all in on a fourth round draft choice like this? Mark Madden, that's who. I thought it was appropriate to cover this since Ike Taylor recently retired.

The Steelers made history Sunday. They made their worst draft pick ever.

Linus Sweed? Jamain Stephens? Troy Edwards?

Not that there's anything wrong with that. I like a good bad draft choice. I derived as much enjoyment from the reigns of error provided by Troy Edwards, Jamain Stephens and Deon Figures as I did from the Super Bowl years.

Mark Madden is a talk radio host and this is definitely sports talk radio logic. If it's exciting to talk about and leads to ratings then who cares if the discussion has any merit?

Being indescribably bad is often more intriguing than being incomparably good.

More sports talk radio logic.

Which brings us to Ike Taylor, the Steelers' fourth-round pick out of Louisiana-Lafayette.

Louisiana-Lafayette is technically Division I-A, but the football program's primary purpose seems to be to pick up big paydays by acting as a record-building punching bag for larger schools like, well, everybody else.

And because Louisiana-Lafayette isn't very good at football then there is no way a football player from this school could ever succeed in the NFL. This seems to be Mark's basic, terrible, no-good point. More importantly, let's use some hindsight to point out how all kinds of wrong Madden was. He wrote this article in 2003 and over the last few years Louisiana-Lafayette has become a pretty good team. Four bowl wins in a row after struggling with the move up to the Sun Belt conference from being independent. So yes, at the time they weren't very good, but they are now.

My attempt to check if Taylor sprained the knee of Middle Tennessee receiver Tyrone Calico by using (whoooo!) the figure-four leglock proved inconclusive. Check the video? Yeah, like that game was on TV anywhere.

This is as opposed to Mark Madden' alma mater, Duquesne University, which has the 3:30pm game every Saturday on ABC. Duquesne can't be any good because they aren't on television a lot, right?

Back to Louisiana-Lafayette for a second. Here are some NFL guys who don't suck and played football at UL-L.

You see Jake Delhomme, Brian Mitchell, Brandon Stokley, Orlando Thomas, and Charles Tillman on that list. Of course, Ike Taylor is included as well. Bill Bentley, Ladarius Green, and Melvin White also played at UL-L and are currently in the NFL. In fact, Louisiana-Lafayette seems to be a school that mostly produces cornerbacks into the NFL. My point is that Mark Madden wrote this column knowing Brian Mitchell and Brandon Stokley went to UL-L and he still acts like the school hasn't produced an NFL player.

Taylor's draft profile on NFL.com says he did not play in 2000 because he "concentrated on academics." Before that, he was a Prop 48. Before that, he was dumb. Probably still is.

He played long enough in the NFL to grasp the defensive concepts that Dick LeBeau is running, so obviously he isn't terribly stupid. Also, fuck you for saying because Ike Taylor was Prop 48 that he is dumb.

Probably not dumb enough to pick himself in the fourth round, though. This pick makes no sense. On a scale of one to 10, Ourlads Scouting Service gave Taylor a one.

And since when have draft services ever been wrong? And both Outlads and Mark Madden were wrong in this case.

But Taylor is a Steeler. I guarantee he will make the team. Taylor could lose a leg at rookie camp, have a lobotomy at minicamp and develop a heroin habit at training camp, and he would make the Steelers.

I like how Mark Madden is already setting up the excuses for why he was wrong about Taylor if he got called out for being wrong. Because NFL teams are always making excuses to keep a fourth round pick on the roster if that guy isn't worthy of making the team. A fourth round pick is considered a sacred cow who is given multiple chances to prove he's terrible.

When a team makes a bad draft choice, cutting him right away fairly screams the club's stupidity in all-too-short order.

So Madden already has it all set up to where he can say, "Of course I'm not wrong, because the Steelers would never cut a fourth round pick immediately." So Madden tried to hide behind the false assumption that no NFL team would cut a fourth round pick who didn't play well without giving him multiple chances to fail.

Hopefully Madden calling Taylor dumb and the worst pick the Steelers ever made would just be forgotten when they do cut Ike Taylor...which never did happen.

At 6-foot, 197 pounds with 4.33 speed in the 40-yard dash, Taylor could turn out to be the latter-day Mel Blount. Or the black Scott Shields. I'm betting on the latter.

Mark Madden bet wrong. Maybe he should have been Prop 48.

Said Steelers defensive backs coach Willy Robinson -- yes, someone actually admits to having that job -- "The one thing you can't do is teach a guy to be 6 feet, almost 6-1, 197 pounds and run a 4.3 like he can." How come no one ever drafted Jesse Owens?

That's a great point. I can see how Madden made his name in professional wrestling and talk radio. He has the whole "Lack of sense and logic" thing down pat.

With all those marvelous physical attributes, how did Taylor wind up at Louisiana-Lafayette? Why wasn't he at Southern California with Troy Polamalu?

Maybe he wanted to go to Louisiana-Lafayette. Perhaps it's really because Taylor didn't get a scholarship to play football initially and had to walk-on to the Ragin' Cajuns' football team, so there's no way he would have played for Southern California. You know, because it is impossible for a college athlete to improve athletically in his sport of choice during his time in college. A five-star football player will always be great, just like a two or three-star football player will never make it to the NFL. Ever. Doesn't happen. Lightly recruited players simply can't improve. It's science.

Wouldn't a big-time school take a Prop 48 recruit that projected as a fourth-round NFL draft pick? Absolutely. But while you can't teach anyone to be 6 feet, 197 pounds and run a 4.3, you probably can't teach Taylor to play football.

And yet, the Steelers did. Imagine that. It's just like you teach someone to be as wrong as Mark Madden ended up being about Ike Taylor. It just comes natural to Madden, so it can't be taught. The logic behind the thought that Ike Taylor wasn't a big recruit so he obviously can't be taught to play football, despite the fact Madden knows Taylor started as a running back and only played cornerback for one year at UL-L is hilarious to me. You can't teach Taylor to play football, despite the fact he learned a new position well enough in less than a year that he was drafted.  

Taylor played four different positions in high school, two in college. You say that's because he's versatile. I say it's because he couldn't figure out any one position.

I'm not sure what the reason for this hit piece was, but Mark Madden was brutal for seemingly no apparent reason. It's fun to know that a decade later, Taylor turned out to be a solid cornerback in the NFL. I guess he finally figured out how to play cornerback. It's probably because the Steelers were afraid to cut him, being a fourth round pick and all.

Taylor will be a total bust for the Steelers.

He wasn't. In fact, the only total bust is this column where Madden inexplicably put the screws to Ike Taylor.

In fact, Mark Madden has gone at Ike Taylor throughout his career. I wonder if Mark Madden is just upset that he looks like he gets flop sweat merely by moving too quickly sitting in a chair.

Madden's musical diss of Taylor.

A verbal diss of Taylor from 2012.

A written diss of Taylor from 2014.

What did Ike Taylor do to Mark Madden? Is it just that he knows he was wrong about Taylor and he just keeps piling on in order to come off as a heel?

The only person he hurts will be me after he reads this column.

PLEASE GIVE ME THE ATTENTION I SO DESPERATELY CRAVE BY ACKNOWLEDGING THAT I WROTE THIS HIT PIECE!

The choice of rag-armed Boston College quarterback Brian St. Pierre in the fifth round stinks, too.

St. Pierre stuck around the NFL until 2010, so it seems Mark Madden's ability to decide who is a bust draft pick and who isn't stays consistently bad.

Other than that, I liked the Steelers draft. Seriously.

Great, I'm glad you are being serious now. Seriously, you like two of the picks the Steelers made and one of them was a complete bust. You can't evaluate players as well as you think you can. Seriously.

As bad as the choices of Taylor, St. Pierre and what's-his-name are, the selections of Polamalu and Alonzo Jackson fit like hand in glove.

Thanks Morrissey. Speaking of fitting hand in glove, Alonzo Jackson was a second round pick who appeared in 18 total games in his career and managed a shockingly terrible 0 sacks over his career. He's another in a long line of Florida State defensive ends who have failed in the NFL, except Jackson was horrible to the point he couldn't even manage to start but one game his entire career.

Interestingly, while Mark Madden says the Steelers would never admit they made a mistake and cut Ike Taylor, a fourth round pick, they managed to realize they made a mistake with second round pick Alonzo Jackson after two years and released him. Also interestingly, while Mark Madden was criticizing Ike Taylor for moving from running back to cornerback by stating he "couldn't figure out any one position," Jackson was to be converted to a linebacker in the NFL and he failed miserably at figuring out that position. So it's sort of interesting that the criticism Madden directed towards Ike Taylor actually fit the Steelers' second round pick that year who Madden claimed "fit like hand in glove."

I think it's fair to say, the sun shines out of Jackson's behind, and we'll probably never him again. I wish I could say the same for Mark Madden.

Did the Steelers give too much to trade up to No. 16? Probably. Could they have moved up a little less high, given a bit less, and still gotten Polamalu? Probably.

Is Madden totally guessing as to whether the Steelers could have moved up a little less high and gotten Polamalu? Probably. Is a surprise to me that a guy who uses sports talk radio logic would do a hit piece and then just start guessing at conclusions he wants to reach? Probably not.

Jackson was a slight reach in the second round. But he's a true pass-rushing specialist.

Again, zero sacks for his career. I don't think that's very good for a true pass-rushing specialist.

The Steelers' defense hasn't been the same since Kevin Greene left town. Greene was far from a complete player. But he gave the Steelers an extra dimension that struck fear in foes and gave the opposing quarterback less time to make decisions.

Jackson played defensive end at Florida State. The Steelers will make him into an outside linebacker. I just hope they don't try to make him into a complete player.

Because who would draft a defensive player in the second round and expect him to at some point become a complete player? Not the Steelers, that's who. It's unreasonable to expect their second round pick to eventually become a complete player, but their fourth round pick has some high expectations to meet.

Don't teach Jackson how to drop back into coverage. Just let him be Kevin Greene.

Just don't teach him to drop back in coverage. Sure, he could possibly do this, but just don't teach it. Makes sense.

I'm chock-full of enthusiasm about the ridiculous choice of Taylor.

He ended up being the second-best player from this draft.

Just as this generation of Steelers fans (cough) deserves its own Super Bowl team, it also deserves to experience a replay of the shame of 1989, when the Steelers' 1-2 first-round punch of Tim Worley and Tom Ricketts ultimately made grown men weep. And drink.

Ike Taylor started 15 games for the 2005 Super Bowl champion Steelers, as well as had an interception in the Super Bowl that year. He started 16 games for the 2008 Super Bowl champion Steelers as well. So this generation of Steelers fans got two Super Bowls with Ike Taylor starting for Pittsburgh.

Of course, I'm hardly infallible when it comes to judging this sort of thing.

Well, you do seem inordinately focused on the wrong things when it comes to player evaluation. I chalk it up to simply wanting attention and not really understanding that hot takes based on a draftee's college career doesn't equal an evaluation of that player's ability to make it in the NFL.

I liked the choice of Edwards in 1999. Hey, gotta get a receiver, right? Wrong. I also spoke glowingly of Shields' physical skills when the safety from Weber State was chosen in the second round that same year. Conversely, I decried the choice of Antwaan Randle-El in the second round last season.

It's okay to be wrong. It's not okay to just do a hit piece on a player who was drafted simply because you haven't heard of the college he played at and think he is plain dumb overall.

But I stand by my condemnation of Ike Taylor.

You did and you still do stand by your condemnation of Ike Taylor. Standing by your point of view doesn't mean you are correct. It could very well mean you are too stubborn or desperate for attention to admit you are wrong.

Ike Turner would have been a better choice. Talk about a big hitter.

Jokes about spousal abuse are hilarious first off. Second, you stated the Steelers made their worst pick ever by taking Ike Taylor and you were terribly wrong. He's not a Pro Bowl cornerback, but he's also not the Steelers' worst draft pick ever. You were wrong in 2003, and despite your efforts to keep moving the goalposts and expect more out of Taylor, you are still wrong about Taylor now. But hey, I'm sure it got you some attention. That's all that matters.

Monday, May 18, 2015

2 comments Mel Kiper's 2015 NFL Draft Grades; Everyone Wins This Year!

I stopped doing draft grades last year and started doing non-grades, which basically consisted of which pick I thought was the best for a team and which I thought was the worst pick for a team. It was just my opinion. I grew tired of giving out grades when it takes years to figure out how a team did in the draft. I also included comments from Mel Kiper, since anything he says about the draft is always fun for perusal. Mel always says non-important statements like a guy "could be" a guy for depth on a team's roster soon. He really said last year:

Lavelle Westbrooks is one to watch as more depth at corner. 

One to watch as more depth. So he's one to watch as someone who will make the team? Great. Anyway, this year I'm not going to give my opinion in the form of non-grades either. I don't know enough about all 200+ players to give one, but I am going to mock Mel Kiper's comments and his draft grades. This is not to be confused with five years from now when I again mock Mel's grades and comments once these guys drafted in 2015 have played in the NFL for five years. 

So I had a hard time finding Mel's grades this year. I did get an image of them at this site. So those are his grades and immediately you will notice one particular thing. What is that one thing? Everyone gets a ribbon! Of the 32 teams that drafted, 28 of them did above average or better in the draft. That's great. This is the most successful draft in NFL history!...or Mel Kiper is giving out great grades to every team like he does every single year in an effort to be as right as possible in retrospect. See, it's easier to say, "Man, I totally thought that guy was going to be great in the NFL" in retrospect and be wrong rather than write, "The Bears had a terrible draft..." and start ripping on those players while running the risk of being wrong. When Mel is wrong when going negative, he will hear about. Mel doesn't want to hear about and chooses to minimize the amount of time he is wrong, so he prefers to be wrong while being positive. He's weenie basically. One would think a draft "expert" such as Mel would be fine being seen as wrong, but this isn't correct because Mel thinks almost 90% of the NFL did above average or better. In fact, Mel only gave 8 grades lower than a "B-." Weenie. 

Arizona Cardinals: C+

Mel said the Cardinals need to address the OLB, RB, C, and CB positions. They addressed one of those positions in the third round, but he thinks they did an above average job. Okay, so he likes the picks the Cardinals made?

"...but I didn't like the value too much with either of the top two picks."

So Mel didn't like the players the Cards chose with their top two picks and they didn't draft for three of the four positions of need? Fuck it, they did above average. Makes sense.

Atlanta Falcons: B

So though Beasley is a slight reach on my board -- he can rush the passer but can he provide value elsewhere? -- 

For example, how good at Accounting is Vic Beasley? Can he provide value for the Falcons when it comes tax time? Because, if they are being honest, the Falcons Accounting department sucks and any help Beasley could provide there would really up his value to the organization.

I don't mind the pick there.

Congrats Falcons! Mel Kiper gives you retro-permission to draft Vic Beasley. Also, Justin Hardy is "a solid depth addition" at wide receiver. He plays the position of wide receiver and may not suck.

Baltimore Ravens: A-

"Tray Walker is an interesting, 6-foot-2 CB prospect who could emerge with seasoning."

Wait, he's going to emerge with seasoning? Does this mean at training camp he'll show up with cayenne pepper, perhaps a little table salt or other spices that will really give the food during training camp that much needed flavor? If so, this was a much-needed pick. Training camp food sucks.

Yeah, Mel didn't say too much stupid for the Ravens. He fawned, which wasn't hard to do.

Buffalo Bills: C-

This is the lowest grade that Mel gave out. The worst an NFL team did was draft a little below average. What a draft!

"Watkins is going to be just fine, but Mike Evans and Odell Beckham Jr. could both have been taken without moving up, and that now factors into the grade this year..." 

Wait, what? So the Bills are going to get dinged for last year's draft by Kiper, because he feels the team gave up too much to get Watkins, then dinged again this year because they didn't have a first round pick. Mel is brutal...or as brutal as someone who gives the lowest grade of a "C-" can be. I don't understand why not having a first round pick factors into the grade when the metrics being measured are:

• How much overall talent did a team add, based on board position?

• How effectively did they address key personnel voids?

• How efficient were they in maneuvering on the draft board?

At what point is "Did they make a trade last year and lose picks for this year?" show up as a metric that Mel is measuring?

"The Bills didn't need an amazing draft, thanks to good roster-building outside of QB." 

Well, don't worry Bills fans. Your team didn't even need an amazing draft, so really Mel's lowest grade doesn't even mean anything to him, because the Bills were set anyway.

Carolina Panthers: C

The Panthers passed again on an O-lineman --- and I repeat, they need really need some O-linemen, any O-linemen --- in Round 2...

The Panthers added some useful pieces, but the O-line still looks scary from where I sit---

It's a shame they didn't draft an offensive lineman when Mel thought they should have. BUT the Panthers did draft an offensive lineman and Mel thought it was a good pick.

Daryl Williams is a decent value at No. 102, and he could push for a starting role at one of the tackle spots, though that's wishful thinking in 2015.

Okay, why is that wishful thinking? The Panthers needed offensive linemen, they drafted one in the fourth round and now Mel is all, "Well the tackles in front of him on the roster are too good for Williams to be a starter." One minute the team needs offensive linemen because the O-line is scary, the next minute the ones they have are good enough to beat out a fourth round pick. Make up your mind.

Chicago Bears: B+

If there's a void here, it's a pass-rush addition, but you can't hit every need...

Oh, someone should tell that to the Panthers, who just got bludgeoned by Mel for not filling their need at OT, but then filling it too late.

Pretty good draft overall, 

Actually Mel, a "B+" is a step below an excellent draft. Semantics, I know.

with the big question being whether White can transition quickly,

Rick Telander is going to be very upset when the Kevin White he knows starts to transition. It's going to throw him for a big loop.

Cincinnati Bengals: B+

In fact, if Ogubehi felt like a bit of a reach given his injury situation, Fisher balances it out. 

So it's okay for Mel to believe that a team reaches for a player, but only as long as another player falls to that team in the draft. Got it. So the Bengals could have drafted me in the first round, but if the best pass-rusher in the draft falls to them in the second round then it's fine to have wasted a first round pick on me? It's always fun to read Mel's rules for how he grades the draft. You know, other than the major rule being "Don't give any low grades because that's taking a stance, which you should not do."

They added a trio of tight ends, and you get the impression that'll practically be a highly-competitive camp situation, with the hope that someone breaks through. 

I think I figured out the issue with Mel's grades. He doesn't understand numbers or letters. The Bengals drafted two tight ends, but Mel thinks "a trio" is two tight ends. Also, yes Mel, I'm betting the Bengals are hoping one or more tight ends perform well in training camp. Spoiler alert: Every NFL team wishes for this to happen at every position. 

Cleveland Browns: B

The really curious selection was Cameron Erving at No. 19. Although I agree with some that he's among the best O-lineman in the draft -- and easily the best center -- he might end up at guard right away.

YES, WHY IN THE HELL WOULD THE BROWNS TRY TO DRAFT THE BEST OFFENSIVE LINEMAN IN THE DRAFT? THOSE STUPID FUCKING BROWNS SCREWED UP AGAIN!

The pick did make me think the Browns remember how much the run game fell apart when Alex Mack got hurt last year, and they aren't about to let that happen again. Still, a surprising pick.

So the Browns run game fell apart last year without Alex Mack and this year they drafted Cameron Erving, who may be the best offensive linemen in this draft? So what in the hell is surprising about this pick? Is Mel surprised the Browns made a smart pick? I must know. The pick made sense and Mel thinks it makes sense, yet he's shocked.   

The QB situation is obviously a mystery -- I liked the idea of adding Bryce Petty in Round 3 here -- and based on what I can see, the Browns think the best use of the QBs they have right now is to keep them handing off.

I guess the Browns QB's should keep handing off if they insist on drafting the best center in the draft. Who knows why the Browns do what they do? 

Dallas Cowboys: C+

Randy Gregory is the big story. Gregory is a gifted pass-rusher with top-5 ability, but Dallas is rolling the dice at No. 60 and believing Rod Marinelli can help a kid who has off-field issues that threaten to derail his career.

I think Mel Kiper may be upping the drama factor just a bit here. Gregory has some issues, but let's allow him to get into the NFL before having his NFL career derailed.

As to the big question mark, which was not selecting a running back, my sense is the Cowboys know there are many backs who will run effectively behind their offensive line, and you can add one on the cheap pretty easily. The depth chart there just really isn’t that bad.

So the #2 need for the Cowboys that Mel identified coming into this draft really isn't that big of a need? Why list RB as the #2 need in the draft if the team doesn't actually need to draft a player at that position? 

Denver Broncos: B-

Denver needs to hope at least one of the rookie O-linemen emerges as an answer to help the interior of their offensive line, 

Actually no, I bet the Broncos were hoping the players they drafted would actually make the worse in the long run, as well as bring embarrassment to the franchise. Now that Mel has pointed out they probably want these rookie O-linemen to play well, then the Broncos franchise will decide that this is probably what they need to hope for.

but if Ray pans out, this draft could be pretty good.

So I'm not sure what to be snarky about here. So if Shane Ray plays well then that means the entire draft for the Broncos could be pretty good or should I be snarky about Mel Kiper basing this draft's reputation on whether the first round pick plays well? Isn't that one of the best determinations regarding whether a draft is good or not, how well the first round pick performed?

Detroit Lions: B

"Even if Tomlinson is a bit of a reach, you added one starter and potentially two with the value of a single pick. That's not too bad.

Filling two positions with one pick does seem like something that could be categorized as "not bad." That is true. Very insightful.

Alex Carter gives them some needed depth in the secondary, and the addition of Gabe Wright gives them much-needed depth on the interior of the defensive line. 

So the big takeaway or lesson to be learned from the Lions draft is that depth is always going to be "needed" in some way. Though it seems according to the "Mel Kiper Depth Assessment Guide" that "needed depth" is a less urgent need than "much-needed depth." "Quality depth" on the other hand is a step above "needed depth" and involves filling a less urgent need. Perhaps next year Mel should release his "Depth Assessment Guide" prior to draft time so NFL teams can peruse it.

Green Bay Packers: B

I thought the Packers did a good job because they got players I can see helping them right away, and they really didn’t have major needs to fill. - See more at: http://packersinsider.com/2015/05/mel-kiper-nfl-draft-grades-packers-receive-a/#sthash.bFrK18bW.dpuf
Damarious Randall is just the definition of duct tape in the secondary, 

Duct tape: a wide, sticky, and usually silver tape that is made of cloth and that is used especially to repair things

Yes, Randall is JUST the definition of duct tape.

Quinten Rollins is just total intrigue, 

He's JUST total intrigue. So he's a spy like James Bond, made of cloth that is used to repair things like Damarious Randall or where does he fit on the "Mel Kiper Depth Assessment Guide"? Who knows? In fact, there are rumors Quinten Rollins doesn't even exist, that he's just a whisper heard in the ears of NFL GM's. No one has ever actually seen him. Just total intrigue.
I thought the Packers did a good job because they got players I can see helping them right away, and they really didn’t have major needs to fill. - See more at: http://packersinsider.com/2015/05/mel-kiper-nfl-draft-grades-packers-receive-a/#sthash.bFrK18bW.dpuf

Houston Texans: B

The continuing question around the Texans is whether they'll get enough out of the QB position to help elevate the good roster-building they've done elsewhere, but it's not like there was a starting QB play to be found in this draft for them, and they did a good job of continuing to strengthen the roster beyond that position.

I always enjoy how Mel gives teams a pass in his draft grades for not filling a positional need and other times he knocks a team's grade down for not filling a positional need. Sure, quarterback is the most important position on the field, but the Texans did the best they could without reaching for a quarterback. Other teams, like the Bills built their roster but didn't fill the QB position in this draft and they get knocked down for a trade they made last year. The Panthers didn't sufficiently address the offensive line position (I always find it interesting the "experts" think it's understandable not to reach for a QB, but think teams should just fill another need they have in the draft even if they clearly don't like the options), but have a QB, and they got a lower grade for that. Mel's grades feel scattershot at times.

Kevin Johnson is a bit lean, but everything else is there,

He has two arms, two legs, ten toes, ten fingers and a working brain. He seems like a full human being to Mel.

Indianapolis Colts: B-

The Colts managed to get several of my favorite players in the draft, yet I still think they continue to play with fire by not doing more to build quality depth along the offensive line.

Welp, the Colts have that franchise QB-thingie that all teams want, but they aren't protecting him sufficiently. That knocks them down a grade. Houston doesn't have Andrew Luck, but that's cool because they helped the roster around the QB position. Sure, Indianapolis built the roster around Luck, but that doesn't count because it doesn't count.

(Not that building a good offensive line isn't important, but what do the Colts and Panthers have in common in this draft? Both desperately need offensive line help and both picked towards the latter half of the draft and didn't grab offensive line help...it's almost like they both didn't like the guys available at that point)

Phillip Dorsett is an absolute burner who can actually catch the ball, and if you like T.Y. Hilton, I think you're going to love Dorsett. A great player ... but a big need? That looked to me like a clear case of "best player available" drafting.

(Bengoodfella faints at the idea of a team drafting the best player available)

Why on Earth would a team do this? First, the Browns select the best center in the draft who is also MAYBE the best offensive lineman, and now the Colts have selected the player they think to be the best available at their draft position. When will teams learn to fill needs, not acquire good football players?

If there's a big gripe, it's the Colts seem to consistently take for granted that Andrew Luck won't get hurt despite all the hits.

While I agree the Colts drafting a wide receiver was really weird, reaching for an offensive lineman isn't going to fix this problem of Luck getting hurt despite all the hits. Wishing and hoping an offensive lineman is a first round talent just because you select him there doesn't mean this wish will come true. 

Jacksonville Jaguars: B+

From a phone call that Mel had after the draft:

Kiper said he gave the Jaguars a “B .”

Actually Mel, you gave the Jags a "B+." There is a huge difference apparently or else you wouldn't include the "+" to the grade of "B."

“They helped out their quarterback by getting Yeldon, Rashad Greene, Sterling and Koyack, and they helped their defense stop (Colts quarterback) Andrew Luck by getting Fowler, Sample and then Bennett, who was a steal in the sixth round,” Kiper said. “All the way around, there was some method to what they were doing.”

What? A method to what the Jaguars were doing? The Colts draft the best player available, the Browns choose the best offensive lineman and now the Jaguars have a method to their drafting. What is going on with these AFC teams? 

Kansas City Chiefs: B-

They had Mitch Morse graded well above where I did, but I think he'll compete to start at either guard or center, which adds to his value. 

So Morse is going to compete to start at both positions? He's not going to show up drunk to training camp and just sit on the sidelines and drink water? Here I thought maybe Morse would show up, refuse to play center, and then play PS4 for the rest of training camp.

Steven Nelson adds more depth in the secondary,

I always love it when Mel has nothing to add regarding a player so he just states that player "adds depth." Basically, Mel needs to write another sentence and has no idea what to write, so he writes, "This guys plays football and was drafted. He is a warm body." And also, as the "B-" grade shows, Mel loved this draft as he seems to love every draft by every NFL team. That's why it is so much fun to go back and review his grades a few years later. 

Miami Dolphins: B

Jordan Phillips has first-round physical ability and third-round tape, so landing in Round 2 just about averages things out

The silliness of this sentence makes me laugh. So if a player has first round tape and seventh round physical ability, then drafting him in the fourth round sounds about right? Mel is essentially saying, "I am an expert on the draft and have no idea if Jordan Phillips is going to be any good or not. Fuck if I know, so using a second round pick on him sounds good." He gets paid to do this by the way.

If there's a question, it's the lack of a linebacker earlier on. The Parker pick really elevates this draft for me, and they can hope the coin flip on Phillips' becoming really good works out.

Mel liked every single pick the Dolphins made from Rounds 1-4, but he is worried the Dolphins didn't draft a linebacker. Teams can't fill every need with limited picks. Only in NFL Draft "analysis" can someone like Mel write, "I liked every pick the Dolphins made early in the draft" and then write, "I wish the Dolphins had drafted a linebacker early on." It's like going to a restaurant and ordering food and when the waiter asks how the food was saying it was delicious but you wished that you had ordered something else.

Minnesota Vikings: B

Trae Waynes brings about a lot of debate among my colleagues on the draft. We know he can cover in a straight line, and I love the speed, but the detractors point out Waynes really struggles when wide receivers aren't running in a straight line.

They had one of the best picks in Round 2 when they added a potential immediate starter in Eric Kendricks. This kid can really run sideline to sideline

If the Vikings could get into the lab and create a Trae Waynes/Eric Kendricks hybird (to be called Tric Wayndricks) then that would be the greatest defensive football player in this draft. He could cover in a straight line and run sideline to sideline.

The Vikes hit needs pretty well, and if Waynes cleans up aspects of his game, they might have really helped the defense with him and Kendricks. Good draft, but Waynes still has some "we'll see" aspects.

This is as opposed to the other draft picks which are all guaranteed to be good in the NFL? 

New England Patriots: B-

They did well overall, but I'm not sure why they didn't take at least one wide receiver or cornerback.

My guess would be because they didn't want to.

Jordan Richards is a smart, versatile fit in the secondary, which is exactly the kind of guy they like. I had him going lower, but if you think the guy can help and he's there for a team this good? Take him.

Ohhhhhhhhhhhhh, I get it. It's okay for some teams to reach in the draft, but other teams get knocked down a grade for reaching. I think I'm going to need Mel to release the "Mel Kiper Guide to When It's Okay to Reach for a Player in the Draft" because I'm pretty sure no NFL team is going to draft a guy they don't think can help. Whether the team is traditionally good or not should be irrelevant. If Mel is going to knock a team for reaching, how good the team that does the reaching should be irrelevant.

Again, I wished they would have done more at CB and WR, and that drops them some, but you can't say they didn't get some good players, for a Super Bowl champ, no less.

Mel loves all the players the Patriots took, but wishes they would have taken different players, yet still likes the Patriots draft. This is how draft grades and analysis works for Mel. 

New Orleans Saints: C

Andrus Peat hits a need on the offensive line, but he's probably not ideal as a starter in Week 1 because NFL-level pass-rushers could give him fits.

See Mel, this is the type of thing that happens when a team like the Colts drafts an offensive lineman because it fits a need. You bash the pick for not being an ideal starter in Week 1. I have no idea if Peat will be any good, but this is how teams draft players who don't work out. They fill a need because Mel Kiper says it's a need.

The first-rounder they got back from Seattle turned into Stephone Anthony, and though he hits a need, I had a trio of inside linebackers ahead of him on my board.

And this shows the full subjectivity of draft grades. They often only depend on the person doing the grading and his/her opinion of the players selected versus other players available.

The Saints did some good work addressing defensive needs, but they really could have used another pass-catcher. When you factor the Graham deal as a part of the overall grade, it takes a hit.

So to review, Mel didn't like the Saints two first round picks, their second round pick, one of their third round picks and yet he thinks they did an average job in the draft? Got it. Way to go out on a limb there, Mel. What would it take for Mel to give a "D" to a draft? He hated all of a team's picks? Even then Mel would probably give that team a "C-." 

New York Giants: B-

I expected the Giants to take either Brandon Scherff, if available, or Ereck Flowers with the No. 9 pick, so when Scherff ended up at No. 5, Flowers became the man. He could end up at right tackle, pushing Justin Pugh inside. If Flowers can transition well, the Giants could get better at two positions with one pick, but you just can't make that promise.

I literally have no idea what the point of this sentence was. Flowers may play tackle, which means Pugh would play guard and the Giants could improve both positions but nobody can predict the future so there's no telling if that will happen or not so let's not talk about this anymore.

The addition of another safety in Round 5, Mykkele Thompson, just emphasizes the need at that position and, perhaps, how they plan to use Collins. I just thought it was a reach. I had better options available on my board, but again, it's all about fit and development at this point.

It's about fit and development at every point in the draft, not just the later rounds. Even the #1 pick isn't going to work out if he doesn't go to a team that fits him and works to develop his skill set.

New York Jets: A-

they were then able to move back up later to secure Bryce Petty, who has ability but will need time to develop because there are so many NFL concepts that are foreign to him. Still, good value to get a No. 4 QB down at 103 overall.

I always like it when a draft "expert" gives a team credit for a player falling to them, as if the Jets used mind control to ensure they would be able to get Petty at 103 overall. Sure, it was a smart move to draft Petty, but getting "good value" is as much about luck as it is anything else.

And remember: I factor Brandon Marshall into this draft."

And then Mel will factor Marshall into the draft after that as well. Mel is probably still holding the RG3 trade against both the Rams and the Redskins in his draft grades. 

Oakland Raiders: B

If I'm critiquing, it's probably in Round 2, where I thought Mario Edwards was a bit of a reach as my 61st-ranked player.

Mel, your draft grades are literally nothing but you critiquing a team's draft. So yes, "if you are critiquing" meaning, "if you are doing draft grades again."

Edwards was a need, but this team has plenty of them and I had a couple dozen players rated higher there.

The Raiders get knocked down to a "B" (yes, "down" to a "B") because the team had so many needs and Mel didn't like the player the Raiders took. This obviously means the Raiders didn't do a good job in the draft by not listening to Mel's opinion, which is the only correct opinion.

Jon Feliciano could help at guard, though value there was just OK.

Oh, he could help? Great, that's pretty much the reason the Raiders drafted him. Mel had questions about a few picks, but the questions weren't enough for him to think the Raiders were not one of the majority of teams that did a great job in this draft. I'm guessing if Jon Gruden did draft grades then he would give every team an "A." 

Pittsburgh Steelers: A-

The Steelers had a really good draft.

As did apparently almost 90% of the other NFL teams in Mel's opinion.

You think they wanted to find answers in the secondary? Yep, those guys will be green, but at least the depth chart looks better.

The players may suck, but at least there are functioning humans at these positions in the secondary! In "Mel Kiper's Depth Assessement Guide" this is probably known as a mix between "quality depth" and "green depth," which is totally different from "slightly experienced depth."

Philadelphia Eagles: B+

ILB Jordan Hicks went higher than I expected but I don't mind it because he's a really good player who filled a need.

Sure Mel thinks that Hicks was a reach but the Eagles think he can help, he fills a need, AND the Eagles are a good team so it's fine if they reach for a player. They have permission to do so from Mel. 

San Diego Chargers: B-

I would have really liked to see the Chargers add some fresh legs at either wide receiver or tight end, given some of the age on the roster at those positions, and nose tackle was a need that wasn't addressed.

The Chargers had five picks in the draft after trading up to get Melvin Gordon. They couldn't address every need they have in the draft with those five picks.

They did get some really good players, though.

Again, Mel really enjoyed his meal but wishes he had ordered something else. By the way, the Chargers got some really good players with five picks, but it only amounts to a slightly above average draft. I never understand these grades. 

San Francisco 49ers: C+

This one wasn't bad by any measures,

Just as a reminder, Mel thought none of the NFL teams had a bad draft.

but there's a lot of projection here,

Every draft pick is a projection of some type.

The other thing I wonder about is the lack of a true inside linebacker or cornerback. I'm fascinated to see what this class becomes because it's short on guarantees.

The 49ers did seem to draft more players who are considered "raw," but I would love for Mel to point out which teams in the draft picked a class that is long on guarantees. I bet five years from now those drafts long on guarantees won't seem that way anymore. 

Seattle Seahawks: A-

Mel didn't really write anything stupid about the Seahawks. Sadness accrues. My snark has run out on this one. 

St. Louis (Los Angeles) Rams: C 

This was a fascinating draft class, but one that I thought had several reaches on value

And the Rams are not good enough of a team to have permission from Mel to reach. Sure, maybe they drafted players that they thought could help the team, but permission to reach is denied.

The Rams want to be better running the football, which should help take pressure off a passing game we can't expect to be special, and they seemed to emphasize that goal with every pick.

WHAT? The Rams are another NFL team that had a plan and executed that plan in the draft? Inconceivable. No wonder Mel gave this draft a "C," he hates it when a team has a plan during the draft.

I don't dislike the value as much as I typically would -- I've said 1,000 times I don't think taking RBs in Round 1 is a good strategy -- because the Rams have the roster to start winning now, and because a star QB isn't walking through that door, they had to go with the run game.

So it's okay to draft a running back in the first round if a team is trying to win now, but otherwise if a team isn't trying to win now, then it isn't okay to draft a running back in the first round? By the way, both teams that Mel gave permission to draft a running back in the first round didn't make the playoffs last year. It seems important when discussing how they are teams that are trying to win now. So the biggest error the Rams seem to make was drafting offensive linemen before Mel thought they should, which of course, he would criticize the Rams for not filling a need if they didn't draft these offensive linemen. That's just how Mel works.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: B-

Winston is not Andrew Luck, a winning lottery ticket handed to a fortunate franchise; he's the definition of a boom-or-bust selection. Again, I don't think they made the wrong decision, given the obvious need; I only think what Winston becomes is an unknown because the real work to help him develop into a true franchise leader is about to begin.

It's annoying when people compare every #1 overall pick to Andrew Luck, as if a quarterback like Luck comes out of the draft more often than once a decade. Pretty much any quarterback drafted in the first round isn't going to be polished and pro-ready like Andrew Luck was when he was drafted. So stop comparing quarterbacks taken #1 overall to Luck, because most quarterbacks picked in the first round are boom-or-bust selections.

After the Winston pick, the Bucs looked to address some clear needs up front. Donovan Smith was a reach on my board -- 

And if the Bucs had selected another player at another position then Mel would have pointed out how the Bucs have a need at offensive line and they didn't fill that need. 

Tennessee Titans: C+ 

After Mariota, I thought Tennessee had some reaches on value on three consecutive picks: Dorial Green-Beckham is a special athlete, but he's incomplete and plays soft, and I thought there were several better options available at No. 40;

Of all the criticisms of Dorial Green-Beckham, that he's incomplete and plays soft aren't two I have heard too much. These types of things will happen when he has limited exposure playing college football due to the real reasons that he was a shaky pick at #40. He's a stud if he stays on the right path though and I can't imagine how Mel thinks there were several better options available at #40. Not shockingly, Mel doesn't list these options. I have a feeling there's a reason he doesn't list these better options because they don't exist.

I had Jeremiah Poutasi as my 12th-ranked guard (he played tackle at Utah), so that's a reach on my board in Round 3; and the Angelo Blackson pick was again a slight reach for me.

And the Titans DO NOT have permission to reach in the draft. They got a guy with first round talent in the second round, so one would think it balances at least one of these picks out according to how Mel's bizarre mind works, but I guess not. 

Washington Redskins: A-

I don't think there was a softer team in the NFL the past season than the Redskins, especially on defense, where they simply didn't tackle.

So Mel loved how the Redskins improved on defense by using four of their ten selections on defensive players and only selecting one defensive player in the first 140 picks. That's how you get an "A-" from Mel, people. If Mel thinks you are a team that is soft on defense, don't draft any defensive players early. Mel loves that.

Matt Jones was a bit rich for me in terms of value, but it's all preference on RB at that point.

Permission to reach a bit is granted, given the Redskins success of late and all.

When I went through tape with Jon Gruden,

A nightmare scenario for anyone who gets stuck in this room with Mel and Jon "I Love Everybody and Here is a Cutesy Nickname for the Road" Gruden.

So there they are, the grades for what seems to be (based on Mel's grades) the best draft in the history of the NFL. Everyone gets a ribbon and no team did terribly. Five years from now, every team will be shown to have had either an average draft, or in the case of four teams, just a slightly below average draft. I bet Mel is happy he didn't write anything that could be used against him in the future. Be positive, you won't get criticized.